Daily Briefing - Nov 5, 2020

Daily Briefing - Nov 5, 2020

Managing editor, Ed Harrison, is joined by Jay Pelosky, co-founder and CIO of TPW Investment Management, to provide an update on his current outlook amid a turbulent election and uncertain future with stimulus and COVID-19. Pelosky argues that markets are getting closer to end of this period of peak uncertainty around these variables and that deep cyclicals like airlines and oil will rally sharply higher. Pelosky also explains that as the election race comes to a close, markets have been oversold in the past week and are becoming more comfortable with the idea of a split government as investors gain clarity. He digs further into the question of stimulus - a matter of “when,” not “if” - and contends that a vaccine may roll out sooner than stimulus, which would cause the markets to react aggressively, raise rates, and could set up a rotation trade out of tech and into cyclicals. Finally, he also discusses asset allocation and his thesis of a tripolar world. In the intro, Real Vision's Haley Draznin looks at markets rallying as the U.S. presidential election outcome is still uncertain and analyzes the K-shaped recovery that continues to form as the job market remains high. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Jaksot(1969)

The Knock-On Effect #12 - Turkey Troubles and Spicy Hazelnuts

The Knock-On Effect #12 - Turkey Troubles and Spicy Hazelnuts

Why will the crisis in Turkey lead hazelnuts to be covered in wasabi? Alex and Justine discuss — also touching on Nutella, “hot money,” and Japanese snacking habits. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

24 Elo 201826min

The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #2 - Raoul Pal on Turkey

The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #2 - Raoul Pal on Turkey

Will turmoil in Turkey send global markets skidding? And why might such an economically small country have an incredibly outsized effect? Raoul Pal, co-founder CEO of Real Vision and founder of The Global Macro Investor, discusses with Justine and Alex. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

17 Elo 201827min

The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #1 - Mark Dow on Liquidity

The Knock-On Effect Summer Series #1 - Mark Dow on Liquidity

Are market participants misunderstanding the current state of liquidity - and if so, what are the potential knock-on effects? Mark Dow, founder of Dow Global Advisors and author of the Behavioral Macro Blog, discusses with Roger, Justine and Alex. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

10 Elo 201836min

The Knock-On Effect #11 - Almond milk and stamp storage

The Knock-On Effect #11 - Almond milk and stamp storage

Why will rising popularity of almond milk make it more expensive to store postage stamps? Justine and Alex discuss — also touching on bovine productivity, disused limestone mines, and the “Illuminati of Cheese.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

3 Elo 201837min

The Knock-On Effect #10 - Yield Surge to Trash Cheap Vodka?

The Knock-On Effect #10 - Yield Surge to Trash Cheap Vodka?

Will rising yields on Treasury notes sink the cheapest vodkas? Alex and Justine discuss – also touching on the causes of recession, Scottish drinkers, and the impact of Fed policy. Plus, a controversial USDA maneuver to clamp down on speedy traders. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

27 Heinä 201846min

The Knock-On Effect #9 - Trade Fears to Clarify Diamonds?

The Knock-On Effect #9 - Trade Fears to Clarify Diamonds?

Why will rising concerns about China’s trade-related retaliation lead diamonds to become clearer? Justine and Alex discuss – also touching on Jules Verne novels, iPhone batteries and a new version of blue. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

20 Heinä 201832min

The Knock-On Effect #8 - Stock Rally to Spur Foot Picking?

The Knock-On Effect #8 - Stock Rally to Spur Foot Picking?

Why will higher stock prices lead more American to pick feet? Alex and Justine discuss, also touching on income inequality, one very fancy Manhattan store, and the marital habits of reptile owners. Plus, Justine explains why companies seems to be so afraid of the number “4.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

13 Heinä 201838min

Real Vision Rewind #1 – Godfather of Central Banking

Real Vision Rewind #1 – Godfather of Central Banking

How did the modern age of central banking begin? In this story previously heard in a 2017 episode of “Adventures in Finance,” Grant Williams, Aaron Chan and Ben Hunt look at the fascinating history of the man some consider the godfather of central banking, John Law. Then Alex and Justine draw some present-day conclusions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

6 Heinä 201843min

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