A $10 Trillion Opportunity in US Reshoring

A $10 Trillion Opportunity in US Reshoring

After decades of offshoring, the pendulum for US manufacturing is swinging back toward domestic production. Our US Multi-Industry Analyst Chris Snyder looks at what’s behind this trend.


----- Transcript -----


Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I’m Chris Snyder, Morgan Stanley’s US Multi-Industry Analyst. Today I’ll discuss the far-reaching implications of shifting industrial production back to the United States.

It’s Friday, October 25th, at 10am in New York.

Global manufacturing is undergoing a seismic shift, and the United States is at the epicenter of this transformation. After decades of offshoring and relying on international supply chains, the pendulum is swinging back toward domestic production. This movement – known as reshoring – is not just a fleeting trend but a strategic realignment of manufacturing capabilities that is indicative of the “multipolar” theme playing out globally.

In fact, we believe the US is entering the early innings of re-Industrialization – a multi-decade opportunity that we size at $10 trillion and think has the potential to restore growth to the US industrial economy following more than 20 years of stagnation.

The reshoring of manufacturing to the US is fueled by a combination of factors that are making domestic production both viable and lucrative. While the initial sparks were ignited by policy changes, including tariffs and trade agreements, the COVID-19 pandemic laid bare the risks of elongated supply chains and over-dependence on foreign manufacturing.

Meanwhile, the diffusion of cutting-edge technologies, such as automation, artificial intelligence, and advanced robotics, has diminished the cost advantages of low-wage countries. The US -- with its robust tech sector and innovation ecosystem -- is uniquely positioned to leverage technology to revitalize its manufacturing base.

Who are the direct beneficiaries? High-tech sectors, such as semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, and advanced manufacturing systems, are likely to be the biggest winners. Traditional industrial sectors, such as automotive and aerospace, are also seeing a resurgence. Finally, companies that invest in more sustainable manufacturing processes stand to gain from both policy-driven incentives and a growing market demand. All told, these businesses should see shorter supply chains, reduced legal and tariff costs, and a more resilient operational structure.

As for the broader US economy? We think the implications are pretty profound. In altering the US industrial landscape, reshoring promises not only to boost GDP growth, but it could also stabilize and potentially reverse the trade deficits that have plagued the US economy for years.

Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.

Jaksot(1515)

Matt Hornbach: Are U.S. Treasuries Like Used Cars?

Matt Hornbach: Are U.S. Treasuries Like Used Cars?

Falling Treasury yields have investors wondering whether prices will keep rising. But some insight could be gained from the trajectory of U.S. auto prices.

3 Elo 20214min

Mike Wilson: The Inevitable Removal of Policy Support

Mike Wilson: The Inevitable Removal of Policy Support

As a strong earnings season wraps up, pressure is mounting on the Fed to reduce its current level of emergency monetary support. What will this mean for stocks?

2 Elo 20213min

Special Episode, Part 2: Digging Deeper into Delta

Special Episode, Part 2: Digging Deeper into Delta

On this episode we continue our close look at the COVID-19 Delta variant including boosters, the outlook for fall/winter and the impact on markets.

30 Heinä 20217min

Special Episode: Digging Deeper into the Delta Variant

Special Episode: Digging Deeper into the Delta Variant

On this episode, we take a closer look at the Delta variant including infectiousness, possibilities of mutation, and whether we’re stuck with COVID-19 long-term.

29 Heinä 20219min

Michael Zezas: U.S. Infrastructure - Deal or No Deal?

Michael Zezas: U.S. Infrastructure - Deal or No Deal?

Investors have been closely watching headlines on the bipartisan infrastructure plan, but for markets, what may matter most is the broader fiscal policy plan.

28 Heinä 20212min

Mike Wilson: The Last Phase of Mid-Cycle

Mike Wilson: The Last Phase of Mid-Cycle

U.S. equity markets have transitioned through three of four typical changes associated with a mid-cycle transition. But the next, final phase—Fed tightening—may have the most impact.

27 Heinä 20214min

Chetan Ahya: Will a Debt Hangover Hamper Recovery?

Chetan Ahya: Will a Debt Hangover Hamper Recovery?

How can governments worldwide manage the historically high debt incurred in response to the COVID-19 crisis? The answer may be a bit counterintuitive.

26 Heinä 20213min

Michael Zezas: The Debt Ceiling - Here We Go Again?

Michael Zezas: The Debt Ceiling - Here We Go Again?

The Congressional debate over raising the “debt ceiling”—the total amount of money that the U.S. is authorized to borrow—has begun again. Should investors be concerned?

23 Heinä 20212min

Suosittua kategoriassa Liike-elämä ja talous

sijotuskasti
psykopodiaa-podcast
mimmit-sijoittaa
rss-rahapodi
rss-rahamania
ostan-asuntoja-podcast
herrasmieshakkerit
rss-lahtijat
pari-sanaa-lastensuojelusta
yrittaja
lakicast
rss-myynti-ei-ole-kirosana
taloudellinen-mielenrauha
rss-neuvottelija-sami-miettinen
rahapuhetta
oppimisen-psykologia
rss-startup-ministerio
rss-karon-grilli
rss-puhutaan-rahasta
rss-hyvin-johdettu