Is the March Rate Hike Really a Lock? – Ep. 338
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast20 Mar 2018

Is the March Rate Hike Really a Lock? – Ep. 338

Tomorrow is the first of the Fed's 2-day Federal Open Market Committee Meeting, and it's going to be the first meeting where there is supposed to be a rate hike and a press conference for the new chairman, Jerome Powell. The markets are pretty much at 100% probability that the Fed is going to raise rates on Wednesday. What the markets are grappling with is whether or not the Fed will raise rates 4 times this year, or only 3.

Now, if they are going to raise them 4 times, it would mean they raised rates once per quarter. So they raise them in March, they raise them in June, they raise them in September and then they raise them again in December. Now, if they only do it 3 times, then, they pick one of these quarters where they don't do it. Most likely, if they only do 3 hikes, the hike they're going to skip is going to be the June hike. And, of course, if they skip the June hike, they're probably not going to hike in September or December, either because the economy will be much weaker by then, the U.S. stock market could be much lower. The fact is, I'm still not 100% sure that the Fed is going to hike on Wednesday.

I would agree that it is more likely than not that the Fed is going to hike, because they've been hiking interest rates all along. The Fed so far has not given any indication that they're not going to hike because they don't want to give up the ghost of this "vibrant recovery", where they need to raise rates because everything is going so well. But that whole narrative, that whole illusion seems to be fading very quickly. As a matter of fact, on Friday the Atlanta Fed's model for Q1 GDP went down another notch! They are now down to 1.8% for Q1 GDP. Now does it sound like the Fed should be rushing to hike rates when GDP growth for Q1 is only going to be 1.8%? Does that sound like an economy that is in danger of overheating? When they were at 5.4% 6 weeks ago or so and now they're down to 1.8% and falling? For all we know, we could end up being below 1%.

Does the Fed really want to add more downward pressure to an accelerating economy by raising interest rates? So far, everybody just assumes that they're going to hike rates. but we'll see. Another factor that may weigh on the Fed's decision is the stock market. We still have tomorrow and Wednesday morning for the stock market to tank. Today, the tanking process already began.

At one point today, the Dow was down almost 500 points. At its low it was down around 490. The NASDAQ, the bigger decliner was down almost 200 points intra day. Now the markets recouped some of those losses, so the NASDAQ only closed down 137 points; that's still a 1.84% drop. It's a big drop, not nearly as big as 200. The Dow was down 335. It's back in the red on the year. The Dow was down about 100 points so far this year. We're only about 800 Dow points above the closing low from March. I think we're more like maybe 1300 Dow points above the intra-day low in the U.S. session. But who knows? the market could tank tomorrow, we'll see, and then, is the Fed going to hike rates with the market tanking? Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Episoder(1085)

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A Fed Policy Error That Will Live In Infamy – Ep 758

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Do Weak Stocks in Dec. Portend Fed Ease in Jan? – Ep 757

* Nasdaq suffers worst start to December in 20 years. * Stay-at-home darling stocks crash with no bottom in sight. * Covid is the gift that keeps on giving the Fed excuses. * Real unemployment rate is much higher than 10%. * Biggest fools now are those buying Bitcoin. * Maxine Waters pats herself on the back for giving away other people’s money. * Janet Yellen wants to postpone big catastrophe now for bigger catastrophe later. * Jerome Powell admits he now sees a substantial risk of persistent inflation. For a limited time, buy any 3-month Mint Mobile plan and get 3 more months FREE at https://mintmobile.com/gold Thanks Aura Frames. Get $30 off your order by going to https://auraframes.com with promo code GOLD INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

4 Des 20211h 10min

Powell Finally Admits Inflation Isn’t Transitory – Ep 756

Powell Finally Admits Inflation Isn’t Transitory – Ep 756

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Black Friday Leaves Investors Black and Blue – Ep 755

Black Friday Leaves Investors Black and Blue – Ep 755

* Covid crashes market again with new Omicron Strain. * Dow suffers its worst drop since Covid lockdowns started. * Investors choose Euro and Swiss Franc over US Dollar as safe haven. * Markets begin pricing out rate hikes that they previously priced in. * Smart money dumps crypto while dumb money buys the dips. Thanks Tru Niagen. Save 10% on your first purchase at https://truniagen.com/peter with code PETER Mene's 24k gold jewelry is giving my listeners 5% off their purchase at https://mene.com/?promo=schiff Use promo code "SCHIFF" at checkout. Offer expires December 2nd, 2021. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

27 Nov 202142min

Thanksgiving: How Capitalism Saved America From Socialism – Ep 754

Thanksgiving: How Capitalism Saved America From Socialism – Ep 754

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25 Nov 20211h 2min

The Devil You Know Is Still a Devil – Ep 753

The Devil You Know Is Still a Devil – Ep 753

* Biden reappoints Powel as Fed Chairman and promotes Brainard to Vice Chair. * Gold sells off and dollar rises on Fed news. * Investors worried about inflation under Powell two days ago now celebrate Powell’s reappointment. * If Biden wanted to fight inflation, he’d stop creating it. * Generation of entitled American socialists don’t think stealing is wrong. * MSNBC promotes racism. * Law abiding citizens don’t use cars or guns to kill people. * Rittenhouse trial being used to promote Communism. Thanks Raycon! For a limited time, go To https://buyraycon.com/gold for up to 20% off your entire Raycon order. Go to https://bambee.com/gold to schedule your FREE HR audit. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

24 Nov 202158min

Rittenhouse Innocent, Government Guilty on All Accounts – Ep 752

Rittenhouse Innocent, Government Guilty on All Accounts – Ep 752

* Socialists are the only ones who believe Biden’s bill will Build Back Better. * Democrats accidentally admit that inflation is caused by expanding deficit and money printing. * The rich don’t have to cheat on their taxes like the middle class does. * Government wants to give all workers a 4 week paid vacation every year. * Government attack on civil liberties has crypto crowd concerned. * Kyle Rittenhouse innocent on all accounts. Thanks https://avast.com! Thanks https://truebill.com/gold. it could save you hundreds a year. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

20 Nov 20211h 1min

Government Recycles 1970s Inflation Propaganda – Ep 751

Government Recycles 1970s Inflation Propaganda – Ep 751

* Janet Yellen lies to the nation. * The Fed doesn’t want to let the peoples’ cost of living decrease. * 2% inflation isn’t a target; it’s a floor. * Retail investors move from bubble to bubble without learning any lessons. * Sell your Bitcoin before Logan Paul’s audience does. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through December 31, 2021. Thanks Ladder Life Insurance. Go to https://ladderlife.com/gold today to see if you’re instantly approved. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

17 Nov 202158min

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