The Fed Hiked Itself into Insolvency – Ep. 423

The Fed Hiked Itself into Insolvency – Ep. 423

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Mainstream Forecasts Incorporating Recession
We are in the early stages of this bubble popping. That's why, if you look now at a lot of the mainstream forecasts, all of a sudden, they're all incorporating recession. The probability of recession is now very high over the next couple of years. I read J.P. Morgan now is saying that there is a 70% probability that the U.S. is in recession by the end of 2020. In fact, most of the forecasts I'm looking at now predict that the U.S. will either enter recession next year or in the following year. This is a huge change from where people were just a few months ago, where there were no recessions as far as the eye can see. Now we're staring them in the face.
Third Consecutive Drop in Small Business Confidence
One thing that really hasn't changed so much is that you have all this optimism that still abounds. It doesn't make sense to me that people could be so optimistic about an economy that they concede is so close to recession. Now, I think on Tuesday we did get a drop in small business confidence, it's the third consecutive monthly drop, and three months ago, small business confidence hit an all-time record high. But if you have more of these small business owners thinking that we are a year away from recession, in fact less than a year if you think recession is going to start in 2019 - we're going to be in 2019 in a few weeks. So, if you think recession is so close, how much longer can you remain so confident?

The Fed Doesn't Have Recession in its Forecast
Now, of course, the Fed doesn't have recession in its forecast; not even close. The National debt is careening toward $22 trillion and these guys are putting out their rosy estimates for economic growth. They're not starting to factor in these recession forecasts that are becoming more and more mainstream.

Fed Funds Rate in Negative Territory in Real Terms
The problem for the Federal Reserve is that they are trying to keep this bubble from imploding, but the task is impossible because enough air has already come out of it. Interest rates have already risen to the point where the camel's back has been broken. The Fed has now backtracked into admitting that we're just slightly below "neutral". We're one more rate hike away from "neutral" even though one more rate hike will still leave the Fed Funds Rate in negative territory in real terms, not in nominal terms. If you accept the government's inflation numbers and we got CPI and PPI numbers that came out yesterday and today - if you look at the core, we've got the hottest core in 7 years.
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Episoder(1085)

Bad Policy Disables Economies in China and America – Ep 718

Bad Policy Disables Economies in China and America – Ep 718

* High roads don’t win votes. * The road to hell is paved with good intentions and is wheelchair accessible. * Bitcoin rallies on its slope of hope. * China cracks down on private education. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through September 30, 2021. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

27 Jul 20211h 5min

COVID Isn’t the Reason Markets Got Sick – Ep 717

COVID Isn’t the Reason Markets Got Sick – Ep 717

* Bitcoin gets skipped over in investors’ rush to safe havens. * Gold mining stocks have never been a better deal. * Fiscal stimulus without monetary stimulus is no longer possible. * Bitcoin has a sucker’s rally after getting comfortable below $30k. Thanks Tru Niagen. Get 10% off your first purchase as a new customer by going to https://truniagen.com/peter with the promo code PETER For a limited time, get 40% off a Calm Premium subscription at https://calm.com/gold RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Jul 20211h

PBS Frontline Misses the Fed’s Real Power to Destroy – Ep 716

PBS Frontline Misses the Fed’s Real Power to Destroy – Ep 716

* The power to inflate is the power to destroy. Fed ensures most Americans are living on the edge. * Quantitative Easing is just another word for government debt monetization. * We’re always just one bubble away from the next financial crisis. * Government creates a moral hazard with every subsidy it gets involved in. * Power is most dangerous when it’s not understood by those wielding it. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://Indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through September 30, 2021. Redeem your 30-day trial for only 99¢ at https://Literati.com/gold Watch The Housing Bubble film: https://letusdisagree.com/ RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

19 Jul 20211h 16min

Fed Bets the Farm on Transitory Inflation – Ep 715

Fed Bets the Farm on Transitory Inflation – Ep 715

* Government data says inflation worse than the 80s; real data says inflation already worse than the 70s. * Hypocritical Republicans criticize Biden for the same policies they pushed for under Trump. * Jerome Powell claims economy is great, but it needs the same amount of stimulus as when it was crashing. * Fed claims to have the tools to fight inflation if it gets too high, but not using them now proves they don’t. * Powell admits people aren’t working because they’re being paid not to. Go to https://Bambee.com/gold to schedule your FREE HR audit. Thanks Raycon!. Go To https://buyraycon.com/gold for 15% off your entire Raycon order. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

16 Jul 20211h 12min

CPI and PPI Expose Transitory Inflation Ruse – Ep 714

CPI and PPI Expose Transitory Inflation Ruse – Ep 714

* Fed forced to admit that inflation will be higher and last longer than they predicted. * June CPI numbers come in almost double Fed’s expectations. * Highest monthly CPI increase in 13 years. * Stock indexes are not a hedge against inflation. * Producer costs are rising faster than consumer prices. * Consumer prices are rising faster than wages. * No signs that inflation is transitory in the oil market. Thanks Ladder Life Insurance. Go to https://ladderlife.com/gold today to see if you’re instantly approved. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

14 Jul 202149min

Lies That Central Bankers and Bitcoin Pumpers Tell – Ep 713

Lies That Central Bankers and Bitcoin Pumpers Tell – Ep 713

* Oil prices break their winning streak. * As stimulus runs out, Americans reach record high in consumer credit. * ECB vows to increase cost of living for Europeans. * Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin spin should fool no one. Become a Firstleaf member and get 6 bottles of wine for $29.95 and free shipping https://TryFirstLeaf.com/GOLD RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

10 Jul 202154min

Markets Are Bracing For the Wrong Impact – Ep 712

Markets Are Bracing For the Wrong Impact – Ep 712

* Bitcoin and other risky assets being sold off. * Investors flee to gold and other safe havens. * Fed goes from thinking about thinking about tapering to talking about talking about it. * Supply of starter homes at 50 year low. * Buying Bitcoin is as risky as it’s ever been. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through Sept. 30, 2021. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

8 Jul 202150min

All Americans Can Celebrate Independence Day – Ep 711

All Americans Can Celebrate Independence Day – Ep 711

* Oil marches toward record highs in Europe. * Inflation disguised in new restaurant fees. * The Constitution applies to all Americans. * Slave trade started and ended in Africa, not the United States. * Slavery was outlawed in the US before anywhere else in the world. Get an extra 3 months Free on a one year package. https://Expressvpn.com/gold RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

6 Jul 202153min

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