Napier and Johnson: The Money Riddle

Napier and Johnson: The Money Riddle

For the past decade, Russell Napier has correctly called for disinflation, dissenting with the conventional wisdom that inflation is on horizon. Yet he has changed his mind, and in this conversation with Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital, Napier explains why he believes the inflationary tides, so long delayed, may soon arrive on the shores of currencies such as the dollar and the euro. Napier argues that fiscal authorities are, via macroprudential regulation, essentially compelling commercial banks to lend and are also requiring them to hold unattractive assets such as negative yielding debt. This new force, Napier continues, will succeed where quantitative easing (QE) has failed in expanding commercial bank balance sheets. Johnson and Napier analyze how this new potential regime will impact affect pensioners, students, and savers as well as how it will shape the destiny of every asset class ranging from equities to Treasurys, from European bank debt to currencies, and from mortgage-backed securities to fine art. . For more charts, click here: https://rvtv.io/3lsOdZw and https://rvtv.io/36BS7cC. Key learnings: Rapid growth of the money supply coupled with low inventories could push the U.S. into a reflationary whirlwind. Napier has an inflation target of 4% for the OECD because he believes macroprudential regulation will compel large financial institutions to lend and hold dubious assets to an unprecedented degree. This view is not necessarily bearish for the dollar, nor for emerging market (EM) currencies, which might prove more resilient than many anticipate. But, it does spell trouble for the Euro, which is already in a bad way. Recorded on November 11, 2020 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episoder(2002)

Daily Briefing - May 19, 2020

Daily Briefing - May 19, 2020

Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington hosts managing editor Ed Harrison to discuss the retracement of the S&P 500 amid a distressing Bank of America study that found that only 10 percent of fund managers are anticipating the V-shaped recovery that has been promised. Ed and Ash also explore the troubling stories coming out of Latin America, the trouble in the European banking sector, and the potential of a redenomination of the Euro into legacy currencies. In the intro, Jack Farley takes a closer look at PNC Financial’s sale of its stake in Blackrock. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

19 Mai 202035min

The Interview - A Pandemic Focused Pension Health Update

The Interview - A Pandemic Focused Pension Health Update

Long before the market’s most recent correction, underfunded pensions were already a huge concern. Now that prices have fallen along with interest rates, pensions are in an even worse position than before. Leo Kolivakis, publisher of Pension Pulse, returns to update Ed Harrison and Real Vision viewers on the state of the global pension system with a specific focus on how the short vol trade and private market investments have and will continue to be affected by the crisis.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

19 Mai 202033min

Daily Briefing - May 18, 2020

Daily Briefing - May 18, 2020

Real Vision Senior Editor Ash Bennington hosts Managing Editor Ed Harrison to make sense of a roaring day on Wall Street. They analyze the extreme bullishness in today's session through the lens of Fed Chair Powell's remarks, and discuss yield divergences in European sovereigns, as well as the valuation of European banks. In the intro, Jack Farley takes a look at recent 13F filings. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

18 Mai 202029min

The Interview - Corona Crisis: The View from The Valley

The Interview - Corona Crisis: The View from The Valley

Balaji Srinivasan is a highly accomplished investor, entrepreneur, executive, and academic. In this conversation with Real Vision’s Ash Bennington, Srinivasan unpacks his tech-centric view of combating the coronavirus — informed by his background in the medical testing space and his Ph.D. work in microbial genetics at Stanford. Srinivasan also served as the Chief Technical Officer at the digital currency behemoth CoinBase and as a general partner at the storied Silicon Valley venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz. Srinivasan also shares his perspective on what changes the US government needs to institute in order to compete with China to control the coronavirus outbreak.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

17 Mai 20201h 13min

Daily Briefing - May 15, 2020

Daily Briefing - May 15, 2020

Real Vision's CEO and co-founder, Raoul Pal, joins Senior Editor Ash Bennington to update viewers on his "Unfolding" thesis about the trajectory of the COVID crisis and its effects on the economy and markets. He also unpacks his views about the solvency risks in the BBB bond market and reviews highlights from his interviews with legendary investors Howard Marks and Kyle Bass. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

15 Mai 202037min

Daily Briefing - May 14, 2020

Daily Briefing - May 14, 2020

Real Vision’s Managing Editor Ed Harrison is joined by Roger Hirst to discuss the latest developments in markets, macro, and the coronavirus crisis. Peter Cooper talks about how China, Hong Kong, and South Korea are facing setbacks with a new wave of cases. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

14 Mai 202031min

Daily Briefing - May 13, 2020

Daily Briefing - May 13, 2020

Real Vision's senior editor Ash Bennington sits down with managing editor Roger Hirst to discuss the latest in macro, markets, and coronavirus. They dive into the psychological and economic repercussions that the shutdown has had on both New York City and London. They also talk about how the Fed's intervention in markets has played a role in supporting asset prices, the level of uncertainty about where they will go in the future, and why currency markets are the optimal place to express a macro position. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

13 Mai 202037min

Daily Briefing - May 12, 2020

Daily Briefing - May 12, 2020

Real Vision's Ash Bennington and managing editor Ed Harrison discuss the latest developments in macro, markets, and coronavirus. They dive into the havoc wrecked on the jobs market, the continuously moving plans to reopen the US economy, and Dr. Fauci's warning today to the US senate. They also review what's happening in the Eurozone and which European economies may be a model for the US's own reopening. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

12 Mai 202034min

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