Vulnerabilities of the Reflation Consensus: DB- Jan7, 2021

Vulnerabilities of the Reflation Consensus: DB- Jan7, 2021

Real Vision managing editors Ed Harrison and Roger Hirst examine the consensus around reflation which has gripped financial markets – a narrative that Roger views as the most unanimous one he’s seen in his entire career. Ed and Roger first define reflation as a pick-up in growth alongside inflation and explore why so many market participants believe it to be a foregone conclusion. They then discuss the rush into small-caps, high yield, and low-quality stocks that has occurred as the confidence in reflation has strengthened. Ed and Roger consider everything from the yield curve to job losses to speculative positioning in copper and cattle, and they look forward to what is on the horizon for markets and the economy. In the intro, Real Vision’s Haley Draznin examines why the political unrest in Washington didn’t dent cryptocurrency or the stock market’s ongoing rally Thursday, and she looks ahead at what to expect from the job market in 2021. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episoder(1978)

Adventures in Finance 10 - Carson Block: Short-selling Legend and Market Vigilante

Adventures in Finance 10 - Carson Block: Short-selling Legend and Market Vigilante

Carson Block, Founder of Muddy Waters Research, single-handedly dismantles fraudulent companies and his research can cause stocks to plummet 90% in market cap. As one of the world's preeminent short-sellers, Carson shares his incredible story and process for identifying fraudulent targets. In 'Things I Got Wrong', Dr. Steve Keen, professor of economics at Kingston University London, fesses up to misjudging the Australian real estate bubble. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

7 Apr 201750min

Adventures in Finance 9 - Reflation: American Dream or Political Nightmare?

Adventures in Finance 9 - Reflation: American Dream or Political Nightmare?

Deconstruct the Trump Reflation Trade as unsightly political realities emerge from the shadows. In 'Things I Got Wrong', David Hay, CIO of Evergreen Gavekal, confesses to underestimating central bank firepower and the usefulness of extreme market sentiment readings. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

30 Mar 20171h 2min

Adventures in Finance 8 - Over the Barrel: A Journey From Boom to Bust

Adventures in Finance 8 - Over the Barrel: A Journey From Boom to Bust

The repercussions of a boom-bust energy cycle and massive infrastructure investment means a supply glut and potentially lower oil prices for much longer than anyone expects. In 'Things I Got Wrong', Michael Lewitt sets aside his ego and trusts in the machines and artificial intelligence. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

23 Mar 20171h 2min

Adventures in Finance 7 - The Triggering: Article 50 and Brexit

Adventures in Finance 7 - The Triggering: Article 50 and Brexit

Uncertainty reigns, as political and economic forces build before the historic negotiations which could alter the shape of Great Britain and the EU forever. In 'Things I Got Wrong', Bill Fleckenstein, CEO of Fleckenstein Capital discusses the mistakes he made in underestimating the folly and largesse of Central Bankers. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

17 Mar 201758min

Adventures in Finance 6 - Satellites, Big Data and Finance

Adventures in Finance 6 - Satellites, Big Data and Finance

Explore how satellite imagery data is being utilized to drive financial insights, with advice from James Crawford, CEO of Oribital Insights. In ‘The Things I Got Wrong’, Jawad Mian, Founder of Stray Reflections, sits down to share his slip-ups about silver and managing your ego. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

9 Mar 201755min

Adventures in Finance 5 - China’s One Belt One Road

Adventures in Finance 5 - China’s One Belt One Road

Unearth unprecedented investment opportunities in China’s One Belt One Road strategy – something we haven’t seen since the BRICS. Plus, Ben Hunt, Chief Investment Strategist at Salient Partners shares what he got wrong about Europe. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

2 Mar 201753min

Adventures in Finance 4 - Analyzing Cyclical Market Behavior

Adventures in Finance 4 - Analyzing Cyclical Market Behavior

Understand how to leverage financial cycles & forecast future markets with veteran investor Robin Griffiths. Also on this week, Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital, tells us his misjudgments’ on gold and being a true contrarian. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

23 Feb 201752min

Adventures in Finance 3 - Opportunities in German Real Estate

Adventures in Finance 3 - Opportunities in German Real Estate

Uncover the huge untapped potential in Germany’s real estate market and the interesting cultural and fundamental dynamics driving this opportunity. Mark Yusko, CEO and CIO of Morgan Creek Capital Management, also shares what he got wrong about volatility and leverage in 2008. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

9 Feb 201754min

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