Felix Zulauf's Outlook on Equities, Bonds, Currencies, and Commodities (w/Raoul Pal)

Felix Zulauf's Outlook on Equities, Bonds, Currencies, and Commodities (w/Raoul Pal)

The Interview: Raoul Pal, CEO and co-founder of Real Vision, welcomes Felix Zulauf, legendary investor and CEO of Zulauf Consulting, to share his thoughts on the interplay of interest rates, equities, and inflation as well as share his macro outlook as debt and demographics reshape the future of economic growth. Zulauf believes that the current macro setting of rising yields and a falling dollar mirror the conditions prior to the 1987 equity crash, commonly known as Black Monday, which wiped out hundreds of billions of dollars worth of equity valuation overnight. Zulauf sees this correction not as a disaster scenario but merely a detour to another leg higher. Zulauf remains constructive on equities, at least in the long-term, due to his belief that central banks are dedicated to propping up risk assets like never before since a decline in risk assets by 10% would roughly correspond to a loss in 1% of GDP growth. Recorded on February 11, 2021. Key learnings: Zulauf sees a possibility of a 10-15% correction in the near-term as rising yields trigger investment models to cut back risk. He thinks rising yields will make for a bleak 2021 for gold although he is constructive on the precious metal in 2022 and beyond. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Episoder(2003)

Adventures in Finance 19 - Over Stocked & Under Sold: A Tale of the US Shopper and the Global Economy

Adventures in Finance 19 - Over Stocked & Under Sold: A Tale of the US Shopper and the Global Economy

If you want to predict the path of the global economy, you best have a pulse on the US consumer. At 70% of the US economy, consumer spending is in the economic driver seat. We speak to Stephanie Pomboy, economist and founder of MacroMavens, someone that has consistently got it right in predicting US consumer trends and has the inside track on where the US consumer is headed next. In ‘Things I Got Wrong’, we speak with Jerry Haworth, CEO of 36 South Capital Advisors, about what he got wrong shorting the Nasdaq in 1998. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

9 Jun 20171h 3min

Adventures in Finance 18 - Bitcoin: Journey Beyond the Hype to a Universe of Applications

Adventures in Finance 18 - Bitcoin: Journey Beyond the Hype to a Universe of Applications

Bitcoin is all everyone can talk about and the public is downright hysterical about the price, but the price is not what you need to be focusing on. This week, we explore how Bitcoin and the underlying blockchain technology have opened up a universe of applications that have the potential to revolutionize entire industries and economies. In 'Things I Got Wrong', we speak with Jesse Felder, publisher of the Felder Report, about what he got wrong while holding a stock in a sector the government wanted dead. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

2 Jun 20171h 8min

Adventures in Finance 17 - Demographics Are Destiny

Adventures in Finance 17 - Demographics Are Destiny

Neil Howe isn't only a household name for finance-types, he coined the term "Millennials" and literally wrote the book on generational analysis. This week, he shares his insights on where we stand in his Fourth Turning framework and what it means for markets and society. In 'Things I Got Wrong', Simon Mikhailovich, Founding Partner of Toqueville Bullion Reserve, shares what he got wrong about liquidity and leverage during 2007. (A very special thanks and congratulations to our producer, James, and his Mrs. on the arrival of their baby girl, Hayley!) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

26 Mai 20171h 9min

Adventures in Finance 16 - Having Reservations: US Restaurant Revenues Signal Recession Risk

Adventures in Finance 16 - Having Reservations: US Restaurant Revenues Signal Recession Risk

What if restaurant sales could predict the next recession? According to Paul Westra, Senior Research Analyst at Stifel, decades of restaurant sales data accurately predicted the last two US recessions, and the next one might be the biggest one yet. In 'Things I Got Wrong', and back by popular demand, Chris Cole, CIO of Artemis Capital Management, talks about what he got wrong in adjusting his systematic strategy to a new market regime. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

19 Mai 20171h 2min

Adventures in Finance 15 - Crises, Bubbles, Scandals: Financial History Uncensored (Part 1)

Adventures in Finance 15 - Crises, Bubbles, Scandals: Financial History Uncensored (Part 1)

"The farther back you can look, the farther forward you are likely to see", Sir Winston Churchill. Men and women of historical significance understood the importance of history. Tim Price, partner and Director of Investment at PFP Wealth Management and author of Investing Through the Looking Glass, kicks off our extended look at the history of financial crises and scandals, and what they can tell us about the future. In 'Things I Got Wrong', Alex Gurevich, CIO of HonTe Investments, shares what he got wrong about conflating market forecasting with other realms of expertise.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

12 Mai 20171h 15min

Adventures in Finance 14 - Feeding the Future: Debt, Demographics, & Dinner Plates

Adventures in Finance 14 - Feeding the Future: Debt, Demographics, & Dinner Plates

The agricultural industry sustains human life but is taken for granted and is subject to volatile cycles. Alan Boyce, former Soros Fund Management Director and Agtech investor, talks us through the biggest challenges facing the industry and major blind-spots few are aware of. In 'Things I Got Wrong', Daniel Want, CIO and co-founder of Prerequisite Capital Management, shares what he got wrong about the end-game in Australian real estate. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

5 Mai 20171h 8min

Adventures in Finance 13 - What Lies Beneath: Volatility in a Peaceful World

Adventures in Finance 13 - What Lies Beneath: Volatility in a Peaceful World

Volatility permeates markets, nature, and life. Yet, it is monumentally misunderstood, and often to ruinous consequences. Stephen Diggle, Founder of Vulpes Investment Management, and Chris Cole, Managing Partner at Artemis Capital Management, get at the heart of what individual investors need to know about volatility. 'In Things I Got Wrong', Chris Martenson, Founder of PeakProsperity.com, shares what he got wrong with market structure and communicating emotionally charged ideas. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

28 Apr 20171h 13min

Adventures in Finance 12 - Bass and Burbank, A Masterclass

Adventures in Finance 12 - Bass and Burbank, A Masterclass

Learn from hedge fund legends as Kyle Bass interviews John Burbank III to reveal insights and ideas that differentiate truly independent market thinkers from amateur speculators. In 'Things I Got Wrong', John Netto, the Protean Trader and Author of The Global Macro Edge, discusses his error in preparing for catalysts and the evaluation framework that sprung from this experience. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

21 Apr 20171h 7min

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