The Worse Things Get, the Less Investors Notice – Ep. 337
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast15 Mars 2018

The Worse Things Get, the Less Investors Notice – Ep. 337

Retail Sales Down Three Months in a Row
I've got so much to talk about today, it's hard to even figure out where to begin. So I'll start with some of the economic data that came out today, in particular, the February Retail Sales number. Remember last month we had a bad number, -.3, the second month in a row we had a decline in retail sales. The expectation was for a big rebound in February, +.4. Now, I suppose the good news, if you are looking for retail sales to pick up is that they revised the January number upward from -.3 to -.1. Still a drop, but not quite as big. But instead of getting a rebound, we got another drop! We got another .1% decline in February. That's a trifecta. Three months in a row of falling retail sales. That hasn't happened in 6 years. This is pretty rare.
Great Jobs, Lousy Sales
Why is this happening? Remember on Friday, we got this "beautiful", too-good-to-be-true, just what the doctor ordered jobs report that said about a million people got jobs. Why didn't any of those million people take their paychecks and spend them at a retailer? Trump is talking about all the great jobs and all the raises that people are getting and all the tax cuts, why are retail sales down for 3 months in a row?
Spike in Inventory Numbers
In fact, we also got some inventory numbers that came out that spiked up because of an 18-month slump in sales. So inventories are building because nobody is buying what's on the shelf. Well, that doesn't make sense if you believe the economy is great and we've got all these jobs. But if you're like me and you've been very skeptical of the economy being good, this is a validation, because Americans are broke.
Borrowing at Record Highs
This is despite the fact that borrowing is at a record high. Consumers are borrowing a lot of money, yet they're not spending it on retailers, what are they doing with the borrowed money? The government is borrowing a lot of money, we're running these huge deficits, yet it is not even affecting retail sales. That is really the goal, they want people to go out and shop, and it's not happening.
Atlanta Fed Again Lowers Q1 GDP Estimate
After the retail sales numbers came out, we got the Atlanta Fed updating their forecast for Q1 GDP. Remember, this is the forecast that was at 5.4% about 5 or 6 weeks ago. Of course, you remember on my podcast, as soon as that came out, I said, "This is crazy. There's no way we're going to be anywhere near that. They will be doing this limbo for weeks and months and they're going to be lowering the bar". On Friday, I reported on my podcast that they has lowered the bar to 2.5%, the lowest forecast since they started forecasting Q1 for 2018. And what I said on Friday was, "They aren't done going lower. there's room for this bar to go down". I said I thought that the GDP for Q1 would be under 2%.
Goldman Sachs Also Lowers Q1 GDP Forecast to 1.9%
Today, after these retail sales numbers, the Atlanta Fed went down to 1.9%. That is a decline of 65% in their forecast from 5 or 6 weeks ago. It's not just the Atlanta Fed. Goldman Sachs is now at 1.9%. And you know what? This is probably not the low water mark. I think there is at least a 50-50 shot that we end up with a zero handle on Q1 GDP.
Borrowing Q2 GDP Growth and Shoving it into Q1
Given how weak the data has been coming in, especially the big trade deficits. The only reason we might end with a 1 handle and not a zero handle is these rising inventories. In the short run, they give a boost to the GDP, but if inventories are rising because nobody is spending, what does that mean? That means that businesses are going to allow the inventories to wind down, they're not going to keep stocking up. So what we're doing is we're borrowing GDP growth from Q2 and we're shoving it into Q1. Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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Bitcoin Is Nothing Like Gold – Ep 694

Bitcoin Is Nothing Like Gold – Ep 694

* Rotation continues from momentum to value as Bitcoin investors turn to gold. * China is the excuse, not the reason for the Bitcoin bubble bursting. * This Crypto Winter may be the longest and most brutal of all. * Dave Portnoy shills Safemoon gimmick. * Coinbase may be the biggest failure vs. expectations of any IPO in history. * Crypto crash ushers in bear market for Tesla, Square, Microstrategy, Riot Blockchain, Galaxy Digital. * Gold is in a solid bull market making new highs. * Paul Krugman is right on Bitcoin and wrong on gold. * The US is now officially a Banana Republic without the bananas. Check out Ladder today to see if you’re instantly approved, go to https://ladderlife.com/GOLD RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

22 Maj 202156min

Crypto Crash. Buy the Dip or Sell the Rip? – Ep 693

Crypto Crash. Buy the Dip or Sell the Rip? – Ep 693

* Bitcoin proves it is not a safe haven asset. * Investors begin rotation from Bitcoin to gold. * Bitcoin is the white whale and Michael Saylor is Captain Ahab. * Anthony Pompliano wants your cash, not your Bitcoin. * Gold investors spooked by suggestion of a possible discussion to potentially think about talking about tapering. * US Dollar crash may look similar to today’s Bitcoin crash. Free $75 sponsored job credit at https://Indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through June 30, 2021. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

20 Maj 202145min

Investors Begin to Worry the Fed Won’t Fight Inflation – Ep 692

Investors Begin to Worry the Fed Won’t Fight Inflation – Ep 692

* Dollar falls towards new lows. * Inflation fears become more widespread. * Wall Street beginning to realize there’s no political solution to inflation.
Bitcoin following risk stocks lower, as inflation hedges like gold and silver rise. * Fearing 2% inflation, Bitcoin investors lose 34% on their hedge. * Bitcoin staring at enormous head and shoulders top. * Microstrategy stock down 63% from its high. * Michael Saylor lies and hides. Go to https://Bambee.com/gold to schedule your FREE HR audit. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

19 Maj 20211h 2min

All Signs Point to Stagflation – Ep 691

All Signs Point to Stagflation – Ep 691

* Oil prices pump. * Bitcoin prices dump. * Gold prices shine. * US leads world in over-valued momentum stocks. * Tucker Carlson talks inflation. * Windows look like nails to the Fed’s hammer. * Soaring inflation outweighs record lows mortgage rates. * Manufacturing decreases in April. * Economic statistics point to stagflation. Thanks to Amazon Pharmacy. Amazon Prime Members can save on prescription medication when not using insurance and get FREE 2-Day delivery! Learn more at https://amazon.com/GOLD RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

15 Maj 20211h 5min

Soaring CPI Shocks Clueless Investors and Economists – Ep 690

Soaring CPI Shocks Clueless Investors and Economists – Ep 690

* CPI numbers shock expectations. * Biggest monthly gain in CPI since 1981. * Gasoline supply chain disrupted by ransomware hack. * Price gouging alleviates shortages. * Unemployed workers shouldn’t be picky. * Disincentivizing people from jobs is not good for the economy. * Dogecoiners buy the rumor and sell the fact on Elon Musk SNL appearance. * Accolades have gone to Cathie Woods’ head. * ARKK will likely make a new 52 week low this year. * CNBC continues to ignore emerging markets, value stocks, and gold. * ]The people saying sub-prime was contained in 2008 are the same people saying inflation is transitory now. Thanks Raycon!. Go To https://buyraycon.com/gold for 15% off your entire Raycon order. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

12 Maj 202154min

Jobs Not Required to Spend Printed Money – Ep 689

Jobs Not Required to Spend Printed Money – Ep 689

* Huge misses in jobs numbers. * Biden’s Blue-Collar Blueprint to build back better will be another big bureaucratic blunder. * Jobs report is more evidence the Fed’s policies aren’t working. * Weaker labor market means stronger inflation. * Dollar decline will accelerate. * Strong week for gold and silver with more strength ahead. * Investors continue their move from growth to value stocks. * Bitcoin maximalists in glass houses throwing stones at Dogecoin. * Elon Musk may create a market top in Dogecoin after his SNL appearance. * Jeff Gundlach is a fan of The Peter Schiff Show. Listen to the latest season of Business Wars (Vaccine Wars) on Apple Podcasts, Amazon Music, or listen early and ad-free by joining Wondery Plus in the Wondery app. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

8 Maj 20211h 1min

The Fed Can’t Be Honest About Inflation – Ep 688

The Fed Can’t Be Honest About Inflation – Ep 688

* Inflation concerns increase along with commodity prices. * Trade deficit will fuel inflationary spiral. * Government reclassifying our rights as privileges so they can take them away. * Supreme Court sets precedent for the federal government to start seizing property. * Americans need property rights, not property privileges. Get an extra 3 months Free on a one year package. https://Expressvpn.com/gold RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

5 Maj 202150min

Fed Helps Biden Cheat to Avoid Economic “F” – Ep 687

Fed Helps Biden Cheat to Avoid Economic “F” – Ep 687

* Markets, gold, bonds, oil end April up; US dollar down. * Investors may “sell in May and going away.” * More than one third of US household income is now coming from the government. Thanks Clear. For a limited time, get your first two months of Clear for free by going to https://Clearme.com/GOLD2 and use the promo code GOLD2 RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

1 Maj 202136min

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