Numbers Always Look Good When Recessions Begin – Ep.  405

Numbers Always Look Good When Recessions Begin – Ep. 405

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Look Carefully at the Price Index
The GDP number came out yesterday; 3/5% did slightly beat the consensus of 3.3%, but remember, for a while the Atlanta Fed was looking for a print in the 4's. But the New York Fed was at 2.2%, so the print was much higher than what the New York Fed was looking for. But if you look at the internals, the biggest reason that we got 3.5% was because of the price index - the "deflator". Last quarter, when we had 4.2%, the government said that prices rose at an annualized rate of 3%. But in Q3, they said that prices only rose at an annualized rate of 1.7%.
Calling B.S. on that Number
Now I call B.S. on that number. I don't think we had that significant a slowdown in the annualized rate of inflation between the second quarter of the year and the third quarter of the year. If the 3% inflation rate had held steady, then Q2 GDP would have been just 2.2%. So, obviously not nearly as good a headline as 3.5%. We'll see if they revise this thing down after the election. Obviously the Republicans can still campaign on 3.5% even if it turns out that 3.5% was an over-estimate.
Largest Trade Deficit in History
I think new data is going to come out - particularly on trade. Donald Trump is out there again bragging about how we're winning the trade war. I talked about that. That was the topic of my last podcast because we just printed the worse Merchandise Trade Deficit on a monthly basis in U.S. history.
Trade Deficit Amounted to the Largest Subtraction from GDP in 33 Years
The trade deficit was so large in the third quarter that it subtracted 1.78 percentage points from the GDP number. That is the largest subtraction from GDP that we have had from trade during a quarter in 33 years. What happens, when you calculate GDP, you take government spending, you take consumer spending and business spending and then you add in your trade surplus or you subtract out your trade deficit. Now, since we never have a trade surplus, trade is always a net subtraction from the GDP.

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Bad Policy Disables Economies in China and America – Ep 718

Bad Policy Disables Economies in China and America – Ep 718

* High roads don’t win votes. * The road to hell is paved with good intentions and is wheelchair accessible. * Bitcoin rallies on its slope of hope. * China cracks down on private education. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through September 30, 2021. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

27 Juli 20211h 5min

COVID Isn’t the Reason Markets Got Sick – Ep 717

COVID Isn’t the Reason Markets Got Sick – Ep 717

* Bitcoin gets skipped over in investors’ rush to safe havens. * Gold mining stocks have never been a better deal. * Fiscal stimulus without monetary stimulus is no longer possible. * Bitcoin has a sucker’s rally after getting comfortable below $30k. Thanks Tru Niagen. Get 10% off your first purchase as a new customer by going to https://truniagen.com/peter with the promo code PETER For a limited time, get 40% off a Calm Premium subscription at https://calm.com/gold RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Juli 20211h

PBS Frontline Misses the Fed’s Real Power to Destroy – Ep 716

PBS Frontline Misses the Fed’s Real Power to Destroy – Ep 716

* The power to inflate is the power to destroy. Fed ensures most Americans are living on the edge. * Quantitative Easing is just another word for government debt monetization. * We’re always just one bubble away from the next financial crisis. * Government creates a moral hazard with every subsidy it gets involved in. * Power is most dangerous when it’s not understood by those wielding it. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://Indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through September 30, 2021. Redeem your 30-day trial for only 99¢ at https://Literati.com/gold Watch The Housing Bubble film: https://letusdisagree.com/ RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

19 Juli 20211h 16min

Fed Bets the Farm on Transitory Inflation – Ep 715

Fed Bets the Farm on Transitory Inflation – Ep 715

* Government data says inflation worse than the 80s; real data says inflation already worse than the 70s. * Hypocritical Republicans criticize Biden for the same policies they pushed for under Trump. * Jerome Powell claims economy is great, but it needs the same amount of stimulus as when it was crashing. * Fed claims to have the tools to fight inflation if it gets too high, but not using them now proves they don’t. * Powell admits people aren’t working because they’re being paid not to. Go to https://Bambee.com/gold to schedule your FREE HR audit. Thanks Raycon!. Go To https://buyraycon.com/gold for 15% off your entire Raycon order. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

16 Juli 20211h 12min

CPI and PPI Expose Transitory Inflation Ruse – Ep 714

CPI and PPI Expose Transitory Inflation Ruse – Ep 714

* Fed forced to admit that inflation will be higher and last longer than they predicted. * June CPI numbers come in almost double Fed’s expectations. * Highest monthly CPI increase in 13 years. * Stock indexes are not a hedge against inflation. * Producer costs are rising faster than consumer prices. * Consumer prices are rising faster than wages. * No signs that inflation is transitory in the oil market. Thanks Ladder Life Insurance. Go to https://ladderlife.com/gold today to see if you’re instantly approved. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

14 Juli 202149min

Lies That Central Bankers and Bitcoin Pumpers Tell – Ep 713

Lies That Central Bankers and Bitcoin Pumpers Tell – Ep 713

* Oil prices break their winning streak. * As stimulus runs out, Americans reach record high in consumer credit. * ECB vows to increase cost of living for Europeans. * Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin spin should fool no one. Become a Firstleaf member and get 6 bottles of wine for $29.95 and free shipping https://TryFirstLeaf.com/GOLD RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

10 Juli 202154min

Markets Are Bracing For the Wrong Impact – Ep 712

Markets Are Bracing For the Wrong Impact – Ep 712

* Bitcoin and other risky assets being sold off. * Investors flee to gold and other safe havens. * Fed goes from thinking about thinking about tapering to talking about talking about it. * Supply of starter homes at 50 year low. * Buying Bitcoin is as risky as it’s ever been. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through Sept. 30, 2021. RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

8 Juli 202150min

All Americans Can Celebrate Independence Day – Ep 711

All Americans Can Celebrate Independence Day – Ep 711

* Oil marches toward record highs in Europe. * Inflation disguised in new restaurant fees. * The Constitution applies to all Americans. * Slave trade started and ended in Africa, not the United States. * Slavery was outlawed in the US before anywhere else in the world. Get an extra 3 months Free on a one year package. https://Expressvpn.com/gold RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

6 Juli 202153min

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