Are We Still Heading for a Recession? w/ David Rosenberg

Are We Still Heading for a Recession? w/ David Rosenberg

🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/41tyn6M. David Rosenberg, founder and president of Rosenberg Research, joins Ash Bennington to share his views on the current state of the economy, a growing disconnect between supply and demand, and what it means for the potential of a recession. David also discusses the bubble he sees forming in the stock market, and where he's spotting investment opportunities. Recorded on Thursday, June 20th. This episode is brought to you by TOKEN2049 Singapore. Join over 20,000 attendees for the world’s largest crypto event: TOKEN2049 Singapore on 18 to 19 September. 🔥 Visit www.realvision.com/token2049 for 15% off tickets, only with the code 'REALVISION’. Timestamps: 00:00 - Sponsor: Token2049 01:01 - Introduction of David Rosenberg 01:37 - David's perspective on the current economy 02:18 - Comparison to the 2007 economic outlook 03:33 - Recession pressures and the business cycle 04:11 - Impact of fiscal stimulus on the economy 05:25 - Credit card debt and delinquency rates 06:41 - Changes in consumer behavior and credit card balances 07:53 - The role of excess savings and stimulus checks 08:27 - San Francisco Fed report on excess savings 09:02 - Consumer revolt against high prices 10:06 - Discrepancy between current economic conditions and the Fed's statements 11:23 - Historical comparisons to 2008 and recession signals 12:34 - Overstated non-farm payrolls and data revisions 13:37 - Signs of a potential recession in various economic sectors 14:13 - GDP growth and economic activity slowing down 15:17 - Lack of catalysts for re-acceleration in growth 16:26 - Importance of supply and demand in forecasting inflation 18:11 - Expectations for disinflation and Fed rate cuts 19:20 - Discussion on current trend growth and productivity gains 21:04 - Labor force participation and its impact on the economy 22:15 - Disconnect between productivity gains and aggregate demand 23:26 - Impact of housing and consumer behavior on the economy 24:34 - Global economic conditions and their effect on US exports 25:40 - Outlook on inflation and interest rates without a recession 26:16 - Increasing unemployment rate and its impact on wages 27:23 - Supply curve dynamics leading to disinflation 28:43 - Capacity growth in the industrial sector 29:18 - Expectations for inflation to reach the Fed's target 30:26 - Implications for asset prices and the stock market 31:39 - Concentration risk and the impact of high-performing tech stocks 33:33 - Concerns about excessive valuations and investor behavior 35:08 - Importance of thematic investing and capital preservation 36:50 - Sectors with growth potential: Aerospace, defense, utilities, and healthcare 38:57 - Trading down and frugality trends among consumers 40:14 - Staples and essential sectors as investment opportunities 41:37 - Utilities as a growth area due to climate change and infrastructure needs 43:17 - The role of gold and gold mining stocks in a disinflationary environment 44:56 - Impact of passive indexation on market distortions 46:41 - Risks of bubble bursts and historical parallels 48:02 - Potential market corrections and investor psychology 50:13 - Advice on profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing 51:57 - Importance of capital preservation and conservative investing 52:36 - Final thoughts on the current market cycle 53:47 - Importance of historical context in investing decisions 54:33 - Sentiment and psychology driving market behavior 55:52 - Recommendations for protective strategies in investing Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Avsnitt(2000)

Trading the Markets LIVE (May 14, 2025) | Kris Bullock & Bijan Maleki

Trading the Markets LIVE (May 14, 2025) | Kris Bullock & Bijan Maleki

🔥 *Get Raoul Pal's FREE Report to Unf*ck Your Future* https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe It's time to talk Trade Ideas... ⬜ Real Vision's Kris Bullock and Bijan Maleki are back to break down their favorite trades from the RV Trade Ideas section before taking questions from the audience about the current state of markets. Tune in every Wednesday at 1pm ET on Real Vision, YouTube, and X. 🔥 Arch Public: It’s a hedge fund in your pocket. Built for retail traders, designed to outperform Wall Street. Try it for free: https://realvision.com/arch 📣 Today’s sponsor is Plus500 US. Take your trading to the next level with cross-market contracts, from precious metals to key indices, and more. Whether you’re a seasoned trader in the Futures arena or brand new, Plus500’s user-friendly trading platform offers you the advanced tools, market insights, and quick execution you’ve been looking for. 👉 Get started with Plus500 for as little as $100 at https://us.plus500.com. Trading in futures involves the risk of loss. Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, tools, and network to succeed on your financial journey. Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Website: https://www.realvision.com/join Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Linkedin: https://rvtv.io/linkedin 👉 Join our Discord channel and meet like-minded people: discord.com/invite/kYQY2Nd45Y Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

15 Maj 33min

US Inflation Cools, China Tariff Truce, and UK Jobs Data: PALvatar Market Recap, May 13 2025

US Inflation Cools, China Tariff Truce, and UK Jobs Data: PALvatar Market Recap, May 13 2025

🔥 Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal’s AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today’s update, Palvatar breaks down softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data, with CPI edging closer to the Fed’s 2% target. Markets rallied in response, led by tech, while a temporary U.S.-China tariff truce added fuel to the fire. Over in the UK, rising unemployment and slower wage growth raised expectations of more rate cuts by the Bank of England. Stay tuned for the latest macro pulse with your AI macro guide. 🔹 Why tune in? Stay ahead of market-moving developments with concise, data-driven insights. 🔹 Who should listen? Traders, investors, and macro enthusiasts looking for real-time market intelligence. 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. This episode is #sponsored by @FigureMarkets—the platform to Earn and Borrow. Unlock your crypto’s potential today—click below to apply for a Crypto Backed Loan today! figure.com/realvision Disclaimer: These views are generated by AI and do not represent Raoul Pal’s personal opinions. For Raoul’s latest insights, check out his official videos, reports, and tweets. Connect with Raoul: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/ Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

13 Maj 3min

A Path to Trade War Diffusion | Andreas Steno Larsen ft Mikkel Rosenvold | Macro Mondays

A Path to Trade War Diffusion | Andreas Steno Larsen ft Mikkel Rosenvold | Macro Mondays

Steno Research founder and CEO Andreas Steno Larsen is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics at Steno Research, to unpack the U.S.-China trade agreement, the market's reaction, and the key narratives and risks investors need to watch right now. 📣 *This episode is brought to you by Bitwise Asset Management*. Bitwise has been all-in on crypto since 2017 and has more than 20 crypto-based products to help investors get the necessary access. Bitwise manages the world’s largest crypto index fund, one of the top Bitcoin ETFs, and one of the largest institutional Ethereum staking solutions. Bitwise has over $10 billion in assets under management and over 100 people in the US and Europe to help manage everything from ETFs to private alpha strategies to SMAs for large investors. 👉 *Check out Bitwise at https://bitwiseinvestments.com and let them know that Real Vision mentioned them*. Carefully consider the extreme risks associated with crypto before investing 🔥 Arch Public: It’s a hedge fund in your pocket. Built for retail traders, designed to outperform Wall Street. Try it for free: https://realvision.com/arch 📣 Today’s sponsor is Plus500 US. Take your trading to the next level with cross-market contracts, from precious metals to key indices, and more. Whether you’re a seasoned trader in the Futures arena or brand new, Plus500’s user-friendly trading platform offers you the advanced tools, market insights, and quick execution you’ve been looking for. 👉 Get started with Plus500 for as little as $100 at https://us.plus500.com. Trading in futures involves the risk of loss. Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. Music license ID: WJ6TRPVHFD About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, tools, and network to succeed on your financial journey. Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Website: https://www.realvision.com/join Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Linkedin: https://rvtv.io/linkedin Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

12 Maj 31min

US-China Tariff Cut and Global Market Surge: PALvatar Market Recap, May 12 2025

US-China Tariff Cut and Global Market Surge: PALvatar Market Recap, May 12 2025

🔥 Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal’s AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today’s update, Palvatar reports a major market surge following the U.S. and China agreement to cut tariffs by 115 percentage points, boosting equities, oil, and the dollar. The ceasefire between India and Pakistan also added to the positive momentum, with tech stocks leading Wall Street's gains. Additionally, Japan's current account surplus rose, though loan growth slowed. Watch for upcoming U.S. CPI and PPI data later this week. 🔹 Why tune in? Stay ahead of market-moving developments with concise, data-driven insights. 🔹 Who should listen? Traders, investors, and macro enthusiasts looking for real-time market intelligence. 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. This episode is #sponsored by @FigureMarkets—the platform to Earn and Borrow. Unlock your crypto’s potential today—click below to apply for a Crypto Backed Loan today! figure.com/realvision Disclaimer: These views are generated by AI and do not represent Raoul Pal’s personal opinions. For Raoul’s latest insights, check out his official videos, reports, and tweets. Connect with Raoul: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/ Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

12 Maj 4min

Banana Zone Alert? Bitcoin Reclaims $100K While ETH Leads Alts | REKT Vision

Banana Zone Alert? Bitcoin Reclaims $100K While ETH Leads Alts | REKT Vision

Rekt co-founders OSF and Mando, also the author of the Mando Minutes newsletter, are back to discuss the biggest narratives and themes driving cryptocurrencies right now. They explore whether Bitcoin Dominance has peaked as it surges past $100,000 once again, ether leading the altcoin market gains following its Pectra upgrade, U.S. stablecoin regulation hitting a significant snag, and much more. Check out REKT's affiliate partner Arch Public and their algorithmic trading platform for free at realvision.com/arch 📣 *This episode is brought to you by Bitwise Asset Management*. Bitwise has been all-in on crypto since 2017 and has more than 20 crypto-based products to help investors get the necessary access. Bitwise manages the world’s largest crypto index fund, one of the top Bitcoin ETFs, and one of the largest institutional Ethereum staking solutions. Bitwise has over $10 billion in assets under management and over 100 people in the US and Europe to help manage everything from ETFs to private alpha strategies to SMAs for large investors. 👉 *Check out Bitwise at https://bitwiseinvestments.com and let them know that Real Vision mentioned them*. Carefully consider the extreme risks associated with crypto before investing 🔥 *Arch Public:* It’s a hedge fund in your pocket. Built for retail traders, designed to outperform Wall Street. 👉 Try it for free at https://realvision.com/arch 📣 Today’s sponsor is Plus500 US. Take your trading to the next level with cross-market contracts, from precious metals to key indices, and more. Whether you’re a seasoned trader in the Futures arena or brand new, Plus500’s user-friendly trading platform offers you the advanced tools, market insights, and quick execution you’ve been looking for. 👉 Get started with Plus500 for as little as $100 at https://us.plus500.com. Trading in futures involves the risk of loss. Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, tools, and network to succeed on your financial journey. Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Website: https://www.realvision.com/join Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Linkedin: https://rvtv.io/linkedin 👉 Join our Discord channel and meet like-minded people: discord.com/invite/kYQY2Nd45Y Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

9 Maj 1h 6min

U.S.-U.K. Trade Deal, China Export Surprise, and ETH Rally: PALvatar Market Recap, May 9 2025

U.S.-U.K. Trade Deal, China Export Surprise, and ETH Rally: PALvatar Market Recap, May 9 2025

🔥 Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal’s AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today’s update, Palvatar breaks down the market optimism following a new U.S.-U.K. trade deal and China’s stronger-than-expected export data. The German DAX hits a new high, while investors look ahead to U.S.-China trade talks. Meanwhile, Japan faces mixed signals. In crypto, Bitcoin surges past $100K, but ETH steals the spotlight with a rally post-Pectra upgrade. Palvatar’s got the latest—don’t miss it. 🔹 Why tune in? Stay ahead of market-moving developments with concise, data-driven insights. 🔹 Who should listen? Traders, investors, and macro enthusiasts looking for real-time market intelligence. 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. Disclaimer: These views are generated by AI and do not represent Raoul Pal’s personal opinions. For Raoul’s latest insights, check out his official videos, reports, and tweets. Connect with Raoul: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/ Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

9 Maj 4min

US–UK Trade Deal Hopes, Central Bank Moves, and Ethereum's Surge: PALvatar Market Recap, May 08 2025

US–UK Trade Deal Hopes, Central Bank Moves, and Ethereum's Surge: PALvatar Market Recap, May 08 2025

🔥 Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal’s AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today’s update, Palvatar breaks down renewed optimism in global trade as the US and UK inch toward a tariff-lowering deal. Central banks take center stage with the Fed holding rates and China launching major stimulus ahead of US–China talks. Germany surprises with strong industrial output, while ETH rallies after the Pectra upgrade. Plus, a heads-up on scam warnings and news about Raoul Pal’s keynote now live on Real Vision. 🔹 Why tune in? Stay ahead of market-moving developments with concise, data-driven insights. 🔹 Who should listen? Traders, investors, and macro enthusiasts looking for real-time market intelligence. 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. Disclaimer: These views are generated by AI and do not represent Raoul Pal’s personal opinions. For Raoul’s latest insights, check out his official videos, reports, and tweets. Connect with Raoul: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/ Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

8 Maj 4min

Trading the Markets LIVE (May 07, 2025) | Kris Bullock and Bijan Maleki

Trading the Markets LIVE (May 07, 2025) | Kris Bullock and Bijan Maleki

🔥 *Get Raoul Pal's FREE Report to Unf*ck Your Future* https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe It's time to talk Trade Ideas... ⬜ Real Vision's Kris Bullock and Bijan Maleki are back to break down their favorite trades from the RV Trade Ideas section before taking questions from the audience about the current state of markets. Tune in every Wednesday at 1pm ET on Real Vision, YouTube, and X. 📣 Today’s sponsor is Plus500 US. Take your trading to the next level with cross-market contracts, from precious metals to key indices, and more. Whether you’re a seasoned trader in the Futures arena or brand new, Plus500’s user-friendly trading platform offers you the advanced tools, market insights, and quick execution you’ve been looking for. 👉 Get started with Plus500 for as little as $100 at https://us.plus500.com. Trading in futures involves the risk of loss. Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, tools, and network to succeed on your financial journey. Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Website: https://www.realvision.com/join Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Linkedin: https://rvtv.io/linkedin 👉 Join our Discord channel and meet like-minded people: discord.com/invite/kYQY2Nd45Y Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

7 Maj 38min

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