Are We Still Heading for a Recession? w/ David Rosenberg
Real Vision: Finance & Investing3 Juli 2024

Are We Still Heading for a Recession? w/ David Rosenberg

🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/41tyn6M. David Rosenberg, founder and president of Rosenberg Research, joins Ash Bennington to share his views on the current state of the economy, a growing disconnect between supply and demand, and what it means for the potential of a recession. David also discusses the bubble he sees forming in the stock market, and where he's spotting investment opportunities. Recorded on Thursday, June 20th. This episode is brought to you by TOKEN2049 Singapore. Join over 20,000 attendees for the world’s largest crypto event: TOKEN2049 Singapore on 18 to 19 September. 🔥 Visit www.realvision.com/token2049 for 15% off tickets, only with the code 'REALVISION’. Timestamps: 00:00 - Sponsor: Token2049 01:01 - Introduction of David Rosenberg 01:37 - David's perspective on the current economy 02:18 - Comparison to the 2007 economic outlook 03:33 - Recession pressures and the business cycle 04:11 - Impact of fiscal stimulus on the economy 05:25 - Credit card debt and delinquency rates 06:41 - Changes in consumer behavior and credit card balances 07:53 - The role of excess savings and stimulus checks 08:27 - San Francisco Fed report on excess savings 09:02 - Consumer revolt against high prices 10:06 - Discrepancy between current economic conditions and the Fed's statements 11:23 - Historical comparisons to 2008 and recession signals 12:34 - Overstated non-farm payrolls and data revisions 13:37 - Signs of a potential recession in various economic sectors 14:13 - GDP growth and economic activity slowing down 15:17 - Lack of catalysts for re-acceleration in growth 16:26 - Importance of supply and demand in forecasting inflation 18:11 - Expectations for disinflation and Fed rate cuts 19:20 - Discussion on current trend growth and productivity gains 21:04 - Labor force participation and its impact on the economy 22:15 - Disconnect between productivity gains and aggregate demand 23:26 - Impact of housing and consumer behavior on the economy 24:34 - Global economic conditions and their effect on US exports 25:40 - Outlook on inflation and interest rates without a recession 26:16 - Increasing unemployment rate and its impact on wages 27:23 - Supply curve dynamics leading to disinflation 28:43 - Capacity growth in the industrial sector 29:18 - Expectations for inflation to reach the Fed's target 30:26 - Implications for asset prices and the stock market 31:39 - Concentration risk and the impact of high-performing tech stocks 33:33 - Concerns about excessive valuations and investor behavior 35:08 - Importance of thematic investing and capital preservation 36:50 - Sectors with growth potential: Aerospace, defense, utilities, and healthcare 38:57 - Trading down and frugality trends among consumers 40:14 - Staples and essential sectors as investment opportunities 41:37 - Utilities as a growth area due to climate change and infrastructure needs 43:17 - The role of gold and gold mining stocks in a disinflationary environment 44:56 - Impact of passive indexation on market distortions 46:41 - Risks of bubble bursts and historical parallels 48:02 - Potential market corrections and investor psychology 50:13 - Advice on profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing 51:57 - Importance of capital preservation and conservative investing 52:36 - Final thoughts on the current market cycle 53:47 - Importance of historical context in investing decisions 54:33 - Sentiment and psychology driving market behavior 55:52 - Recommendations for protective strategies in investing Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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What the Fed Decision Means for Global Markets ft. Cem Karsan

What the Fed Decision Means for Global Markets ft. Cem Karsan

👉 Earn 2-5% on gold, paid in gold. Go to https://www.realvision.com/metals. 🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Ash Bennington sits down with Cem Karsan, founder of Kai Volatility Advisors, for a deep dive into what yesterday's interest rate cuts mean for markets and the broader macro landscape. And don't forget, this month, we're celebrating RV's 10th birthday with discounts on all memberships. Just use the code RVBDAY10 here: https://app.realvision.com/pricing This episode is sponsored by Monetary Metals. Monetary Metals has been paying a physical yield on gold and silver for over 8 years. Earn 2-5% on gold, paid in gold, and up to 12% annually on silver, paid in silver, in their latest offerings. For more information go to https://www.realvision.com/metals. Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, the tools, and the network to succeed in your financial journey. Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

26 Sep 20241h 8min

Raoul Pal Reveals the BEST Crypto Strategy After Fed Rate Cut - REKT Vision

Raoul Pal Reveals the BEST Crypto Strategy After Fed Rate Cut - REKT Vision

🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw. Welcome back to REKT Vision- Crypto pumps after the Fed Rate Cut of 50 bps. Our CEO & Co-Founder, Raoul Pal joins us today to analyze the latest market action. Canary Labs and rektguy co-founders Ovie "OSF" Faruq and Michael "Mando" Anderson are joined by Raoul Pal to review the biggest narratives driving crypto markets. On the latest REKT Vision, they discuss the Fed rate cut, crypto rally, Solana Breakpoint, and more. Real Vision's 10th birthday celebrations replace next week's show. Use the code BDAY10 to get a discounted membership at https://rvtv.io/4cT7zkB Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, tools, and network to succeed on your financial journey. Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Website: https://www.realvision.com Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Linkedin: https://rvtv.io/linkedin Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

20 Sep 20241h 1min

Is the Fed Driving the Economy Off a Cliff? ft. Komal Sri-Kumar

Is the Fed Driving the Economy Off a Cliff? ft. Komal Sri-Kumar

🔥 𝗝𝗢𝗜𝗡 Real Vision for FREE https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw. Dr. Komal Sri-Kumar, president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, joins us to break down how the Fed is shifting its priorities ahead of this month’s expected interest rate cuts. He explains the Fed’s role as a cheerleader for equity markets and why a weaker dollar would signal further instability About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, the tools, and the network to succeed in your financial journey. Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. 🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

17 Sep 20241h 8min

Crypto’s Last Chance Before the FED - REKT Vision

Crypto’s Last Chance Before the FED - REKT Vision

🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw. Canary Labs co-founder and author of the Mando Minutes newsletter Michael "Mando" Anderson is joined by guest co-host Sergio "Sergito" Silva, co-founder of Popset, to review the biggest narratives driving crypto markets. In the latest REKT Vision, they discuss the upcoming Fed meeting, the latest CPI data, BTC, SOL, SUI, and ETH price action, and more. Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, tools, and network to succeed on your financial journey. Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Website: https://www.realvision.com Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Linkedin: https://rvtv.io/linkedin Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

13 Sep 20241h 8min

Best of Real Vision: Raoul's Business Cycle Thesis (2016)

Best of Real Vision: Raoul's Business Cycle Thesis (2016)

🔥 𝗝𝗢𝗜𝗡 Real Vision for FREE & watch all our top-rated interviews https://rvtv.io/4cV8xwK In the next installment of our countdown of the best videos from the last 10 years, we have Raoul's Business Cycle thesis from 2016 for you today. This is a classic video where Raoul walks us through incorporating the business cycle into your investing framework. All memberships are currently discounted using the code RVBDAY10 to keep the celebrations going. Learn more about everything happening for RV's birthday here: https://rvtv.io/4cT7zkB About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, the tools, and the network to succeed in your financial journey. Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. 🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

12 Sep 202444min

Will 2025 Bring Commodity Inflation? ft. Shawn Hackett

Will 2025 Bring Commodity Inflation? ft. Shawn Hackett

🔥 Visit https://realvision.com/token2049 for 15% off tickets, only with the code 'REALVISION'. 🔥 𝗝𝗢𝗜𝗡 Real Vision for FREE https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw. Shawn Hackett, president of Hackett Financial Advisors, joins Ash Bennington to discuss the current trends in grains, livestock, and cotton, and to discuss why global liquidity growth could ignite an inflationary commodity cycle by 2025. Plus, Shawn shares why Brazil, Russia, and Ukraine are crucial to watch. 📢 This episode is brought to you by TOKEN2049 Singapore. Join over 20,000 attendees for the world's largest crypto event: TOKEN2049 Singapore from 18 to 19 September. Balaji Srinivasan, Solana's Anatoly, Arthur Hayes, and over 250 others will hit the stage, as TOKEN2049 takes over the iconic Marina Bay Sands in Singapore. With over 500 side events during TOKEN2049 Week, Singapore will transform into a crypto hub from 16 to 22 September, capped off by AFTER 2049, and the Formula 1 Grand Prix race weekend. Everyone will be there – this is the one event you can't miss this year. 🔥 Visit https://realvision.com/token2049 for 15% off tickets, only with the code 'REALVISION'. About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, the tools, and the network to succeed in your financial journey. Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. 🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

11 Sep 20241h 10min

Best of Real Vision: Jim Rogers Masterclass (2015)

Best of Real Vision: Jim Rogers Masterclass (2015)

🔥 𝗝𝗢𝗜𝗡 Real Vision for FREE & watch all our top-rated interviews https://rvtv.io/4cV8xwK Today we have Jim Rogers’ Masterclass - both Part 1 and 2! To celebrate, all memberships are currently discounted with the code RVBDAY10. Learn more about everything happening for RV's birthday this month here: https://rvtv.io/4cT7zkB About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, the tools, and the network to succeed in your financial journey. Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. 🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

10 Sep 20241h 44min

Best of Real Vision: Hedge Fund Secrets - Mark Hart's Masterclass (2014)

Best of Real Vision: Hedge Fund Secrets - Mark Hart's Masterclass (2014)

🔥 𝗝𝗢𝗜𝗡 Real Vision for FREE & watch all our top-rated interviews https://rvtv.io/4cV8xwK. In celebration of Real Vision's 10th anniversary, we're counting down the best videos from the last 10 years, starting with Mark Hart’s masterclass from 2014. And, also in honor of our birthday, all memberships are currently discounted with the code RVBDAY10. Learn more about everything happening in for RV's birthday this month here: https://rvtv.io/4cT7zkB About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, the tools, and the network to succeed in your financial journey. Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. 🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

9 Sep 20241h 14min

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