How to Trade Prediction Markets Without an Opinion on the Event - Ep. 979

Visit our website for breaking news, analysis, op-eds, articles to learn about crypto, and much more: unchainedcrypto.com Thank you to our sponsor! Walrus The prediction market meta is piping hot and everyone wants a piece of the pie. In this episode of Unchained, 10x Research founder Markus breaks down what the competition boils down to. Plus, will other platforms follow Polymarket's lead and launch a token? He also walks through a “near certain” trade nestled in Polymarket and shares 10 strategies that can be used to trade prediction markets without an opinion. One key nugget: “It's the wisdom within the crowd.” Guest: Markus Thielen, CEO of 10x Research Previous appearance on Unchained: How to Invest in This Bitcoin Downtrend: Bits + Bips Links Unchained: Paradigm Claims Polymarket Trading Figures Are Double Counted Polymarket Opens US App to Waitlisted Users Intercontinental Exchange to Invest $2 Billion in Polymarket Crypto.com and Kalshi Lead Prediction Market Coalition Setup Kalshi Hits $11B Valuation After $1B Raise: Report Timestamps: 🚀 00:00 Introduction 💡 3:07 Why Markus says prediction market adoption is still in its infancy 👀 6:23 Are speculators abandoning bitcoin for prediction markets? 🧏 8:10 How trading prediction markets differ from crypto markets ⚖️ 11:48 How Polymarket and Kalshi compare in strengths and weaknesses ⚡️ 15:12 Why Markus thinks Polymarket and Kalshi are likely to remain the dominant players 📝 19:15 What traders should consider when choosing a prediction market platform 💥 23:05 How the POLY Airdrop could give Polymarket an edge ⁉️ 26:39 Will other prediction markets launch a token? 💡 33:19 How risks in trading prediction markets differ from crypto markets 🧠 36:31 Markus walks through a “near certain” Bitcoin trade paying 63% annualized 🤯 39:58 Strategies to trade prediction markets without having an opinion ❕️ 51:48 Why Markus avoids “moon shot” trades ⚠️ 54:11 How to trade by finding “wisdom within the crowd” 🤺 1:00:17 How prediction markets enable hedging against real world outcomes 📃 1:02:34 Final thoughts on how traders should approach prediction markets Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices