Ep18 “Investigating Implausible Theories” with John Ioannidis

Ep18 “Investigating Implausible Theories” with John Ioannidis

In science, we often hear about new discoveries or theories that could change our way of thinking. In the business world, a start-up might promise a revolution in a specific industry, if it can get the right investments. So, when is it worth believing or betting on one of these new theories, and when is it a waste of time? In this episode of All Else Equal, Jules and Jonathan discuss how we can all use the principle of Occam’s Razor (the idea that the simplest theory is often the correct one) in many different areas of our life.

Helping them explain the real world practice of this is John Ioannidis, a professor of Medicine and Epidemiology at Stanford University. John was the first academic to question the practices of Theranos, the company co-founded by Elizabeth Holmes that claimed it would change medicine with its new method of testing blood. He criticized the lack of peer reviewed research of the company’s methods, while at the same time investors were making it a billion dollar company. John tells Jules and Jonathan about this experience, as well as how Occam’s Razor comes into play with a lot of scientific research.


Submit your questions to the show here: https://bit.ly/AllElseEqual

Find All Else Equal on the web: https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/business-podcasts/all-else-equal-making-better-decisions


All Else Equal: Making Better Decisions Podcast is a production of Stanford Graduate School of Business and is produced by University FM.

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Jaksot(95)

Rerun: Ep29 “How Do You Become CEO?” with Dirk Jenter

Rerun: Ep29 “How Do You Become CEO?” with Dirk Jenter

All Else Equal is on Spring Break this week, so we’re revisiting one of our most popular episodes dealing with the question: How does one become a CEO? We’ll be back with new episodes in two weeks.  A...

4 Maalis 33min

Ep73 “The Dangers of Group Think on Decision Making” with Adi Sunderam

Ep73 “The Dangers of Group Think on Decision Making” with Adi Sunderam

Whether it be in politics, public health, or corporate finance, why are people more likely to interpret facts or data in a way that fits their preconceived notions about the world as opposed to search...

19 Helmi 33min

Ep72 Alternatives vs. Mutual Funds: Where Should You Put Your Money

Ep72 Alternatives vs. Mutual Funds: Where Should You Put Your Money

In the rapid-moving world of delegated money management, it is important to recognize the differences in how mutual funds and alternative assets operate. When it comes to alternatives, how do these fu...

4 Helmi 31min

Ep71 “The Working From Home Revolution” with Nick Bloom

Ep71 “The Working From Home Revolution” with Nick Bloom

When the pandemic hit in 2020, working from home skyrocketed. Six years later, many companies have returned to in-person work, but hybrid models are still the dominant structure. So with WFH here to s...

22 Tammi 28min

Ep70 "The Science Behind Why We Don’t Just Say What We Mean" with Psychologist Steven Pinker - Part 2

Ep70 "The Science Behind Why We Don’t Just Say What We Mean" with Psychologist Steven Pinker - Part 2

In the final part of this two-part interview, Steven Pinker, an experimental psychologist and Harvard professor, again joins hosts and finance professors Jonathan Berk and Jules van Binsbergen to disc...

7 Tammi 23min

Ep69 "The Science Behind Why We Don’t Just Say What We Mean" with Psychologist Steven Pinker - Part 1

Ep69 "The Science Behind Why We Don’t Just Say What We Mean" with Psychologist Steven Pinker - Part 1

Everyday, we participate in seemingly arbitrary but essential choices for society to function. We all agree on what side of the road to drive on, to use paper currency, or to speak the same language. ...

10 Joulu 202523min

Rerun: Ep63 “What Explains the Growth of Private Equity? A Different Perspective” with Ludovic Phalippou

Rerun: Ep63 “What Explains the Growth of Private Equity? A Different Perspective” with Ludovic Phalippou

This holiday week, All Else Equal is looking back at its episode on the growth of private equity with Ludovic Phalippou. Private markets have taken off in the last couple decades, with more investors ...

26 Marras 202535min

Ep68 “Is It Better to Overestimate or Underestimate Your Enemies?” with H.R. McMaster

Ep68 “Is It Better to Overestimate or Underestimate Your Enemies?” with H.R. McMaster

Historically, the U.S. has had a habit of overestimating the capabilities of its enemies. Why? Is this an intentional security strategy? Or does the U.S. need to change the way it gathers enemy intell...

12 Marras 202533min

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