Market Reaction To Jobs Report Confirms My Hypothesis – Ep. 180

Market Reaction To Jobs Report Confirms My Hypothesis – Ep. 180


* Today we got the Non-Farm Payroll report for the month of June
* Remember the last 2 reports were quite weak and everybody was hoping for a rebound in June to prove that April and May were a fluke and not a new trend
* In fact the Fed talked about that in their last FOMC meeting minutes
* The consensus was for 180,000 jobs to be created and the range went from a low of 130,000 to as high as 235,000
* The consensus average of that range was 180,000
* The actual number came in at 287,000, over 100,000 jobs above the consensus
* Now we did revise down the really bad number from May, and made it even worse
* Initially that number was 38,000 jobs and now we know it was just 11,000 jobs
* So about 70% of the jobs disappeared
* I have a good feeling that the reason June's number is so high is that it's just wrong, and we'll see what kind of revision we get to it next month
* Remember, a good chunk of these numbers are jobs that the government assumes were created without evidence, based on the birth-death model
* I would suggest that far fewer businesses are actually being formed than the government believes
* In fact, its possible that more business are shutting down than are hiring
* Given the economy and the minimum wage, those business that are starting up are hiring fewer people than start-up historically hire
* I think these guesstimates are wildly optimistic and skewing all the numbers
* Unemployment rate, which was 4.7 last month and expected to notch up to 4.8, instead notched up higher to 4.9
* Private payrolls which were expected to rise by $170,000 jumped by $265,000
* But last month they revised a $25,000 gain to a $6,000 loss
* Why did unemployment move up? Because the labor force participation rate notched up from 62.6 to 62.7
* Obviously not all the people who re-joined the labor force could find jobs
* Average hourly earnings were expected to rise by .2%
* Again they disappointed; they rose by just .1%
* Overall, a mixed picture, but the headline number, the 287,000 vs 180,000 consensus
* That's normally the number the market trades off
* And that is exactly what happened - as soon as the report came out we had a big jump in the dollar index and we had a big selloff in Gold
* Gold started out largely unchanged, went down about $22 on the news
* Silver sold off, it was down about 40-50 cents
* That was the knee-jerk reaction: strong dollar, weak gold, weak silver
* Why?
* A strong jobs number means the Fed is more likely to raise rates, right?
* Rate hike is coming, good for the dollar, bad for gold
* But what did I say on Wednesday's podcast?
* I said that it didn't matter what the jobs number was
* That gold was not going to go down, and if it was a weak number, I expected a big rally in gold
* But I also said that a strong number would not hurt gold
* Earlier in the year, a strong number would crush gold
* I said that what's going on, and based on the latest FOMC minutes, I don't care what the jobs number is
* The Fed is not going to raise rates
* Jobs have nothing to do with it, Jobs are the excuse
* The Fed can't raise rates now because of the fragility in the banking system, all the things that were revealed by Brexit
* The market is sensing that and that's why within the first hour gold reversed all of its losses and finished the day up about $5.60 at $1365.40
* The highest close of the year on a day when we had a huge beat in the Non-Farm Payrolls
* Silver had an even more impressive reversal; it rallied over $1
* Stocks really broke out; the GDX was up over 30% today to close at $30.54
* Not quite the highest close of the year
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Jaksot(1078)

Jamie Dimon Admits Peter Schiff Was Right - Ep 1046

Jamie Dimon Admits Peter Schiff Was Right - Ep 1046

Peter Schiff analyzes gold's surge, critiques Jamie Dimon's admission on gold's rationality, and discusses the impending dollar crisis.This episode is sponsored by Policygenius. Head to https://policygenius.com/gold to compare free life insurance quotes from top companies and see how much you could save.In this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the pressing realities of today's economic landscape, highlighting Jamie Dimon's recent admission regarding gold's significance in investment portfolios. Schiff discusses the meteoric rise of gold and silver, drawing parallels to historical economic shifts reminiscent of the 1970s. He provides critical insights into the dollar's declining status, the implications of global economic changes, and the stark contrast between gold and Bitcoin. As the market dynamics evolve, Schiff emphasizes the urgent need for investors to reconsider their positions, particularly as the risks associated with Bitcoin become increasingly apparent. Tune in for a comprehensive analysis that challenges mainstream narratives and reinforces Schiff's steadfast belief in the enduring value of gold.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:55 Gold's Meteoric Rise and Media Attention01:56 Silver's Performance and Investment Advice03:55 Historical Context: 1970s vs. 2020s05:37 The Dollar Standard and Global Economic Shifts07:21 Jamie Dimon's Admission and Rationality of Gold09:56 Gold's Future and Wall Street's Realization20:31 Current Market Update and Urgent Investment Advice22:33 Comparing Gold and Bitcoin23:46 Fed Policies and Historical Perspectives25:05 China's Trade and Economic Position30:53 Bitcoin's Decline and Market Manipulation37:01 Closing Remarks and Upcoming Events34:27 Alan Greenspan's Perspective on Gold35:27 The Case for Investing in Gold Stocks38:53 China's Trade Dynamics and the US Relationship43:52 Bitcoin's Decline and the Rise of Gold01:00:01 Conclusion and Upcoming EventsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#goldinvestment #bitcoincrash #marketupdateOur Sponsors:* Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

16 Loka 1h

Gold Tops $4K as World Prepares to Go Off Dollar Standard - Ep 1045

Gold Tops $4K as World Prepares to Go Off Dollar Standard - Ep 1045

Peter Schiff examines gold's historic surge past $4,000, critiques the dollar's decline, and warns of looming economic crises and fiscal irresponsibility.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free “CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the alarming rise of gold prices, which recently surpassed $4,000, signaling a potential dollar crisis. He explores the historical context of gold's surge, drawing parallels to the economic turmoil of the 1970s when the United States abandoned the gold standard. Schiff emphasizes the implications of central banks diversifying away from the dollar and warns of the impending economic collapse as the U.S. grapples with unsustainable fiscal policies. With personal anecdotes and keen insights, Schiff articulates the urgency for investors to reconsider their strategies in light of these developments, positioning gold as a crucial safe haven amid rising inflation and currency devaluation. Tune in for a thought-provoking discussion on the future of the global economy and the significance of gold in these turbulent times.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:56 Gold's Historic Surge04:57 The 1970s Gold Standard and Its Impact10:06 The Dollar's Decline and Global Implications17:24 Personal Anecdote and Upcoming Events18:43 The Shift from Dollar to Gold Standard20:15 Central Banks and Fiscal Policies26:39 The Looming Dollar Crisis31:37 Gold's Rising Significance on Wall Street32:19 Personal Experiences with Gold Predictions34:03 Gold vs. Bitcoin: A Media Bias36:32 Gold as the Canary in the Coal Mine38:27 Kudlow's Dismissal of Gold's Warning41:24 The Looming Economic Crisis43:52 Investment Strategies Amidst Economic Uncertainty47:44 The Global Economic Shift59:57 Final Thoughts and Upcoming EventsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#gold #dollarcrisis #economiccollapseOur Sponsors:* Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

9 Loka 59min

The Government Shutdown Hides a Weak Economy Trump Can’t Fix - Ep 1044

The Government Shutdown Hides a Weak Economy Trump Can’t Fix - Ep 1044

Peter Schiff critiques the government shutdown's impact on economic data, dissects Trump's controversial drug pricing plans, and addresses misguided tariff policies.This episode is sponsored by Lucy. Go to https://lucy.co/gold and use promo code GOLD to get 20% off your first orderIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and its implications for the economy. He discusses the troubling job market, highlighted by disappointing job reports, and offers insights into the rising trends in the gold and silver markets. Peter criticizes the government's response to economic challenges and addresses the controversial tariff policies introduced by former President Trump. He also tackles the impact of these policies on various industries, including pharmaceuticals and entertainment. Listeners can expect a candid analysis of the current economic landscape, emphasizing the importance of understanding real value in the face of inflation and government intervention.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks03:36 Government Shutdown and Its Implications09:47 Economic Analysis: Jobs Report and Market Performance15:34 Gold and Silver Market Insights23:16 Upcoming Appearances and Conferences28:11 Market Recap: Gold and Silver Trends29:21 Pharmaceutical Stocks Surge Amid Trump's Drug Price Plan32:41 Trump's Controversial Tariff Policies37:34 The Movie Tariff Proposal: A Misunderstanding of Tariffs48:12 The Hypocrisy of Hollywood's Capitalism Critique54:43 Conclusion and AnnouncementsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#governmentshutdown #economicanalysis #TrumpRXOur Sponsors:* Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

4 Loka 54min

Trump Hits Americans With More Tariffs - Ep 1043

Trump Hits Americans With More Tariffs - Ep 1043

Peter Schiff discusses the surge in precious metals, critiques Trump's tariffs on various industries, and warns of impending economic challenges ahead.This episode is sponsored by Policygenius. Head to https://policygenius.com/gold to compare free life insurance quotes from top companies and see how much you could save.In this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the pressing issues affecting the global economy, including the surge in precious metals, the implications of new tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, and the shifting landscape of investment portfolios. Peter highlights the recent performance of gold and silver as inflation hedges, scrutinizing the misguided narratives surrounding cryptocurrency and stock market valuations. He emphasizes the critical need for sound economic policies that prioritize free market principles over government intervention. As he breaks down the latest market trends and economic indicators, Peter Schiff provides listeners with a reality check on the true state of the economy while advocating for the importance of gold and silver in any investment strategy. Tune in for an insightful analysis that challenges mainstream economic beliefs.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks01:02 Precious Metals Market Update02:57 Gold and Silver Performance Analysis06:38 Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Insights08:52 Morgan Stanley's Portfolio Adjustment22:44 Stock Market Valuation and AI Investments29:33 Inflation and Rising Costs29:59 Disney's Price Hike and Real Inflation30:57 Personal Income and Spending Data32:14 Fed's Rate Cuts and Economic Impact34:13 Trump's H-1B Visa Policy39:46 Impact of Tariffs on Economy53:58 Trump's Gold and Platinum Cards56:16 Conclusion and Call to ActionFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#TrumpTariffs #GoldInvesting #PreciousMetalsMarketOur Sponsors:* Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

26 Syys 56min

Fed's Biggest Policy Mistake Yet - Ep 1042

Fed's Biggest Policy Mistake Yet - Ep 1042

Peter Schiff critiques the Fed's latest rate cuts, discusses inflationary pressures, and highlights the looming housing affordability crisis.This episode is sponsored by Hims. Start your free online visit today at https://hims.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the Federal Reserve's latest rate cuts, discussing the implications of these policy decisions on the economy and inflation. With a sharp critique of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's recent statements, Schiff highlights the potential risks to economic stability and the growing divergence of opinions within the Fed. He explores the impact of tariffs on inflation, the ongoing housing affordability crisis, and the dangers of cutting rates amidst record-high asset prices. Schiff's insights underscore the fallacy of the Fed's mandates and the dire consequences of monetary policy missteps, positioning him as a critical voice amid economic uncertainty. Tune in for a thought-provoking analysis that challenges mainstream narratives and exposes the reality behind the Fed's actions.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:58 Fed Rate Announcement and Market Expectations02:00 Press Conference Highlights and Powell's Statements10:03 Discussion on Tariffs and Inflation19:27 Threats to Fed Independence and Political Influence21:38 Divergence of Opinions within the Fed30:25 Debating Interest Rates and Inflation31:12 The Fed's Impossible Mandates33:42 Unemployment Rate Realities35:09 Quantitative Tightening and Market Reactions37:33 Housing Affordability Crisis40:59 Government Policies and Market Solutions46:42 Stock Market and Gold Predictions52:59 Investment Strategies and Final ThoughtsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#FedPolicy #InterestRates #InflationOur Sponsors:* Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

18 Syys 54min

Charlie Kirk Was Right - Ep 1041

Charlie Kirk Was Right - Ep 1041

Peter Schiff critiques the August CPI report, warns of rising inflation, and reflects on the tragic assassination of Charlie Kirk.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free ebook “navigating global trade: 3 insights for leaders” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the latest economic insights surrounding the August Consumer Price Data and its implications for Federal Reserve policy. He critiques government labor market statistics, asserting their unreliability and the significant discrepancies between reported job growth and actual economic conditions. Schiff discusses the potential repercussions of anticipated rate cuts, the rising concerns over inflation, and the implications for gold and silver investments. He also reflects on recent tragic events, including the assassination of prominent political commentator Charlie Kirk, highlighting the societal implications of such violence. Tune in as Schiff navigates these pressing topics, offering his unfiltered perspective on the current economic landscape and its future trajectory.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:58 Anticipation of August Consumer Price Data01:43 Analysis of CPI Report and Fed's Inflation Target03:26 Critique of Government Data and Labor Market04:53 Impact of Job Market on Fed's Rate Decisions07:05 Historical Context and Fed's Policy Shifts07:50 Market Reactions and Predictions22:48 Gold and Silver Investment Insights27:33 Performance of Gold Stocks vs. S&P 50037:22 Economic Outlook and Policy Implications39:38 Economic Challenges and Predictions40:45 The Future of Gold and Inflation42:44 Government Jobs and Economic Impact45:04 Trump's Renaming of Departments47:08 Remembering 9/11 and Its Aftermath48:25 The Tragic Assassination of Charlie Kirk53:18 Racial Double Standards in Media01:02:14 Impact of Welfare Policies on Black Families01:16:49 Concluding Thoughts and ReflectionsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#CharlieKirk #Inflation #EconomicOutlookOur Sponsors:* Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

12 Syys 1h 16min

An Independent Fed May Be Ruled Unconstitutional - Ep 1040

An Independent Fed May Be Ruled Unconstitutional - Ep 1040

Peter Schiff critiques the August jobs report, analyzes the Federal Reserve's actions, and discusses the implications for gold and the U.S. dollar.This episode is sponsored by Lucy. Go to https://lucy.co/gold and use promo code GOLD to get 20% off your first orderIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff dives deep into critical economic issues affecting the United States, including a thorough analysis of the latest August Jobs Report, which reveals a troubling trend of job losses reminiscent of the Great Recession. He critiques the economic policies of former President Trump, highlighting the stark contrast between the current labor market and its portrayal as robust by the Federal Reserve. Schiff also explores the implications of a potential constitutional ruling on the independence of the Federal Reserve and its impact on inflation and the dollar. Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks01:26 Discussion on the August Jobs Report04:04 Critique of Trump's Economic Policies07:47 Analysis of the Federal Reserve's Actions14:18 Housing Market Concerns26:29 Gold and Silver Market Insights30:57 Bitcoin vs. Gold: A Comparative Analysis31:29 Bitcoin's Performance Over the Years31:49 The Rise of Bitcoin ETFs and Treasury Companies34:00 The Supreme Court and the Federal Reserve35:40 Constitutional Scrutiny of the Federal Reserve37:16 The Independence of the Federal Reserve48:04 Historical Context of Paper Money in the U.S.55:07 The Future of Gold and the U.S. Dollar56:03 Investment Opportunities and Final ThoughtsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#FederalReserve #BitcoinVsGold #EconomicAnalysisOur Sponsors:* Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

5 Syys 57min

Donald Trump Is Wrong - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1039

Donald Trump Is Wrong - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1039

Peter Schiff examines Trump's unconstitutional tariffs, the implications for the gold market, and the potential economic consequences ahead.This episode is sponsored by Hims. Start your free online visit today at https://hims.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff dives deep into the pressing economic issues surrounding Donald Trump's policies, including his controversial tariffs and their constitutional implications. Schiff provides a thorough analysis of the gold market, illustrating its current strength amidst a backdrop of increasing uncertainty in the dollar's value. He discusses Trump's attempts to influence the Federal Reserve, highlighting the potential legal and ethical ramifications of such actions. With a critical eye, Schiff underscores the economic consequences of these policies and advocates for investing in gold as a hedge against the impending financial turmoil. Join Schiff for an insightful exploration of the realities facing the economy today and the strategies for navigating them successfully.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:54 Labor Day Weekend Podcast Announcement02:08 Gold Market Analysis04:28 Trump's Tariffs and the Constitution15:58 Commercial Break17:49 Market Reactions and Predictions27:16 Trump and the Federal Reserve30:27 Trump's Strategy to Control the Fed31:50 Legal and Ethical Implications35:56 Economic Consequences of Trump's Policies47:07 The Role of Gold in Economic Stability51:44 Investment Strategies and Market Predictions56:58 Conclusion and Final ThoughtsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#DonaldTrump #GoldMarket #EconomicPoliciesOur Sponsors:* Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

1 Syys 55min

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