Data Dependent Fed Ignores Bad Data – Ep. 192

Data Dependent Fed Ignores Bad Data – Ep. 192


* Last week on Thursday we got that much weaker than expected ISM Manufacturing number, which didn't get a lot of attention because it came out a day before the jobs number which cast a pretty big shadow on all the economic data
* The number came in very weak, as I pointed out, it was 49.4, which is contraction mode
* Anything below 50 in the ISM numbers indicates a contraction and a recession
* But of course, no one cares about manufacturing because it is such a small part of the U.S. economy, which in and of itself, is a major problem
* The fact that it is such a small part of the economy should be very concerning, because without manufacturing you really can't have a service sector
* The way the U.S. gets away with it is to just import with everyone else manufactures and we run enormous trade deficits, which is an unsustainable model
* It's a great gravy train while the ride lasts, but when the rest of the world figures out that we can never pay our debts, then the gravy train comes to an end
* The trade deficit represents an artificially high standard of living, but in the long run it's unsustainable because our creditors will not let us get away with this forever
* I want to get to the ISM Non-Manufacturing number which came out yesterday; this represents the service sector of the economy
* They were looking for 55, which was not a great number; last month we got 55.5, so there was some optimism around that number
* They were looking for 55 even and, instead, the number came in at 51.4
* The lowest number in better than 6 years
* And if you look beneath the surface and all the various components; new orders, back logs, hiring - horrible numbers consistent with recession
* The complete opposite of what everybody was looking for, and when you combine this with the 49.4 we got from manufacturing that is a very bleak picture
* The fact that we are at 6+ lows in the service sector does not bode well for the future
* The trajectory is down, and how much longer is it going to be before the ISM Non-Manufacturing breaches the 50 mark?
* Just when they start talking about these rate hikes - everything before this number came out questioned a September or a December rate hike - foregone conclusion
* We had the same discussion in September a year ago
* They punted and raised rates in December - will they do it again?
* Given the bad news to date, there is really no way the Fed is going to raise rates in September
* But just when the Fed officials are talking up a rate hike, everything changes with some bad news
* The Fed never admits the data is bad they just don't raise rates and you've got to figure it out for yourself
* When the ISM Non-Manufacturing number came out, gold took off
* It continued to rise throughout the day and closed up better than $20
* Gold got back above $1350 after having just tested the $1300 level
* Silver had a big up day; it went back above the $20 mark
* We had a strong move up in the gold stocks again following Thursday and Friday's strong move in gold stocks
* The markets were very surprised, and when this number came out, all of a sudden all the bets were changing
* The odds for a September rate hike were way down
* But not that much for December, because people are just assuming they can't go in September because we got this bad news, but, of course, by December, we may get some good news
* The reality is that by then, there will be even more bad news
* The Fed is not going to be raising rates; they are just talking about it, politically
* In fact, John C. Williams, President and CEO, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco late last night ignored the bad financial news entirely in his statement, Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Jaksot(1083)

Crypto Carnage as Gold Eats Bitcoin's Lunch - Ep 1050

Crypto Carnage as Gold Eats Bitcoin's Lunch - Ep 1050

Peter Schiff dissects the crypto market collapse, evaluates gold’s surge in value, and critiques government policies impacting housing affordability.This episode is sponsored by Policygenius. Head to https://policygenius.com/gold to compare free life insurance quotes from top companies and see how much you could save.In this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the recent turmoil in the financial markets, highlighting the stark contrasts between precious metals and the declining crypto sector. He discusses the surge in gold and silver prices amidst government actions, the implications of potential government shutdowns, and the risky landscape of crypto investments, particularly Bitcoin's significant drop against gold. Schiff emphasizes the government's detrimental role in housing affordability and the proposed measures that could exacerbate financial instability. As always, he provides keen insights rooted in economic reality, urging listeners to consider the long-term implications of current market trends and policies.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:54 Precious Metals Market Update05:08 Government Shutdown and Its Impact on Gold06:52 Crypto Market Analysis and Predictions10:28 Trump's Influence on Crypto and Economic Implications20:56 Fannie and Freddie: The Trump Trade31:29 Government's Role in Housing Affordability32:08 Impact of Tariffs on Housing Costs32:29 Immigration and Construction Labor Costs34:33 Credit and Mortgage Guarantees37:19 Proposed 50-Year Mortgages40:06 Eliminating FICO Score Minimums43:27 Assumable and Portable Mortgages54:29 Investment Opportunities in Gold and Silver01:01:43 Conclusion and Upcoming PodcastFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#crypto #bitcoin #goldOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

13 Marras 1h 1min

Data Confirms "Hot" US Economy Is Ice Cold - Ep 1049

Data Confirms "Hot" US Economy Is Ice Cold - Ep 1049

Peter Schiff examines the paradox of a hot U.S. economy amid cold realities, discusses cryptocurrency, and critiques political misconceptions and tariffs.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free “Demystifying AI” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter Schiff delves into the stark contrast between the perceived strength of the U.S. economy and its underlying fragility. Listeners will gain valuable insights as Peter analyzes the gold market, Bitcoin, and economic realities that challenge political narratives. The discussion also touches on the implications of the New York mayoral election, misconceptions about communism, and Trump's contentious tariffs. With a keen focus on the economic policies shaping our lives, this episode is essential for anyone seeking a deeper understanding of today's financial landscape. Join Peter as he cuts through the noise and reveals the truth behind the headlines.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:56 Gold Market Analysis03:24 Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Insights12:18 Economic Reality vs. Political Claims19:04 New York Mayoral Election and Economic Policies31:13 The Impact of Free Public Transportation32:17 Misconceptions About Communism34:36 Trump's Unconstitutional Tariffs42:37 The Filibuster Debate55:32 Gold and Silver Market InsightsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#USEconomy #CryptoInsights #NewYorkPoliticsOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

8 Marras 58min

Powell Dashes Hopes for a December Rate Cut - Ep 1048

Powell Dashes Hopes for a December Rate Cut - Ep 1048

Peter Schiff critiques the Federal Reserve's recent rate decisions, analyzes the implications for inflation and interest rates, and discusses gold's pivotal role in today's economy.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the implications of the Federal Reserve's recent decisions, including its latest interest rate cut and the end of quantitative tightening. He unpacks the impact of these policies on inflation, the economy, and the stock market, while emphasizing the persistent threats posed by excessive monetary expansion. Schiff critiques the Fed's narrative of economic strength, arguing that the increasing gold price signals a deeper financial instability. Key discussions include the contrasting fates of gold and Bitcoin, the true state of employment, and the dangers of overvalued tech stocks. This episode is a must-listen for those seeking clarity on the current economic landscape and the potential consequences of the Fed's actions.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:55 Federal Reserve's Recent Actions02:20 Impact on the Economy and Markets03:15 Discussion on Quantitative Tightening06:29 Interest Rates and Inflation17:31 Gold Market Analysis24:41 New Product Announcement at Schiff Gold31:39 Setting Up the Infrastructure31:49 Gold as a Medium of Exchange33:00 Bitcoin vs. Gold37:07 Stock Market and AI Valuations42:44 Tariffs and American Workers47:11 Inflation and the Fed's Policies55:09 Investment Opportunities and Final ThoughtsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#FederalReserve #InterestRates #GoldMarketAnalysisOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

30 Loka 56min

Gold Successfully Tests $4k Support - Ep 1047

Gold Successfully Tests $4k Support - Ep 1047

Peter Schiff examines gold and silver market volatility, critiques the Fed's misguided policies, and discusses the implications of Trump's influence on the economy.This episode is sponsored by Policygenius. Head to https://policygenius.com/gold to compare free life insurance quotes from top companies and see how much you could save.In this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter Schiff delves into the ongoing volatility in the gold and silver markets, analyzing recent corrections and investor sentiment. He discusses the implications of economic indicators and Federal Reserve actions, as well as the contrasting dynamics between Bitcoin and gold. Schiff critiques media portrayals of market trends, emphasizing the persistent skepticism surrounding gold investments. With insights on Newmont's earnings and a critical examination of government spending, Schiff articulates his perspective on the future of precious metals and the broader economic landscape. Listeners can expect a thought-provoking analysis that challenges mainstream narratives and reinforces Schiff's established views on financial prudence and market realities.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:55 Gold and Silver Market Volatility03:40 Gold's Correction and Market Reactions07:47 Investor Sentiment and Media Coverage13:53 Economic Indicators and Federal Reserve Actions20:54 Newmont's Earnings and Market Skepticism27:38 Bitcoin vs. Gold: Market Dynamics29:45 Trump's Ballroom and Crypto Industry Influence34:20 Trump's Ego and the National Debt35:39 Government Shutdowns and Trump's Legacy37:41 Trade Negotiations and Reagan's Legacy41:34 Government Investments and Market Interference48:15 Crypto Collateral and Market Risks55:57 YouTube Shadow Banning and Subscriber Growth01:03:55 Gold and Silver Investment OpportunitiesFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#goldmarket #cryptocurrency #investingstrategiesOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

24 Loka 1h 5min

Crypto Industry & Wall Street Unite Against Gold - Gold Wrap

Crypto Industry & Wall Street Unite Against Gold - Gold Wrap

Join Peter Schiff for a special Tuesday Market Wrap episode of the Schiff Gold Podcast, where he dives into the historic highs and recent volatility in the gold and silver markets. Originally planning to cover two weeks of market activity in a single Friday wrap-up, Schiff decided to address the significant happenings of the past three days immediately. On Monday, gold prices set a new all-time high, nearly touching $4,380, before experiencing a dramatic sell-off. Despite this, gold closed the week robustly above $4,250. Schiff discusses the widespread speculative sentiment from the crypto community and Wall Street, dismissing the notion that the gold bull market is over. Emphasizing the structural strengths and ongoing consolidation phase of gold and silver, Schiff reassures investors of the long-term uptrend. He also criticizes Bitcoin proponents claiming Bitcoin will surpass gold, labeling it as wishful thinking. Schiff highlights the resurgence of gold's appeal over Bitcoin, driven by massive structural changes and global tendencies to shift back to the gold standard. With energy costs falling, gold mining stocks are posed for significant earnings. Schiff underscores the value of using this pullback as a buying opportunity for both new and long-term investors in gold and silver.Our Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

22 Loka 38min

Jamie Dimon Admits Peter Schiff Was Right - Ep 1046

Jamie Dimon Admits Peter Schiff Was Right - Ep 1046

Peter Schiff analyzes gold's surge, critiques Jamie Dimon's admission on gold's rationality, and discusses the impending dollar crisis.This episode is sponsored by Policygenius. Head to https://policygenius.com/gold to compare free life insurance quotes from top companies and see how much you could save.In this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the pressing realities of today's economic landscape, highlighting Jamie Dimon's recent admission regarding gold's significance in investment portfolios. Schiff discusses the meteoric rise of gold and silver, drawing parallels to historical economic shifts reminiscent of the 1970s. He provides critical insights into the dollar's declining status, the implications of global economic changes, and the stark contrast between gold and Bitcoin. As the market dynamics evolve, Schiff emphasizes the urgent need for investors to reconsider their positions, particularly as the risks associated with Bitcoin become increasingly apparent. Tune in for a comprehensive analysis that challenges mainstream narratives and reinforces Schiff's steadfast belief in the enduring value of gold.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:55 Gold's Meteoric Rise and Media Attention01:56 Silver's Performance and Investment Advice03:55 Historical Context: 1970s vs. 2020s05:37 The Dollar Standard and Global Economic Shifts07:21 Jamie Dimon's Admission and Rationality of Gold09:56 Gold's Future and Wall Street's Realization20:31 Current Market Update and Urgent Investment Advice22:33 Comparing Gold and Bitcoin23:46 Fed Policies and Historical Perspectives25:05 China's Trade and Economic Position30:53 Bitcoin's Decline and Market Manipulation37:01 Closing Remarks and Upcoming Events34:27 Alan Greenspan's Perspective on Gold35:27 The Case for Investing in Gold Stocks38:53 China's Trade Dynamics and the US Relationship43:52 Bitcoin's Decline and the Rise of Gold01:00:01 Conclusion and Upcoming EventsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#goldinvestment #bitcoincrash #marketupdateOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

16 Loka 1h

Gold Tops $4K as World Prepares to Go Off Dollar Standard - Ep 1045

Gold Tops $4K as World Prepares to Go Off Dollar Standard - Ep 1045

Peter Schiff examines gold's historic surge past $4,000, critiques the dollar's decline, and warns of looming economic crises and fiscal irresponsibility.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free “CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the alarming rise of gold prices, which recently surpassed $4,000, signaling a potential dollar crisis. He explores the historical context of gold's surge, drawing parallels to the economic turmoil of the 1970s when the United States abandoned the gold standard. Schiff emphasizes the implications of central banks diversifying away from the dollar and warns of the impending economic collapse as the U.S. grapples with unsustainable fiscal policies. With personal anecdotes and keen insights, Schiff articulates the urgency for investors to reconsider their strategies in light of these developments, positioning gold as a crucial safe haven amid rising inflation and currency devaluation. Tune in for a thought-provoking discussion on the future of the global economy and the significance of gold in these turbulent times.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:56 Gold's Historic Surge04:57 The 1970s Gold Standard and Its Impact10:06 The Dollar's Decline and Global Implications17:24 Personal Anecdote and Upcoming Events18:43 The Shift from Dollar to Gold Standard20:15 Central Banks and Fiscal Policies26:39 The Looming Dollar Crisis31:37 Gold's Rising Significance on Wall Street32:19 Personal Experiences with Gold Predictions34:03 Gold vs. Bitcoin: A Media Bias36:32 Gold as the Canary in the Coal Mine38:27 Kudlow's Dismissal of Gold's Warning41:24 The Looming Economic Crisis43:52 Investment Strategies Amidst Economic Uncertainty47:44 The Global Economic Shift59:57 Final Thoughts and Upcoming EventsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#gold #dollarcrisis #economiccollapseOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

9 Loka 59min

The Government Shutdown Hides a Weak Economy Trump Can’t Fix - Ep 1044

The Government Shutdown Hides a Weak Economy Trump Can’t Fix - Ep 1044

Peter Schiff critiques the government shutdown's impact on economic data, dissects Trump's controversial drug pricing plans, and addresses misguided tariff policies.This episode is sponsored by Lucy. Go to https://lucy.co/gold and use promo code GOLD to get 20% off your first orderIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and its implications for the economy. He discusses the troubling job market, highlighted by disappointing job reports, and offers insights into the rising trends in the gold and silver markets. Peter criticizes the government's response to economic challenges and addresses the controversial tariff policies introduced by former President Trump. He also tackles the impact of these policies on various industries, including pharmaceuticals and entertainment. Listeners can expect a candid analysis of the current economic landscape, emphasizing the importance of understanding real value in the face of inflation and government intervention.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks03:36 Government Shutdown and Its Implications09:47 Economic Analysis: Jobs Report and Market Performance15:34 Gold and Silver Market Insights23:16 Upcoming Appearances and Conferences28:11 Market Recap: Gold and Silver Trends29:21 Pharmaceutical Stocks Surge Amid Trump's Drug Price Plan32:41 Trump's Controversial Tariff Policies37:34 The Movie Tariff Proposal: A Misunderstanding of Tariffs48:12 The Hypocrisy of Hollywood's Capitalism Critique54:43 Conclusion and AnnouncementsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#governmentshutdown #economicanalysis #TrumpRXOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

4 Loka 54min

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