The Worse Things Get, the Less Investors Notice – Ep. 337

The Worse Things Get, the Less Investors Notice – Ep. 337

Retail Sales Down Three Months in a Row
I've got so much to talk about today, it's hard to even figure out where to begin. So I'll start with some of the economic data that came out today, in particular, the February Retail Sales number. Remember last month we had a bad number, -.3, the second month in a row we had a decline in retail sales. The expectation was for a big rebound in February, +.4. Now, I suppose the good news, if you are looking for retail sales to pick up is that they revised the January number upward from -.3 to -.1. Still a drop, but not quite as big. But instead of getting a rebound, we got another drop! We got another .1% decline in February. That's a trifecta. Three months in a row of falling retail sales. That hasn't happened in 6 years. This is pretty rare.
Great Jobs, Lousy Sales
Why is this happening? Remember on Friday, we got this "beautiful", too-good-to-be-true, just what the doctor ordered jobs report that said about a million people got jobs. Why didn't any of those million people take their paychecks and spend them at a retailer? Trump is talking about all the great jobs and all the raises that people are getting and all the tax cuts, why are retail sales down for 3 months in a row?
Spike in Inventory Numbers
In fact, we also got some inventory numbers that came out that spiked up because of an 18-month slump in sales. So inventories are building because nobody is buying what's on the shelf. Well, that doesn't make sense if you believe the economy is great and we've got all these jobs. But if you're like me and you've been very skeptical of the economy being good, this is a validation, because Americans are broke.
Borrowing at Record Highs
This is despite the fact that borrowing is at a record high. Consumers are borrowing a lot of money, yet they're not spending it on retailers, what are they doing with the borrowed money? The government is borrowing a lot of money, we're running these huge deficits, yet it is not even affecting retail sales. That is really the goal, they want people to go out and shop, and it's not happening.
Atlanta Fed Again Lowers Q1 GDP Estimate
After the retail sales numbers came out, we got the Atlanta Fed updating their forecast for Q1 GDP. Remember, this is the forecast that was at 5.4% about 5 or 6 weeks ago. Of course, you remember on my podcast, as soon as that came out, I said, "This is crazy. There's no way we're going to be anywhere near that. They will be doing this limbo for weeks and months and they're going to be lowering the bar". On Friday, I reported on my podcast that they has lowered the bar to 2.5%, the lowest forecast since they started forecasting Q1 for 2018. And what I said on Friday was, "They aren't done going lower. there's room for this bar to go down". I said I thought that the GDP for Q1 would be under 2%.
Goldman Sachs Also Lowers Q1 GDP Forecast to 1.9%
Today, after these retail sales numbers, the Atlanta Fed went down to 1.9%. That is a decline of 65% in their forecast from 5 or 6 weeks ago. It's not just the Atlanta Fed. Goldman Sachs is now at 1.9%. And you know what? This is probably not the low water mark. I think there is at least a 50-50 shot that we end up with a zero handle on Q1 GDP.
Borrowing Q2 GDP Growth and Shoving it into Q1
Given how weak the data has been coming in, especially the big trade deficits. The only reason we might end with a 1 handle and not a zero handle is these rising inventories. In the short run, they give a boost to the GDP, but if inventories are rising because nobody is spending, what does that mean? That means that businesses are going to allow the inventories to wind down, they're not going to keep stocking up. So what we're doing is we're borrowing GDP growth from Q2 and we're shoving it into Q1. Our Sponsors: * Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Jaksot(1091)

Trump Fed Feud Sends Gold and Silver Soaring

Trump Fed Feud Sends Gold and Silver Soaring

Peter Schiff examines the soaring prices of gold and silver, critiques Trump's Fed policies, and discusses the implications for the dollar and global markets.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free “demystifying ai” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the escalating feud between former President Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, examining the implications for gold and silver markets. Peter highlights the recent surge in precious metals, driven by Powell's legal troubles and Trump’s controversial proposals, including a proposed cap on credit card interest rates. As Schiff critiques the mainstream media's dismissal of these significant market movements, he emphasizes the necessity for investors to reassess their positions amid a potential dollar crisis. With insights into the realities of monetary policy and the threats to financial stability, Peter Schiff offers a compelling analysis of the current economic landscape.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Market Overview01:04 Precious Metals Surge04:19 Gold and Silver Mining Stocks06:08 Mainstream Media's Take on Gold11:05 Jerome Powell's Legal Troubles18:50 Trump vs. Powell: The Fed Feud24:06 Implications for the Dollar and Gold31:15 Bitcoin and Other Markets32:28 Trump's Proposed Credit Card Interest Cap32:55 Credit Card Interest Rates and Government Intervention33:58 Comparing Trump and Kamala Harris on Price Controls35:23 The Reality of Credit Card Market Competition39:58 Consequences of Capping Credit Card Interest Rates43:38 Trump's Views on Presidential Power and Foreign Policy49:25 Economic Implications and Investment Advice01:00:01 Final Thoughts and Call to ActionFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#TrumpFedFeud #GoldAndSilver #EconomicImplicationsOur Sponsors:* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

13 Tammi 59min

Precious Metals Start 2026 With Strong Gains

Precious Metals Start 2026 With Strong Gains

In this Schiff Gold Friday Market Wrap, Peter Schiff breaks down the explosive start to 2026 for precious metals after a historic 2025: gold surged, silver and platinum ripped higher, and mining stocks finally confirmed the bull market by outperforming the metals. Peter explains why this is no longer “just a gold story,” why silver’s breakout likely reset support far above the old $50 ceiling, and why miners still look cheap despite massive gains.He also warns that 2026 could bring a physical silver squeeze—rising demand, tightening supply, and potential premium spikes that may make getting silver harder than simply watching the spot price. Peter connects the metals move to the bigger macro backdrop: de-dollarization, ballooning U.S. deficits and debt, weakening labor data, rising global yields (including Japan), and policy-driven inflation pressures.Finally, he revisits the fading “Bitcoin as digital gold” narrative—why Bitcoin lagged while real money led, and why that shift could accelerate capital flows toward gold, silver, and mining stocks in 2026.⭐️ Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟨 Gold News: http://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

10 Tammi 58min

Year-End Special: My 2026 Economic and Market Forecasts

Year-End Special: My 2026 Economic and Market Forecasts

Silver didn’t just rally in 2025 — it broke out. After blasting through the multi-decade $50 ceiling and printing a violent spike into the $80s, silver finished the year still above $70, up roughly 140% while gold surged 64%. Meanwhile, the asset CNBC swore would win the year — Bitcoin — finished down, and Michael Saylor’s Strategy (MicroStrategy) collapsed to a fresh 52-week low.In this episode, Peter Schiff explains why the “blow-off top” narrative is wrong, why silver’s skepticism is actually bullish, and why this breakout is the start of a new leg higher — not the end. He also lays out why 2026 is shaping up as stagflation (weaker growth + stronger inflation), why tariffs will filter into consumer prices, why the Fed will face massive political pressure to cut and monetize, and why capital is rotating out of U.S. assets and into precious metals, commodities, foreign stocks, and emerging markets.If you’re still treating Bitcoin as “digital gold,” this is your warning shot: silver is signaling something big — and crypto may be next to unwind.👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

1 Tammi 48min

Silver Rocket, Bitcoin Breakdown: Why Metals Are Crushing Crypto (2025 Recap)

Silver Rocket, Bitcoin Breakdown: Why Metals Are Crushing Crypto (2025 Recap)

Silver just ripped to roughly $77 in a historic breakout, platinum hit an all-time high, and gold is pushing $4,500+—while Bitcoin and crypto-related trades show growing cracks. In this X Spaces recording (day after Christmas / Boxing Day), Peter Schiff explains why the metals move is not a “bubble,” why Wall Street missed it, and why gold/silver mining stocks may still be mispriced even after the rally.Topics covered:Why big rallies keep starting in Asia’s openingSilver’s breakout logic (and why it was “ridiculously cheap” earlier)Platinum’s record move and what it signalsWhy Schiff thinks Bitcoin/crypto is vulnerable (including MicroStrategy risk)Why mining stocks may still be a Q1 setupDollar confidence, inflation dynamics, and the macro backdropNot financial advice. Do your own research.Follow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#BitcoinCrash #SilverInvestment #EconomicPoliciesOur Sponsors:* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

27 Joulu 202530min

Silver's Epic Rally Signals Bitcoin's Imminent Collapse

Silver's Epic Rally Signals Bitcoin's Imminent Collapse

Peter Schiff forecasts an imminent Bitcoin crash, critiques Trump's economic policies, and highlights the surging silver market in this episode of The Peter Schiff Show.The Peter Schiff Show Podcast - Ep 1054In this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter Schiff dives deep into the implications of Silver's recent surge and the ominous signs of an impending Bitcoin collapse. With keen insights, he critiques the current economic landscape shaped by Trump's policies and discusses the ramifications of AI and automation on the job market. Schiff questions the reliability of government statistics, emphasizing the looming risks of inflation and the realities of the labor market. He also warns listeners about the dangers of understanding the cryptocurrency market, urging them to reconsider their investments in light of potential economic turmoil. This episode embodies Schiff's unwavering commitment to revealing the truth behind financial markets and advocating for sound investment strategies.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:54 Holiday Plans and Podcast Schedule03:24 Silver Market Analysis07:49 Gold and Silver Investment Advice11:09 Jobs Report and Inflation Data22:18 Trump's Economic Policies and Critique33:41 AI and Automation Discussion34:59 The Flawed Logic of Anti-AI Sentiment35:50 Bernie Sanders and the AI Debate37:25 Trump's Media Ventures and Financial Maneuvers44:39 The Looming Bitcoin Crash50:38 Investment Strategies and Market Predictions59:31 Supporting Independent Music01:03:24 Final Thoughts and Holiday WishesFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#BitcoinCrash #SilverInvestment #EconomicPoliciesOur Sponsors:* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

19 Joulu 20251h 4min

QE is Back! Cost of Living Will Soar - Ep 1053

QE is Back! Cost of Living Will Soar - Ep 1053

QE is coming back — and President Trump isn’t happy about Peter Schiff saying it out loud. After Schiff’s Fox interview, Trump fired off a Truth Social post attacking him… but the math doesn’t lie. Washington’s spending is exploding, deficits are surging, and the Fed has no way to finance it without returning to quantitative easing.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free “demystifying ai” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the resurgence of Quantitative Easing (QE) and its implications for the economy. He argues that the return of QE is a clear signal that politicians, particularly Trump, are unable to fund their ambitious agendas without relying on monetary expansion. As markets begin to react to this reality, Schiff highlights the unraveling of the "Everything Bubble" and the inevitable departure from affordability that follows. With keen insight, he exposes the truths that politicians refuse to acknowledge, emphasizing that the consequences of QE will impact everyday Americans. Tune in as Schiff navigates these critical issues, offering a perspective rooted in economic reality.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:55 Federal Reserve's Recent Actions03:23 Quantitative Easing Explained08:16 Market Reactions and Predictions12:11 Impact on Inflation and Employment30:45 Tariffs and Their Economic Impact39:41 Trump's Role in Inflation40:18 Biden's Inflation Policies41:29 Trump's Economic Policies Critiqued41:46 Fox News Interview Fallout46:20 Housing Market Reset48:10 Trump's Reaction on Social Media55:18 Debate Challenge to Trump56:09 Bitcoin vs. Tokenized Gold Debate01:09:42 Investment Advice and PredictionsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#QE #QuantitativeEasing #EconomicImpactOur Sponsors:* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

12 Joulu 20251h 12min

Raised Rate Cut Hopes Lift Markets - Ep 1052

Raised Rate Cut Hopes Lift Markets - Ep 1052

Peter Schiff critiques the Federal Reserve's policies, discusses the housing market crisis, and forecasts gold and cryptocurrency trends in this episode.This episode is sponsored by Hims. Start your free online visit today at https://hims.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter Schiff delves into the critical dynamics shaping today’s financial landscape. He dissects the recent market movements triggered by the anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts and the implications for gold and silver prices. Schiff critiques the ongoing affordability crisis in housing and healthcare, highlighting the detrimental effects of government spending and inflation. He also explores the current state of the Bitcoin and cryptocurrency market, emphasizing the shifting sentiment as investors reconsider their positions. Listeners can expect a thorough analysis of how these trends intersect with broader economic policies and the enduring battle between capitalism and socialism. Tune in for Schiff's insights on navigating the complex financial terrain ahead.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Market Overview00:55 Gold and Silver Market Analysis03:29 Federal Reserve and Economic Policies10:07 Housing Market and Affordability Crisis21:03 Impact of Potential Fed Chair Change24:19 Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Market29:27 Holiday Spending and Trade Deficits31:53 Economic Growth and Capitalism vs. Socialism32:43 The Real Story of Thanksgiving39:59 Bitcoin and the Crypto Market54:17 Conclusion and Investment AdviceFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#FedRateHike #GoldMarketAnalysis #BitcoinTrendsOur Sponsors:* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

26 Marras 202554min

The Fed's Forever Blowing Bubbles - Ep 1051

The Fed's Forever Blowing Bubbles - Ep 1051

Peter Schiff critiques the bursting crypto bubble, warns of impending market collapses, and discusses the implications of reckless monetary policies.This episode is sponsored by Policygenius. Head to https://policygenius.com/gold to compare free life insurance quotes from top companies and see how much you could save.In this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter Schiff delves into the current financial landscape, emphasizing the ongoing collapse of the Bitcoin and crypto bubbles, while raising concerns about the potential fallout in other sectors, including AI and housing. He analyzes the precarious state of MicroStrategy and its impact on Bitcoin prices, challenging the validity of its business model. Schiff addresses the Federal Reserve's contradictory stance on inflation and tariffs, criticizing the government's fiscal policies that have led to rampant market bubbles. With insights into the healthcare crisis and IRS controversies, Schiff presents a stark reality of the economic situation, reinforcing his perspective on the unsustainable nature of current financial practices.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:54 The Crypto Bubble and Market Bubbles04:14 AI Bubble and Its Potential07:05 Bitcoin's Decline and Market Reactions12:43 MicroStrategy and Bitcoin Treasury Companies24:09 Debate Challenges and Tokenized Gold35:18 FOMC Meeting Minutes and Job Reports36:50 Labor Market and Inflation Insights37:45 Tariffs and Their Impact on Prices39:14 Quantitative Easing and the Dollar41:04 Healthcare Crisis and Insurance Issues48:43 FOIA Lawsuit Against the IRS53:10 Publicity Stunt and Bank Shutdown01:09:21 Conclusion and Final ThoughtsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#crypto #inflation #MicroStrategyOur Sponsors:* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

20 Marras 20251h 9min

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