How we predict elections

How we predict elections

Scott Bland is POLITICO’s national politics editor and leading all of POLITICO’s 2022 midterm coverage. To do it, he has a team of about 15 reporters around the country following campaigns. Despite the cooling temperatures, this is when people like Bland start to sweat. His job is to ensure readers and listeners aren’t surprised on election night — that POLITICO has considered and reported on all possible outcomes, including the outliers — those black swan scenarios with seemingly low probabilities. Not just the most likely ones, according to conventional wisdom. The specter of 2016 still haunts newsrooms. Bland and Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza dissect how 2016 midterm misses can be applied lessons for reporters covering the 2022 elections. Bland also weighs in on pressing questions like; what are the chances of Democrats winning the House while the Republicans take the Senate? Could all of those allegedly flawed Trump-backed candidates sweep their races? And could Biden be the first President since 2002 to avoid a party defeat in the first-midterm election? Ryan Lizza is a Playbook co-author for POLITICO.Scott Bland is the national politics editor for POLITICO.Afra Abdullah is associate producer for POLITICO audio.Kara Tabor is producer for POLITICO audio.Brook Hayes is senior editor for POLITICO audio.Adam Allington is senior producer for POLITICO audio.Jenny Ament is executive producer for POLITICO audio. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Jaksot(533)

Can the GOP pull off a California upset? (with Steve Hilton)

Can the GOP pull off a California upset? (with Steve Hilton)

California’s governor's race just got a major shakeup. Democrat Eric Swalwell dropped out amid sexual assault and misconduct allegations, and now the field is wide open ahead of the June 2 primary. ...

17 Huhti 35min

Gov. Brian Kemp’s blunt warning for Republicans | On The Road

Gov. Brian Kemp’s blunt warning for Republicans | On The Road

Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp (R) joins POLITICO’s Jonathan Martin at the Masters to talk Trump, 2028 and the upcoming Georgia Senate race. Plus: Kemp on EVs, economic policy and why he’s staying focused on...

14 Huhti 51min

Inside the war on Trump’s new MAGA (with Marjorie Taylor Greene)

Inside the war on Trump’s new MAGA (with Marjorie Taylor Greene)

Former Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA) – the MAGA acolyte-turned-antagonist who resigned from Congress after a public and messy fight with Donald Trump – joins “The Conversation” to talk a...

10 Huhti 43min

NASA’s chief on how we beat China to the moon and beyond

NASA’s chief on how we beat China to the moon and beyond

Artemis II has launched around the moon. Now, NASA has its sights set on Mars. NASA administrator and billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman sat down with POLITICO's Dasha Burns at Kennedy Spac...

3 Huhti 42min

How Democrats Can Win Back Trump Country (with Gov. Andy Beshear)

How Democrats Can Win Back Trump Country (with Gov. Andy Beshear)

Andy Beshear is the most popular Democratic governor in the country – in a state Donald Trump won by more than 30 points in 2024. He explains why he believes a President JD Vance could be “more damag...

27 Maalis 36min

Inside Newsom’s plan to take on Trump

Inside Newsom’s plan to take on Trump

Today, we're bringing you an episode from our new show, On the Road. California Gov. Gavin Newsom sat down with POLITICO’s Jonathan Martin for a wide-ranging conversation about the personal experience...

24 Maalis 1h 9min

Sen. Ruben Gallego wants to make Democrats fun again

Sen. Ruben Gallego wants to make Democrats fun again

When Sen. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) won his Senate seat in 2024, he outperformed Kamala Harris in one of the closest battleground states in the country.  Now that he’s in Washington, Gallego’s backgrou...

20 Maalis 35min

Sanders on BBQ, politics, and sneaking out of the governor’s mansion

Sanders on BBQ, politics, and sneaking out of the governor’s mansion

Today, we're bringing you an episode from POLITICO's latest show, On The Road with Jonathan Martin. In episode one, JMart sits down with Arkansas Governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders for a lively convers...

10 Maalis 41min

Suosittua kategoriassa Politiikka ja uutiset

uutiscast
aikalisa
ootsa-kuullut-tasta-2
politiikan-puskaradio
rss-ootsa-kuullut-tasta
tervo-halme
rss-pinnalla
rss-podme-livebox
rss-asiastudio
otetaan-yhdet
aihe
the-ulkopolitist
et-sa-noin-voi-sanoo-esittaa
radio-antro
rss-vaalirankkurit-podcast
rss-ulkopoditiikkaa
rss-mina-ukkola
rss-raha-talous-ja-politiikka
viisupodi
rss-virkkusvartti