BTC254: Bitcoin & Macro Overview w/ Luke Gromen Q4 2025 (Bitcoin Podcast)

BTC254: Bitcoin & Macro Overview w/ Luke Gromen Q4 2025 (Bitcoin Podcast)

Luke and Preston delve into America's financial fragility, exploring Treasury funding risks, shifting global power dynamics, and Fed policy challenges. They discuss the rising relevance of Bitcoin and gold amid liquidity constraints, and how economic missteps, tech sector bottlenecks, and geopolitical shifts may shape the future. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:01:37 - Why the U.S. faces a multi-pronged "poly crisis" despite strong tax receipts 00:02:20 - How short-term debt issuance is straining financial system liquidity 00:04:02 - Why Japan’s bond and currency trends signal deeper global shifts 00:05:10 - The impact of U.S. shale decline and oil demand on inflation 00:12:18 - How hedge funds are absorbing Treasury debt—and why it matters 00:06:27 - The surprising risk factors in the tech sector like hyperscaler power limits 00:19:31 - The contradiction in U.S. housing policy and mortgage lengths 00:26:06 - Why Bitcoin and gold are diverging in investor appeal 00:49:16 - How global power shifts and sanctions are elevating gold’s role Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES X Account: ⁠⁠Luke Gromen⁠⁠. Newsletter: ⁠⁠FFTT⁠⁠. Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes ⁠⁠here⁠. Enjoy ad-free episodes when you subscribe to our ⁠⁠Premium Feed⁠⁠. NEW TO THE SHOW? Join the exclusive ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TIP Mastermind Community⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Follow our official social media accounts: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠X (Twitter)⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ | ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠LinkedIn⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ | | ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Instagram⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ | ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Facebook⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ | ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TikTok⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Check out our ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Bitcoin Fundamentals Starter Packs⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠here⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TIP Finance Tool⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Enjoy exclusive perks from our ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠favorite Apps and Services⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Get smarter about valuing businesses in just a few minutes each week through our newsletter, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Intrinsic Value Newsletter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠best business podcasts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠sponsors⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠: HardBlock Human Rights Foundation Vanta Unchained Netsuite Shopify Fundrise Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm

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TIP804: Kinsale Capital Stock Deep Dive w/ Clay Finck & Daniel Mahncke

TIP804: Kinsale Capital Stock Deep Dive w/ Clay Finck & Daniel Mahncke

On today's episode, Clay is joined by Daniel Mahncke to break down Kinsale Capital. Kinsale is a specialty insurer that has quietly become one of the most exceptional businesses in the financial secto...

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TIP803: How Economics and Art Shape Better Investors w/ Kyle Grieve

TIP803: How Economics and Art Shape Better Investors w/ Kyle Grieve

Kyle Grieve discusses key mental models from economics and art and how they apply to investing and decision-making. He explores economic concepts such as scarcity, supply and demand, optimization, spe...

29 Maalis 1h 5min

TIP802: When Genius Was Just Luck: The Go-Go Years w/ Kyle Grieve

TIP802: When Genius Was Just Luck: The Go-Go Years w/ Kyle Grieve

In today’s episode, Kyle Grieve discusses the speculative boom of the 1960s “Go-Go Years” as presented in John Brooks’ book, highlighting the dangers of euphoria, leverage, and financial engineering. ...

27 Maalis 1h 4min

TIP801: Value Investing Meets Venture Capital w/ Kyle Grieve

TIP801: Value Investing Meets Venture Capital w/ Kyle Grieve

In today’s episode, Kyle Grieve discusses lessons from venture capital that long-term value investors can apply to improve decision-making. He explores concepts such as power laws, network effects, de...

22 Maalis 1h 4min

TIP800: Navigating an AI-Driven Market w/ François Rochon

TIP800: Navigating an AI-Driven Market w/ François Rochon

On today's episode, Clay is joined by François Rochon to discuss his 2025 annual letter and the key themes shaping markets in 2025. He also digs into his top holdings, including Constellation Software...

20 Maalis 1h 14min

TIP799: The Davis Dynasty w/ Kyle Grieve

TIP799: The Davis Dynasty w/ Kyle Grieve

Kyle Grieve discusses the remarkable story of the Davis Dynasty, a multi-generational investing family that compounded wealth through discipline, focus, and a deep understanding of insurance businesse...

15 Maalis 1h 5min

TIP798: Nintendo Stock Deep Dive w/ Clay Finck

TIP798: Nintendo Stock Deep Dive w/ Clay Finck

In this episode, Clay breaks down the fascinating history and business model of Nintendo, one of the most iconic entertainment companies in the world. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro...

13 Maalis 1h 1min

TIP797: Born To Be Wired w/ Kyle Grieve

TIP797: Born To Be Wired w/ Kyle Grieve

Kyle Grieve discusses the life and career of legendary capital allocator John Malone and details the at times complex strategies that helped him compound capital over decades. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’...

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