Deja Vu All Over Again – SchiffReport January 8, 2016

Deja Vu All Over Again – SchiffReport January 8, 2016


* Hi everybody, this is Peter Schiff and I am recording this on Friday, January 8, and Wall Street just finished the worst opening week to a new year in the history of the stock market
* The Dow Jones was down another 1% on Friday to finish the week better than 1,000 points - it was a 6% decline on the week
* Now there have been weeks that have been down more than 6% in the history of the stock market, in fact we had one about 4 years ago, but we've never had a week this bad in the first week of January
* Now, the financial media is coming up with all sorts of excuses to blame this big decline on
* On Monday, they were blaming the sell-off on the rumors that North Korea tested a hydrogen bomb
* But for most of the week, they were blaming the sell-off of the U.S. stock market on the sell-off in China, despite the fact that China rallied on Friday and we sold off
* The Chinese market was down about 10% on the week, despite the Friday rally
* The U.S. stock market is not falling because of the Chinese stock market. The Chinese stock market and the U.S. stock market are falling for the same reason
* It's not that one is causing the other, they're both going down and the reason they're falling is because the Federal Reserve raised interest rates in December and they are threatening to raise them at least 4 more times, according to the most recent minutes.
* The belief that the Fed is going to keep raising rates is putting pressure on the Chinese currency, the Yuan, to decline along with a lot of other currencies that have already fallen substantially against the dollar, on the anticipation of higher interest rates
* It's the weakness in the Chinese currency that is pulling down the Chinese market, but it's all because of the Fed - but that's the same reason we're going down
* If you remember, all year I was saying that I didn't think the Fed was going to raise rates at all in 2015, and the reasons were:
* I thought thee economy would not be able to handle it - the Fed always claimed that they were data dependent and I thought they were hiding behind that, but I though they could use the weak data, which had been coming all year, as cover for not raising rates - in fact, that was their cover until they backed themselves into a corner because they had promised to raise rates by the end of the year and a refusal to raise rates would be an admission that the economy was weaker than forecasted
* I also said I didn't think the market could handle a rate hike. It had stopped rising based on the absence of QE, but if the Fed actually increased rates, the air would come out of the bubble a lot faster
* So with the economy going down and the stock market going down, I thought the next thing they would do is reduce rates back to zero and launch QE4 and would look like complete fools
* So by not raising rates, they would look like a lesser fool by acknowledging that the economy needed additional stimulus
* We may already be in a recession
* The Atlanta Fed has already downgraded their forecast for 2015 Q4 to just .8%
* I think by the time we get the first estimate on the 29th the month, we could actually have a negative number for the fourth quarter
* If you look at all the data that's coming in, and I'll get to that in a minute, we can easily have a negative first quarter of 2016, and we're in recession
* If the economy is in recession, and we are in or close to a bear market in stocks, and without the Fed, there's nothing to stop this market from falling, the Fed will have to come to the rescue of both the economy and the market with QE
* But if you remember, a lot of analysts were very sanguine about the market's ability to handle a rate hike, but here we are, the Fed raised rates just a few weeks ago, and the Dow has dropped better than 1, Our Sponsors: * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Episoder(1075)

Trump Hits Americans With More Tariffs - Ep 1043

Trump Hits Americans With More Tariffs - Ep 1043

Peter Schiff discusses the surge in precious metals, critiques Trump's tariffs on various industries, and warns of impending economic challenges ahead.This episode is sponsored by Policygenius. Head to https://policygenius.com/gold to compare free life insurance quotes from top companies and see how much you could save.In this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the pressing issues affecting the global economy, including the surge in precious metals, the implications of new tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, and the shifting landscape of investment portfolios. Peter highlights the recent performance of gold and silver as inflation hedges, scrutinizing the misguided narratives surrounding cryptocurrency and stock market valuations. He emphasizes the critical need for sound economic policies that prioritize free market principles over government intervention. As he breaks down the latest market trends and economic indicators, Peter Schiff provides listeners with a reality check on the true state of the economy while advocating for the importance of gold and silver in any investment strategy. Tune in for an insightful analysis that challenges mainstream economic beliefs.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks01:02 Precious Metals Market Update02:57 Gold and Silver Performance Analysis06:38 Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Insights08:52 Morgan Stanley's Portfolio Adjustment22:44 Stock Market Valuation and AI Investments29:33 Inflation and Rising Costs29:59 Disney's Price Hike and Real Inflation30:57 Personal Income and Spending Data32:14 Fed's Rate Cuts and Economic Impact34:13 Trump's H-1B Visa Policy39:46 Impact of Tariffs on Economy53:58 Trump's Gold and Platinum Cards56:16 Conclusion and Call to ActionFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#TrumpTariffs #GoldInvesting #PreciousMetalsMarketOur Sponsors:* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

26 Sep 56min

Fed's Biggest Policy Mistake Yet - Ep 1042

Fed's Biggest Policy Mistake Yet - Ep 1042

Peter Schiff critiques the Fed's latest rate cuts, discusses inflationary pressures, and highlights the looming housing affordability crisis.This episode is sponsored by Hims. Start your free online visit today at https://hims.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the Federal Reserve's latest rate cuts, discussing the implications of these policy decisions on the economy and inflation. With a sharp critique of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's recent statements, Schiff highlights the potential risks to economic stability and the growing divergence of opinions within the Fed. He explores the impact of tariffs on inflation, the ongoing housing affordability crisis, and the dangers of cutting rates amidst record-high asset prices. Schiff's insights underscore the fallacy of the Fed's mandates and the dire consequences of monetary policy missteps, positioning him as a critical voice amid economic uncertainty. Tune in for a thought-provoking analysis that challenges mainstream narratives and exposes the reality behind the Fed's actions.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:58 Fed Rate Announcement and Market Expectations02:00 Press Conference Highlights and Powell's Statements10:03 Discussion on Tariffs and Inflation19:27 Threats to Fed Independence and Political Influence21:38 Divergence of Opinions within the Fed30:25 Debating Interest Rates and Inflation31:12 The Fed's Impossible Mandates33:42 Unemployment Rate Realities35:09 Quantitative Tightening and Market Reactions37:33 Housing Affordability Crisis40:59 Government Policies and Market Solutions46:42 Stock Market and Gold Predictions52:59 Investment Strategies and Final ThoughtsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#FedPolicy #InterestRates #InflationOur Sponsors:* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

18 Sep 54min

Charlie Kirk Was Right - Ep 1041

Charlie Kirk Was Right - Ep 1041

Peter Schiff critiques the August CPI report, warns of rising inflation, and reflects on the tragic assassination of Charlie Kirk.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free ebook “navigating global trade: 3 insights for leaders” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the latest economic insights surrounding the August Consumer Price Data and its implications for Federal Reserve policy. He critiques government labor market statistics, asserting their unreliability and the significant discrepancies between reported job growth and actual economic conditions. Schiff discusses the potential repercussions of anticipated rate cuts, the rising concerns over inflation, and the implications for gold and silver investments. He also reflects on recent tragic events, including the assassination of prominent political commentator Charlie Kirk, highlighting the societal implications of such violence. Tune in as Schiff navigates these pressing topics, offering his unfiltered perspective on the current economic landscape and its future trajectory.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:58 Anticipation of August Consumer Price Data01:43 Analysis of CPI Report and Fed's Inflation Target03:26 Critique of Government Data and Labor Market04:53 Impact of Job Market on Fed's Rate Decisions07:05 Historical Context and Fed's Policy Shifts07:50 Market Reactions and Predictions22:48 Gold and Silver Investment Insights27:33 Performance of Gold Stocks vs. S&P 50037:22 Economic Outlook and Policy Implications39:38 Economic Challenges and Predictions40:45 The Future of Gold and Inflation42:44 Government Jobs and Economic Impact45:04 Trump's Renaming of Departments47:08 Remembering 9/11 and Its Aftermath48:25 The Tragic Assassination of Charlie Kirk53:18 Racial Double Standards in Media01:02:14 Impact of Welfare Policies on Black Families01:16:49 Concluding Thoughts and ReflectionsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#CharlieKirk #Inflation #EconomicOutlookOur Sponsors:* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

12 Sep 1h 16min

An Independent Fed May Be Ruled Unconstitutional - Ep 1040

An Independent Fed May Be Ruled Unconstitutional - Ep 1040

Peter Schiff critiques the August jobs report, analyzes the Federal Reserve's actions, and discusses the implications for gold and the U.S. dollar.This episode is sponsored by Lucy. Go to https://lucy.co/gold and use promo code GOLD to get 20% off your first orderIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff dives deep into critical economic issues affecting the United States, including a thorough analysis of the latest August Jobs Report, which reveals a troubling trend of job losses reminiscent of the Great Recession. He critiques the economic policies of former President Trump, highlighting the stark contrast between the current labor market and its portrayal as robust by the Federal Reserve. Schiff also explores the implications of a potential constitutional ruling on the independence of the Federal Reserve and its impact on inflation and the dollar. Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks01:26 Discussion on the August Jobs Report04:04 Critique of Trump's Economic Policies07:47 Analysis of the Federal Reserve's Actions14:18 Housing Market Concerns26:29 Gold and Silver Market Insights30:57 Bitcoin vs. Gold: A Comparative Analysis31:29 Bitcoin's Performance Over the Years31:49 The Rise of Bitcoin ETFs and Treasury Companies34:00 The Supreme Court and the Federal Reserve35:40 Constitutional Scrutiny of the Federal Reserve37:16 The Independence of the Federal Reserve48:04 Historical Context of Paper Money in the U.S.55:07 The Future of Gold and the U.S. Dollar56:03 Investment Opportunities and Final ThoughtsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#FederalReserve #BitcoinVsGold #EconomicAnalysisOur Sponsors:* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

5 Sep 57min

Donald Trump Is Wrong - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1039

Donald Trump Is Wrong - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1039

Peter Schiff examines Trump's unconstitutional tariffs, the implications for the gold market, and the potential economic consequences ahead.This episode is sponsored by Hims. Start your free online visit today at https://hims.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff dives deep into the pressing economic issues surrounding Donald Trump's policies, including his controversial tariffs and their constitutional implications. Schiff provides a thorough analysis of the gold market, illustrating its current strength amidst a backdrop of increasing uncertainty in the dollar's value. He discusses Trump's attempts to influence the Federal Reserve, highlighting the potential legal and ethical ramifications of such actions. With a critical eye, Schiff underscores the economic consequences of these policies and advocates for investing in gold as a hedge against the impending financial turmoil. Join Schiff for an insightful exploration of the realities facing the economy today and the strategies for navigating them successfully.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:54 Labor Day Weekend Podcast Announcement02:08 Gold Market Analysis04:28 Trump's Tariffs and the Constitution15:58 Commercial Break17:49 Market Reactions and Predictions27:16 Trump and the Federal Reserve30:27 Trump's Strategy to Control the Fed31:50 Legal and Ethical Implications35:56 Economic Consequences of Trump's Policies47:07 The Role of Gold in Economic Stability51:44 Investment Strategies and Market Predictions56:58 Conclusion and Final ThoughtsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#DonaldTrump #GoldMarket #EconomicPoliciesOur Sponsors:* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

1 Sep 55min

Powell Gets His Mind Right - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1038

Powell Gets His Mind Right - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1038

Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech marks a major pivot at the Federal Reserve. Peter Schiff explains how political pressure from the Trump administration has forced Powell’s hand, why stagflation is now undeniable, and what this means for gold, the dollar, and the future of the U.S. economy.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free ebook “Navigating Global Trade: 3 Insights for Leaders” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this Sunday Night Live edition of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter compares Powell’s capitulation to the “mind right” scene in Cool Hand Luke, warns about the Fed’s coming return to QE, and exposes the dangerous precedent of the U.S. government seizing a 10% stake in Intel. Schiff lays out why gold, silver, and foreign stocks are outperforming, and why the next phase of the crisis will be even more severe.00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks02:15 Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech: A Sober Assessment06:48 Trump’s Pressure and Powell’s “Mind Right” Moment12:02 Comparing Trump and Biden Economies18:37 Stagflation Confirmed: Weak Growth, Stronger Inflation24:10 Fed Policy, Employment Risks, and Inflation Mandate29:44 The End of Inflation Averaging at 2%36:50 Rate Cuts, Quantitative Tightening, and QE Ahead44:15 Market Reactions: Stocks, Bonds, and the Dollar51:28 Gold and Silver Surge vs. Bitcoin’s Underperformance58:44 Mining Stocks: GDX and GDXJ Leading 2025 Returns01:05:37 Foreign Stocks and the Great Rotation Out of U.S. Equities01:12:52 Intel’s 10% Government Stake and Rising Corporatism01:20:46 Investment Strategy: Gold, Mining, and Foreign Markets01:28:14 Conclusion and Schiff Sovereign UpdateFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#federalreserve #stagflation #gold #inflation #dollarcollapse #economyOur Sponsors:* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

25 Aug 1h 1min

Trump Administration Planning to Hijack the Fed - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1037

Trump Administration Planning to Hijack the Fed - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1037

Peter Schiff is joined by James Hickman, a.k.a. Simon Black of Sovereign Man, to discuss the U.S. debt crisis, the Federal Reserve’s future, and why America may be headed toward a sovereign debt and dollar collapse.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite.Download the free “CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this special edition of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter welcomes longtime friend and entrepreneur James Hickman, best known by his pen name Simon Black. Together, they dive into the launch of their new joint project Schiff Sovereign, the growing U.S. debt disaster, and the Trump administration’s controversial plan to take control of the Federal Reserve.00:00 Introduction and Special Guest Announcement02:34 James Hickman: The Man Behind Simon Black04:01 The Birth of Schiff Sovereign05:27 Introducing James to the Audience09:01 The US Debt Crisis Unveiled14:25 Historical Context and Interest Rates21:21 The Fed's Role and Future Challenges25:41 Trump Administration's Plan for the Fed25:52 Money Heist: A Metaphor for the Fed30:03 Economic Data Manipulation30:59 Control of the Central Bank31:20 Unusual Resignation at the Fed32:35 Political Influence on the Fed34:24 Mortgage Fraud Scandal36:26 Implications of Rate Cuts36:58 Treasury Strategies and Debt Refinancing40:14 Stablecoins and the Genius Act49:46 Historical Context and Future Predictions50:25 Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac01:02:43 Concluding Thoughts and Future PodcastsFollow @peterschiff  X: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#federalreserve #debtcrisis #dollarcollapse #economyOur Sponsors:* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

22 Aug 1h 4min

Surprise PPI Surge Dashes September Rate Cut Hopes - Ep 1036

Surprise PPI Surge Dashes September Rate Cut Hopes - Ep 1036

Peter Schiff examines the surprising PPI surge, critiques economic data, and addresses the implications for inflation and the Fed's policies.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free “CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter Schiff dives into the latest economic data, revealing how a surprising PPI surge has dashed hopes for a September rate cut. He critiques the government’s misleading job numbers and discusses the implications of a growing budget deficit on the economy. Schiff also highlights the troubling trend of inflation, emphasizing the Fed's failure to act appropriately amidst worsening economic indicators. With insights on the gold and silver markets, he underscores the importance of understanding the true state of the economy, challenging the narratives promoted by politicians and the mainstream media. This episode is essential for anyone looking to grasp the reality of today’s financial landscape through Schiff’s candid analysis.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:56 Hurricane Impact and Podcast Continuation01:37 Disappointing Economic Data Analysis02:55 Trump's Reaction to Job Numbers08:36 Inflation and Fed's Response16:53 Budget Deficit and Economic Comparison20:58 Tariffs and Legal Challenges27:56 Gold and Silver Market Insights33:52 Big Funds and Gold Stocks34:57 Gold Fund and Dividend Payers35:33 Global Investment Shifts37:04 Bank Receivership and Qenta Deal40:08 Qenta's Asset Handling Issues46:11 Legal Battles and Customer Rights53:11 Organizing Customer Lawsuits01:04:15 Final Thoughts and Call to Action#PPI #EconomicData #GoldMarketOur Sponsors:* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

18 Aug 1h 4min

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