The Fed Flinches, Powell Put in Play – Ep. 418

The Fed Flinches, Powell Put in Play – Ep. 418

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The Fed's Game of Chicken
The big news was yesterday, when Fed Chairman, Jerome Powell, basically flinched. I've been talking about the game of chicken that the Federal Reserve has been playing with the markets. The way the game of chicken goes, is the markets keep moving lower and the Fed keeps talking about how great the economy is and how many rate hikes are coming in the future. Somebody has to flinch - somebody has to blink. It's like you have these two automobiles driving toward each other, and there's going to be a major crash unless somebody turns the wheel.It seems like it was Jerome Powell who turned the wheel first, and, in fact, was chicken.
The Fed Is Worried About All Asset Prices, Not Just the Stock Market
As much as the Fed wants to pretend they don't care about the stock market - they absolutely care about the stock market. They are tremendously worried about a weakening stock market. Remember the goal of quantitative easing was to lift the stock market - to create a wealth effect and it was that stock market-created wealth that was going to drive consumption and the economy. And it wasn't just the stock market; it was also the real estate market. So the Fed is worried about all asset prices, not just the stock market. Clearly the real estate market is in even more trouble than the stock market, but both of these markets were headed lower, and I think that is what really prompted the Fed to blink - to swerve in this game of chicken.
Powell Suddenly Dials Back the Narrative
Now, of course you also had President Trump pressuring the Fed, you had Mnuchin putting some pressure on the Fed, which I think should also be a worrying factor. We don't really know. There was a lot of speculation about what was behind the Fed's change of heart - change in policy. After all, up until yesterday, even when you had the Vice Chair speak, the tone was very hawkish: "Yep, we've got lots of rate hikes coming." And now all of a sudden, Powell dials it all back. Basically, what Powell said that convinced people that maybe there will not be as many rate hikes in the future, is, "We're just below neutral. We're almost there, maybe one more rate hike ought to do it."
Is 2.25% to 2.5% Neutral?
First of all, we're still at 2%, so that would imply neutral is 2.25% or 2.5%. That really shows you how low the neutrality bar has been lowered given the enormity of the debt bubble that have. Once upon a time, and not too long ago, a 2.5% Fed Funds rate would have been considered highly stimulative.

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Episoder(1091)

Trump Fed Feud Sends Gold and Silver Soaring

Trump Fed Feud Sends Gold and Silver Soaring

Peter Schiff examines the soaring prices of gold and silver, critiques Trump's Fed policies, and discusses the implications for the dollar and global markets.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free “demystifying ai” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the escalating feud between former President Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, examining the implications for gold and silver markets. Peter highlights the recent surge in precious metals, driven by Powell's legal troubles and Trump’s controversial proposals, including a proposed cap on credit card interest rates. As Schiff critiques the mainstream media's dismissal of these significant market movements, he emphasizes the necessity for investors to reassess their positions amid a potential dollar crisis. With insights into the realities of monetary policy and the threats to financial stability, Peter Schiff offers a compelling analysis of the current economic landscape.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Market Overview01:04 Precious Metals Surge04:19 Gold and Silver Mining Stocks06:08 Mainstream Media's Take on Gold11:05 Jerome Powell's Legal Troubles18:50 Trump vs. Powell: The Fed Feud24:06 Implications for the Dollar and Gold31:15 Bitcoin and Other Markets32:28 Trump's Proposed Credit Card Interest Cap32:55 Credit Card Interest Rates and Government Intervention33:58 Comparing Trump and Kamala Harris on Price Controls35:23 The Reality of Credit Card Market Competition39:58 Consequences of Capping Credit Card Interest Rates43:38 Trump's Views on Presidential Power and Foreign Policy49:25 Economic Implications and Investment Advice01:00:01 Final Thoughts and Call to ActionFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#TrumpFedFeud #GoldAndSilver #EconomicImplicationsOur Sponsors:* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

13 Jan 59min

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10 Jan 58min

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Year-End Special: My 2026 Economic and Market Forecasts

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1 Jan 48min

Silver Rocket, Bitcoin Breakdown: Why Metals Are Crushing Crypto (2025 Recap)

Silver Rocket, Bitcoin Breakdown: Why Metals Are Crushing Crypto (2025 Recap)

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27 Des 202530min

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Silver's Epic Rally Signals Bitcoin's Imminent Collapse

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19 Des 20251h 4min

QE is Back! Cost of Living Will Soar - Ep 1053

QE is Back! Cost of Living Will Soar - Ep 1053

QE is coming back — and President Trump isn’t happy about Peter Schiff saying it out loud. After Schiff’s Fox interview, Trump fired off a Truth Social post attacking him… but the math doesn’t lie. Washington’s spending is exploding, deficits are surging, and the Fed has no way to finance it without returning to quantitative easing.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free “demystifying ai” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the resurgence of Quantitative Easing (QE) and its implications for the economy. He argues that the return of QE is a clear signal that politicians, particularly Trump, are unable to fund their ambitious agendas without relying on monetary expansion. As markets begin to react to this reality, Schiff highlights the unraveling of the "Everything Bubble" and the inevitable departure from affordability that follows. With keen insight, he exposes the truths that politicians refuse to acknowledge, emphasizing that the consequences of QE will impact everyday Americans. Tune in as Schiff navigates these critical issues, offering a perspective rooted in economic reality.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:55 Federal Reserve's Recent Actions03:23 Quantitative Easing Explained08:16 Market Reactions and Predictions12:11 Impact on Inflation and Employment30:45 Tariffs and Their Economic Impact39:41 Trump's Role in Inflation40:18 Biden's Inflation Policies41:29 Trump's Economic Policies Critiqued41:46 Fox News Interview Fallout46:20 Housing Market Reset48:10 Trump's Reaction on Social Media55:18 Debate Challenge to Trump56:09 Bitcoin vs. Tokenized Gold Debate01:09:42 Investment Advice and PredictionsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#QE #QuantitativeEasing #EconomicImpactOur Sponsors:* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

12 Des 20251h 12min

Raised Rate Cut Hopes Lift Markets - Ep 1052

Raised Rate Cut Hopes Lift Markets - Ep 1052

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26 Nov 202554min

The Fed's Forever Blowing Bubbles - Ep 1051

The Fed's Forever Blowing Bubbles - Ep 1051

Peter Schiff critiques the bursting crypto bubble, warns of impending market collapses, and discusses the implications of reckless monetary policies.This episode is sponsored by Policygenius. Head to https://policygenius.com/gold to compare free life insurance quotes from top companies and see how much you could save.In this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter Schiff delves into the current financial landscape, emphasizing the ongoing collapse of the Bitcoin and crypto bubbles, while raising concerns about the potential fallout in other sectors, including AI and housing. He analyzes the precarious state of MicroStrategy and its impact on Bitcoin prices, challenging the validity of its business model. Schiff addresses the Federal Reserve's contradictory stance on inflation and tariffs, criticizing the government's fiscal policies that have led to rampant market bubbles. With insights into the healthcare crisis and IRS controversies, Schiff presents a stark reality of the economic situation, reinforcing his perspective on the unsustainable nature of current financial practices.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:54 The Crypto Bubble and Market Bubbles04:14 AI Bubble and Its Potential07:05 Bitcoin's Decline and Market Reactions12:43 MicroStrategy and Bitcoin Treasury Companies24:09 Debate Challenges and Tokenized Gold35:18 FOMC Meeting Minutes and Job Reports36:50 Labor Market and Inflation Insights37:45 Tariffs and Their Impact on Prices39:14 Quantitative Easing and the Dollar41:04 Healthcare Crisis and Insurance Issues48:43 FOIA Lawsuit Against the IRS53:10 Publicity Stunt and Bank Shutdown01:09:21 Conclusion and Final ThoughtsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#crypto #inflation #MicroStrategyOur Sponsors:* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

20 Nov 20251h 9min

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