TIP641: Improve Decision Making with Mental Models w/ Clay Finck & Kyle Grieve

TIP641: Improve Decision Making with Mental Models w/ Clay Finck & Kyle Grieve

On today’s episode, Kyle Grieve and Clay Finck continue their conversation on Investing: The Last Liberal Art by Robert Hagstrom. We discuss details on why using the right explanation for a business is so important to a good investment thesis, simple ways to improve your reading to get more out of the books and content that you consume, how to use simple mathematical concepts to improve your decision making in real-time, how to understand better System I and System II thinking and how it directly applies to investing, some of the latest mental models Kyle has learned from interviewing recent guests, and a whole lot more! IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 03:34 - How to use the proper explanations in your analysis to determine the right comparable best. 06:18 - Why Tesla is so misunderstood. 10:33 - Why the economics of Dino Polska make it an invalid comparison to other grocers. 12:02 - The power of narratives in investing and how we can guard ourselves from getting overly optimistic. 17:43 - How to optimize reading for learning. 40:18 - How to use Bayes theorem to tip odds in your favour and change your position sizing. 45:45 - Why value and prices become disconnected, and how human psychology plays into this. 50:20 - Why intuition (system I thinking) is so difficult to rely on in the stock market. 01:09:22 - How to make thinking in mental models a habit. 01:14:59 - Some of the latest mental models Kyle has learned from interviewing some of his latest guests. And so much more! Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Buy Investing: The Last Liberal Art here. Buy The Great Mental Models here. Learn more about Mental Models here. Buy Poor Charlie’s Almanck here. Buy More Than You Know here Follow Clay on Twitter and LinkedIn. Follow Kyle on Twitter and LinkedIn Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. Enjoy ad-free episodes when you subscribe to our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Stay up-to-date on financial markets and investing strategies through our daily newsletter, We Study Markets. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: HardBlock Human Rights Foundation Plus500 Netsuite Shopify Vanta HELP US OUT! Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it! Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm

Episoder(1177)

TIP810: Berkshire Hathaway 2026 Valuation w/ Chris Bloomstran

TIP810: Berkshire Hathaway 2026 Valuation w/ Chris Bloomstran

Stig has invited legendary investor Chris Bloomstran from Semper Augustus to teach us how to value Berkshire Hathaway on today's show. Semper Augustus has an outstanding track record with a compounded...

26 Apr 1h 38min

TIP809: The Real Estate Data Empire Making a $5 Billion Bet: CoStar Group w/ Shawn O'Malley & Daniel Mahncke

TIP809: The Real Estate Data Empire Making a $5 Billion Bet: CoStar Group w/ Shawn O'Malley & Daniel Mahncke

Shawn O'Malley and Daniel Mahncke explore CoStar Group (ticker: CSGP), the dominant provider of commercial real estate data and analytics, and assess whether the company's massive $5 billion bet on Ho...

23 Apr 1h 37min

TIP808: Current Market Opportunities w/ Daniel Mahncke & Clay Finck

TIP808: Current Market Opportunities w/ Daniel Mahncke & Clay Finck

On today's episode, Clay is joined by Daniel Mahncke to discuss the companies they find most interesting in today’s market. They discuss Mercado Libre’s long-term growth potential, Amazon’s expanding ...

19 Apr 1h 25min

TIP807: Portfolio Review: Analyzing Holdings and Watchlist Companies for 2026 w/ Daniel Mahncke, Shawn O'Malley, & Kyle Grieve

TIP807: Portfolio Review: Analyzing Holdings and Watchlist Companies for 2026 w/ Daniel Mahncke, Shawn O'Malley, & Kyle Grieve

Daniel Mahncke, Shawn O'Malley, and Kyle Grieve take a closer look at the Intrinsic Value Portfolio and some of the high-priority watchlist companies. The episode covers high-conviction portfolio hold...

16 Apr 1h 48min

RWH067: Prudent Investing In Perilous Times w/ Matthew McLennan

RWH067: Prudent Investing In Perilous Times w/ Matthew McLennan

In this episode, William Green talks with Matthew McLennan, who oversees about $130 billion at First Eagle Investments. Matt is head of the firm’s Global Value team & a portfolio manager of its Global...

12 Apr 1h 37min

TIP806: Wise PLC w/ Kyle Grieve and Daniel Mahncke

TIP806: Wise PLC w/ Kyle Grieve and Daniel Mahncke

Kyle Grieve is joined by co-host Daniel Mahncke to discuss Wise PLC, a London-listed FinTech company that enables cheap and fast cross-border payments by matching local flows rather than moving money ...

10 Apr 1h 32min

TIP805: Stock Market Maestros w/ Kyle Grieve

TIP805: Stock Market Maestros w/ Kyle Grieve

Kyle discusses Stock Market Maestros, revealing that elite fund managers succeed not by picking winners the majority of the time, but by making dramatically more on their wins than they lose on their ...

5 Apr 1h 4min

TIP804: Kinsale Capital Stock Deep Dive w/ Clay Finck & Daniel Mahncke

TIP804: Kinsale Capital Stock Deep Dive w/ Clay Finck & Daniel Mahncke

On today's episode, Clay is joined by Daniel Mahncke to break down Kinsale Capital. Kinsale is a specialty insurer that has quietly become one of the most exceptional businesses in the financial secto...

3 Apr 1h 14min

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