The Folly of Certainty

The Folly of Certainty

In his latest memo, Howard Marks discusses the importance of avoiding expressions of absolute certainty when operating in fields subject to randomness and human emotion, like politics, economics, and investing. He suggests that it’s better to have humility and acknowledge that the smartest thing to say is often “I don’t know.”

You can read the memo here (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/the-folly-of-certainty).

Episoder(75)

AI Hurtles Ahead

AI Hurtles Ahead

In his latest memo – occasioned by massive changes he cites in just the 11 weeks since the last one – Howard Marks revisits the subject of AI, providing his observations on its essence and how it diff...

26 Feb 46min

Is It a Bubble?

Is It a Bubble?

In his latest memo, Howard Marks addresses the much-asked question, “Is there a bubble in AI?” He identifies the uncertainty associated with AI investments and the conspicuous parallels to previous bu...

9 Des 20251h 6min

Cockroaches in the Coal Mine

Cockroaches in the Coal Mine

In his latest memo, Howard Marks examines the recent string of well-publicized credit problems. He considers how they serve as a reminder that the yield premium offered by sub-investment grade credit ...

6 Nov 202524min

A Look Under the Hood

A Look Under the Hood

In his latest memo, Howard Marks offers observations based on his meeting with the board, consultant, and senior staff of a state pension fund. Howard explores the key topics covered during the sessio...

28 Okt 202528min

35 Years of Memos

35 Years of Memos

To celebrate the 35th anniversary of his memos, Howard Marks recently held a fireside chat for Oaktree employees. Listen to an excerpt from the conversation to hear Howard discuss why he started writi...

14 Okt 202530min

The Calculus of Value

The Calculus of Value

In his latest memo, Howard Marks sets forth the essence of value and price, as well as the critical relationship between the two. He posits that value exerts a ‘‘magnetic’’ influence on price, meaning...

14 Aug 202541min

More on Repealing the Laws of Economics

More on Repealing the Laws of Economics

In his latest memo, Howard Marks discusses the implications of governmental intervention in economies. Considering examples such as rent control, fire insurance, and tariffs, he emphasizes that while ...

18 Jun 202539min

30 Years of Oaktree

30 Years of Oaktree

In celebration of Oaktree’s 30th anniversary on April 10, 2025, cofounders Howard Marks (Co-Chairman), Bruce Karsh (Co-Chairman and Chief Investment Officer), and Sheldon Stone (Principal and Co-Portf...

6 Mai 202522min

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