Ten foreign policy predictions for 2025

Ten foreign policy predictions for 2025

2024 was a year of intense geopolitical shifts and growing uncertainty. But one thing remains consistent: ECFR’s ever-popular predictions podcast. In our first outing for 2025, Mark Leonard and ECFR research director Jeremy Shapiro team up to reflect on the accuracy of last year’s predictions—and, with crystal balls in hand, try to decipher which forces will shape 2025. Is this the year they finally achieve 10/10?


Let us know if you think they missed something! Write your own predictions in to Mark via mark.leonard@ecfr.eu.


Bookshelf:

A Nasty Little War: The West's Fight to Reverse the Russian Revolution by Anna Reid


Regime Change: Toward a Postliberal Future by Patrick J. Deneen


2024: The year we embrace predictable surprise by Mark Leonard and Jeremy Shapiro


This podcast was recorded on 27 December 2024

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Episoder(630)

What the Iran war means for Europe’s energy

What the Iran war means for Europe’s energy

This week, Mark Leonard welcomes Szymon Kardaś, senior policy fellow in ECFR's European Power programme, to unpack how war in the Middle East is reshaping Europe’s energy landscape. While Europe is no...

2 Apr 31min

What the Iran war means for Ukraine

What the Iran war means for Ukraine

This week Mark Leonard welcomes Jana Kobzova, co-director of ECFR’s European Security programme and senior policy fellow, to discuss how the war in Iran is reshaping Ukraine’s war effort. What began a...

27 Mar 22min

Europe, Trump and the war in Iran

Europe, Trump and the war in Iran

Mark Leonard welcomes Piotr Buras, Carla Hobbs, Camille Lons, Jana Puglierin and Arturo Varvelli and to discuss how Europe is responding to the war in Iran.This week Mark Leonard records live from ECF...

20 Mar 21min

War in the Middle East

War in the Middle East

This week, Mark Leonard is joined by Aziz Alghashian, senior non-resident fellow at the Gulf International Forum, Eran Etzion, former Israeli diplomat and deputy head of Israel’s National Security Cou...

13 Mar 35min

India in a world of chaos

India in a world of chaos

This week Mark Leonard speaks to Raja Mohan, academic and foreign policy analyst, in a podcast episode recorded live from New Delhi during the Raisina Dialogue conference. Together they explore how In...

6 Mar 37min

Trump strikes Iran

Trump strikes Iran

In this emergency episode, Mark Leonard is joined by Ellie Geranmayeh, deputy director of ECFR’s Middle East and North Africa programme, Jeremy Shapiro, ECFR’s research director, and Cinzia Bianco, EC...

1 Mar 33min

How to defend Ukraine after a ceasefire

How to defend Ukraine after a ceasefire

As Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine enters its fifth year, negotiations are finally entering a productive phase. Mark Leonard is joined by Jennifer Kavanagh, senior fellow and director of milit...

27 Feb 32min

Bretton Woods institutions in a new world order

Bretton Woods institutions in a new world order

This week Mark Leonard is joined by Mark Malloch-Brown. Mark is the former president of the Open Society Foundations, former head of the United Nations Development Programme, formerly UN secretary gen...

20 Feb 30min

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