Episode 342: 341.  Methods Monday! What is the problem with stopping a trial EARLY?

Episode 342: 341. Methods Monday! What is the problem with stopping a trial EARLY?

Stopping Trials Early for Benefit: Insights From Recent Pivotal Trials in Chronic Kidney Disease - ScienceDirect

There are 4 major reasons why trials might be stopped early: 1) unequivocal benefit; 2) unacceptable harm; 3) futility; and 4) administrative reasons (enrollment or funding concerns).

trials stopped early for benefit tend to overestimate benefit, a phenomenon referred to as random-high.

trials that stopped early, especially those with <500 events, fail to provide reliable and valid estimates of treatment effect, often overestimating it by nearly 30%

Trials stopped early for harm or futility are less problematic as such data are not used to promote medications.

Published results were based on accrual of 69%, 75%, 93%, and 87% of planned events in CREDENCE, DAPA-CKD, EMPA-KIDNEY, and FLOW, respectively.

Episoder(385)

Episode 423: 430. Hormone Replacement Therapy and the Black Box Warning

Episode 423: 430. Hormone Replacement Therapy and the Black Box Warning

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Episode 422: 429. Rivaroxaban vs Apixaban = The Battle of the Blood Thinners!

Episode 422: 429. Rivaroxaban vs Apixaban = The Battle of the Blood Thinners!

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20 Mar 9min

Episode 421: 428. Asthma and Stroke --- A breathless combination

Episode 421: 428. Asthma and Stroke --- A breathless combination

Minocycline in Acute Ischemic Stroke (EMPHASIS trial)A multicenter, double-blind RCT in China studied 1,724 patients with acute ischemic stroke treated within 72 hours of onset. Patients received eith...

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Episode 420: 427. Kawasaki disease-no, not the motorcycle company

Episode 420: 427. Kawasaki disease-no, not the motorcycle company

Today, we're talking about Kawasaki disease-no, not the motorcycle company, though sometimes treating it does feel like trying to ride one at full speed through uncertainty.For decades, high-dose aspi...

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Episode 419: 426. Go Big or Go Partial? The Knee Replacement Showdown

Episode 419: 426. Go Big or Go Partial? The Knee Replacement Showdown

Setting the stagePicture this: your knee is like a three-room apartment. You've got a medial room, a lateral room, and a patellofemoral room. In isolated anteromedial osteoarthritis, just one room is ...

10 Mar 11min

Episode 418: 425. Triptan initiation and cerebrovascular events

Episode 418: 425. Triptan initiation and cerebrovascular events

Kalapura C, et al. Triptan initiation and cerebrovascular events in patients with migraine: A nationwide cohort study. J Am Heart Assoc 2026 Feb 17; 15:e043409. DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.125.043409.  Today, w...

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Episode 417: 424. GLP1 and NAION

Episode 417: 424. GLP1 and NAION

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Episode 416: 423. CME-- Discharge Questions Answered in 2025

Episode 416: 423. CME-- Discharge Questions Answered in 2025

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