GM81: What If Everything You Believe About Markets Is Wrong? ft. Demetri Kofinas

GM81: What If Everything You Believe About Markets Is Wrong? ft. Demetri Kofinas

What if the biggest risk in markets today isn’t volatility, inflation, or geopolitics - but the stories we believe to be true? In this unfiltered and thought-provoking episode, Demetri Kofinas joins Cem Karsan and Niels Kaastrup-Larsen for a piercing conversation that challenges how we process information, construct narratives, and make decisions in uncertain environments. This isn’t about market forecasts - it’s about how easily our thinking can be hijacked. From the corrosive incentives of financial media to the quiet ways conviction becomes cognitive quicksand, Demetri argues that investors today are drowning not in data, but distortion - misled by institutions built to entertain, not enlighten. Yet this episode is more than critique. It offers a path forward - one grounded in introspection, discomfort, and the discipline of intellectual honesty. For anyone managing capital - or simply trying to see clearly in a noisy world—this is a conversation that may shift not just your positions, but your perspective. Because the greatest edge in markets isn’t a model. It’s clarity when others are lost in the fog.

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

-----


Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Cem on Twitter.

Follow Demetri on X.

Episode TimeStamps:

03:21 - Introduction to Demetri Kofinas

04:39 - The era of financial nihilism

11:44 - The birth of a radical optimism?

20:10 - The risk of not heeding the call

26:16 - The dark side of smoothing the business cycle

29:14 - What have we lost in the vacuum of consequence?

33:39 - The collapse of the social contract

38:25 - The importance of a unified narrative

47:16 - Technology - a driver of unity or disunity?

50:05 - The role of government in libertarianism

53:12 - How far are we from a fourth turning?

56:25 - Crisis is a perception relative to where you are

Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

----

PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Privacy Policy

Disclaimer

Episoder(913)

ALO34: Building an Asset Owner Mindset in Modern Pension Investing ft. Dan Mikulskis

ALO34: Building an Asset Owner Mindset in Modern Pension Investing ft. Dan Mikulskis

In this episode, Alan Dunne speaks with Dan Mikulskis, CIO of People’s Partnership, about the evolution of large pension funds and what it means to think like an asset owner. Managing over £40 billion...

18 Mar 1h 8min

SI391: Why Trend Following Works... the Evidence ft. Richard Brennan

SI391: Why Trend Following Works... the Evidence ft. Richard Brennan

What if trends in financial markets are not anomalies, but the natural consequence of how markets function? In this episode, Niels and Richard explore the structural foundations of trend following. Dr...

14 Mar 1h 6min

ALO33: The Psychology Behind Better Asset Allocation ft. Aoifinn Devitt

ALO33: The Psychology Behind Better Asset Allocation ft. Aoifinn Devitt

In this episode, Alan Dunne speaks with Aoifinn Devitt about what it really means to build resilient portfolios in a world of shifting regimes and competing narratives. Drawing on experience across pe...

11 Mar 1h

SI390: When Narratives Change Faster Than Markets ft. Alan Dunne

SI390: When Narratives Change Faster Than Markets ft. Alan Dunne

Markets can shift direction faster than the narratives used to explain them. In this episode, Niels and Alan unpack the sharp reversal in bond markets, the geopolitical tensions shaping energy prices,...

7 Mar 1h 10min

UGO10: The Fourth Turning Is Here: How to Trade the Regime Shift ft. Neil Howe

UGO10: The Fourth Turning Is Here: How to Trade the Regime Shift ft. Neil Howe

Cem Karsan sits down with Neil Howe to examine what a true regime shift means for markets and society. Howe argues that we are deep into a Fourth Turning, a generational winter that historically bring...

4 Mar 1h 5min

SI389: The Market Is Pinned, But Risk Is Growing ft. Cem Karsan & Alan Dunne

SI389: The Market Is Pinned, But Risk Is Growing ft. Cem Karsan & Alan Dunne

In this episode, Alan Dunne and Cem Karsan explore a market that appears calm on the surface yet increasingly unstable underneath. As indices move sideways, they discuss how options flows and structur...

28 Feb 1h 2min

IL46: The Business Model Trap: Why Short Ideas Start in the Real World ft. Mark Roberts

IL46: The Business Model Trap: Why Short Ideas Start in the Real World ft. Mark Roberts

In today’s episode we talk to Mark Roberts, founder of Off Wall Street, a legendary provider of short selling research to hedge funds. Seven months before Enron became the biggest bankruptcy in US cor...

25 Feb 1h 2min

SI388: Peak Bubble? Why Markets Feel Different in 2026 ft. Mark Rzepczynski & Alan Dunne

SI388: Peak Bubble? Why Markets Feel Different in 2026 ft. Mark Rzepczynski & Alan Dunne

Today Alan and Mark step back from the noise to examine a market environment that feels subtly but meaningfully different. From AI euphoria giving way to harder questions, to gold’s steady rise and a ...

21 Feb 1h 3min

Populært innen Business og økonomi

stopp-verden
lydartikler-fra-aftenposten
dine-penger-pengeradet
rss-penger-polser-og-politikk
e24-podden
rss-borsmorgen-okonominyhetene
livet-pa-veien-med-jan-erik-larssen
pengepodden-2
tid-er-penger-en-podcast-med-peter-warren
pengesnakk
utbytte
rss-sunn-okonomi
finansredaksjonen
morgenkaffen-med-finansavisen
lederpodden
rss-markedspuls-2
lederskap-nhhs-podkast-om-ledelse
stormkast-med-valebrokk-stordalen
liberal-halvtime
arcticpodden