The Fed Will Choose Inflation Over Recession | Vincent Deluard

The Fed Will Choose Inflation Over Recession | Vincent Deluard

Vincent Deluard, Director of Global Macro Strategy at StoneX joins Monetary Matters to discuss why he believes changes to policy makers toolkit and to the structure of the economy mean recessions are “cancelled.” He also discusses why he believes Trump’s MAGA economic policies will be bad for corporate profit margins and his bullish outlook on oil and energy stocks. Follow Vincent Deluard on Twitter https://x.com/VincentDeluard Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max Wiethe on Twitter https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:07 Recessions are Cancelled 08:23 The No Recession Feedback Loop 11:11 Impact of Tariffs 13:21 MAGA’s War on Corporate Profits 19:26 Corporate Tax Rates 21:56 Fiscal Balance of Payments Crisis 26:11 Outlook for Inflation, Growth, and Rates 36:07 Outlook for the Stock Market 40:51 US Multiples Compared to Rest of the World 45:18 Bullish View on Oil & Energy Sector 55:15 July Fed Predictions

Episoder(241)

“Books Will Be Written” About This Shipping Market | Ed Finley-Richardson of Misadventures in Shipping on War-Induced Oil Tanker Mayhem, Squeeze for Asiabound Refined Products, and Persian Gulf “Feeding Frenzy” Scenario

“Books Will Be Written” About This Shipping Market | Ed Finley-Richardson of Misadventures in Shipping on War-Induced Oil Tanker Mayhem, Squeeze for Asiabound Refined Products, and Persian Gulf “Feeding Frenzy” Scenario

Listeners can get 20% off Misadventures in Shipping subscriptions through April 17th here: https://edfin.substack.com/monetary Subscription includes access to Substack research pieces and private ...

4 Apr 2h 34min

Why $200 Oil Won’t Spike Inflation to 9% | Anna Wong on Recession Probability, PCE vs CPI, and Fed Reaction Function In A Scenario of Soaring Energy Prices

Why $200 Oil Won’t Spike Inflation to 9% | Anna Wong on Recession Probability, PCE vs CPI, and Fed Reaction Function In A Scenario of Soaring Energy Prices

This episode is brought to you by the Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF ($PQNT):  https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_me...

1 Apr 52min

The Psychology of Market Champions: Inside the Minds of Point 72 & Citadel Portfolio Managers | Dr. Gio Valiante

The Psychology of Market Champions: Inside the Minds of Point 72 & Citadel Portfolio Managers | Dr. Gio Valiante

This episode is brought to you by Pictet’s AI Enhanced Equity ETFs Learn More about Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF: https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/ Learn more about the Pictet AI Enhanced Inte...

31 Mar 1h 1min

The 2026 Private Credit Liquidity Crunch | Leyla Kunimoto on Redemptions in Semi-liquid Vehicles, Private/Public BDCs, and the Future of Alternatives

The 2026 Private Credit Liquidity Crunch | Leyla Kunimoto on Redemptions in Semi-liquid Vehicles, Private/Public BDCs, and the Future of Alternatives

This episode is brought to you by the Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF ($PQNT):  https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_me...

29 Mar 1h 24min

How the Iran War Reshapes the Sovereign Debt Landscape | Sovereign Debt Expert Lupin Rahman

How the Iran War Reshapes the Sovereign Debt Landscape | Sovereign Debt Expert Lupin Rahman

Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm   Former Head of Sovereign Credit at PIMCO Lupin Rahman joins Jack to discuss sovereign debt and its peculiarit...

27 Mar 1h 2min

Headline Indices Are Masking Market Stress | Liz Ann Sonders on the Case For Quality Stocks During An Oil Shock

Headline Indices Are Masking Market Stress | Liz Ann Sonders on the Case For Quality Stocks During An Oil Shock

This episode is brought to you by the Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF ($PQNT):  https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medi...

25 Mar 1h 8min

“Not Until May” The Real Timeline for Controlling the Strait of Hormuz | Nadia Martin Wiggen Svelland Capital

“Not Until May” The Real Timeline for Controlling the Strait of Hormuz | Nadia Martin Wiggen Svelland Capital

Learn more about Teucrium’s CORN ETF (CORN) here: https://teucrium.com/corn Nadia Martin Wiggen, Director at Svelland Capital joins Other People’s Money for a timely update on energy and shipping m...

23 Mar 47min

A Fertilizer Crisis is Brewing (Quickly) | StoneX’s Josh Linville on How Iran War & Strait of Hormuz Closure Has Shut of Critical Fertilizer Chemical Feedstocks That Threaten Global Grain Supply

A Fertilizer Crisis is Brewing (Quickly) | StoneX’s Josh Linville on How Iran War & Strait of Hormuz Closure Has Shut of Critical Fertilizer Chemical Feedstocks That Threaten Global Grain Supply

Sponsor: Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSE Arca: CORN): https://teucrium.com/corn In this episode of Monetary Matters, StoneX Vice President Josh Linville explains how the Iran War and the closure of the S...

22 Mar 53min

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