It Looks Like a Recession Because It Is One – Ep. 132

It Looks Like a Recession Because It Is One – Ep. 132


* The bear market in global stocks continues, and I believe we're in a bear market in the U.S.
* Technically the major averages are not quite down 20%, although some of the averages are
* Transports were down 30% from their highs
* The Russell 2000 was down more than 25%
* Many individual sectors are way down into bear market territory, as are some individual stocks
* IBM hit a new 6-year low; and, of course, IBM is the poster boy for share buy-backs
* Imagine how much shareholder money has been flushed down the toilet buying back stock at over $200/sh and now we're looking at 12o and falling
* But remember: all bear markets begin as corrections
* The bear market of 2001, when the S&P was cut in half, and the NASDAQ fell by 80%, started as a correction
* The same thing in 2008 - they were calling that a correction, too, until they realized that it was a bear market
* In fact, the main thing I am hearing today is the comeback - the Dow had a huge comeback because it was down more than 560 points at the low and it closed down at just 249
* The NASDAQ was down more than 160 and it closed down only 5
* Had we closed at the lows of the day maybe we would be closer to a short-term bottom
* This is another short-covering inter-day rally creating a slippery slope of hope for the market to continue to slide down
* Today, we have hit the most 52-week lows in any month since September of 2008
* Earlier in the day, we were showing the biggest monthly point drop in the history of the stock market
* It's not just the worst January, it's the worst month of any year, ever
* The market has got to be telling us that not only are we in a bear market, but we are in a recession
* The market is forward-looking: it is telling us that we are in a recession
* The bond market is priced as if we are in a recession
* Maybe that is because we are in a recession
* All the economic data indicates a severe recession
* The market is behaving as though something bad is happening - we haven't seen action like this since 2008, yet people are dismissing all of this evidence
* If it walks like a recession, quacks like a recession, smells like a recession, it is a recession
* There are now more people acknowledging that the Fed should not continue raising rates in the near future - an article in the Guardian says:"Janet Yellen and Fed left with face full of egg after interest rate rise blunder" accuses the Fed of raising rates too early
* The problem isn't that they raised rates early, it is that they raised them too late
* Actually the real problem is that they never should have lowered rates to zero in the first place
* I said this from the beginning: They sealed their fate as soon as they dropped rates to zero - no matter when they raised rates it would be a disaster, and the longer they waited it would be a disaster
* What is ridiculous is that the Fed wants us to believe that they can raise rates, after leaving them at zero for so long, and that we could sometime just be fine
* The narrative that Ben Bernanke, Janet Yellen and the Obama administration have been selling is that they saved the economy
* The economy is in much worse shape now than it was 7 years ago
* Instead the Fed's poisonous cure made us sicker than ever - That is what I wrote in "Crash Proof"
* When I forecasted the bursting of the real estate bubble and the Great Recession and financial crisis, I said the economy could withstand that
* What would kill it was the Fed's cure, they came up with the exact remedy I was afraid they would and it is having this exact effect
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Avsnitt(1094)

Trump Starts the Race to Get Out of the Dollar

Trump Starts the Race to Get Out of the Dollar

Peter Schiff examines Trump's Greenland controversy, the surge in gold and silver, and the looming dollar crisis impacting global markets.This episode is sponsored by ExpressVPN. Get an extra 4 months free. https://expressvpn.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter Schiff delves into the critical economic shifts sparked by Donald Trump’s recent speeches and policies. He analyzes the implications of Trump's controversial remarks on Greenland, his inflationary policies, and the ongoing surge in gold and silver prices. Schiff highlights the growing disconnect between the perceived strength of the U.S. economy and the reality of market instability, emphasizing the need for investors to reconsider their strategies in light of a weakening dollar. With insights into Bitcoin, precious metals, and the housing bubble, Schiff provides listeners with an in-depth understanding of the current financial landscape and strategies to navigate the impending economic challenges.Chapters:00:55 Live Market Commentary02:25 Gold and Silver Surge03:48 Trump's Greenland Controversy09:33 Market Reactions and Predictions20:45 Bitcoin vs. Precious Metals23:41 Investment Strategies and Recommendations26:06 Global Economic Shifts32:09 Survival on the Island: The American and the Asians33:57 Trump's European Tour and America's Dependence35:18 Trump's Inflationary Policies and Housing Bubble43:19 Credit Card Interest Rates and Economic Consequences54:12 The Real Crash and Investment Strategies58:45 Market Wrap-Up and Final ThoughtsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#TrumpDollar #GoldInvestment #EconomicForecastOur Sponsors:* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

22 Jan 1h 3min

The Real Crash Is Finally Here

The Real Crash Is Finally Here

Peter Schiff examines the looming economic crisis, analyzes the surge in precious metals, and critiques Trump's controversial policies and military strategies.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free “demystifying ai” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show titled "The Real Crash Is Finally Here," Peter Schiff delves into the alarming state of the US economy and the imminent financial collapse. He expertly analyzes the recent decline in the US market, the surge in precious metals, and the precarious position of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Schiff discusses the implications of Trump's controversial policies, including his approach to Greenland and tariffs, while also warning listeners about the government's role in financial crises. With insights on the declining US dollar and the political fallout from economic turmoil, Peter Schiff provides a compelling call to action for listeners to prepare for the impending financial collapse. This episode is a must-listen for anyone wanting to understand the reality of today’s economic landscape.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Market Overview01:19 US Market Decline and Precious Metals Surge04:30 Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Market Analysis06:31 Gold and Silver Mining Stocks Performance11:54 Trump's Greenland Controversy19:02 Trump's Economic and Military Policies32:21 Trump's Greenland Invasion Logic33:03 Tariffs and Preventing Future Crises33:31 Subprime Mortgage Crisis Warnings35:45 Government's Role in Financial Crises37:02 US Military Presence and Global Relations38:18 The Decline of the US Dollar39:43 Economic Crisis and Political Fallout51:25 Preparing for Financial Collapse53:08 Final Thoughts and Call to ActionFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#economiccrisis #cryptocurrency #goldandsilverOur Sponsors:* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Jan 58min

Strong Fundamentals and Technicals Send Gold and Silver to Record Highs

Strong Fundamentals and Technicals Send Gold and Silver to Record Highs

Gold and silver just posted historic record highs, and Wall Street is still asleep.In this week’s Schiff Gold Friday Market Wrap, Peter Schiff breaks down the biggest one-day dollar rally in gold history, silver’s surge above $90 an ounce, and why recent volatility is consolidation at extreme highs — not a top.Peter explains why:Gold and silver are flashing early warnings of a coming U.S. dollar and Treasury bond crisisMining stocks remain dramatically undervalued despite exploding metal pricesInflation is accelerating again while the Fed talks about rate cutsRising Japanese bond yields threaten global bond marketsTrump-era policies are unintentionally pushing the world away from the dollar and into goldCPI headlines are misleading while producer inflation is surgingThis moment mirrors subprime in 2007 — an early signal before a much larger crisisGold is reacting first. Silver followed. Bonds and the dollar are next.Peter also explains why waiting for pullbacks is a mistake, why physical silver supplies may tighten sharply, and why this bull market is just getting started.⭐️ Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟨 Gold News: http://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

17 Jan 30min

Trump Fed Feud Sends Gold and Silver Soaring

Trump Fed Feud Sends Gold and Silver Soaring

Peter Schiff examines the soaring prices of gold and silver, critiques Trump's Fed policies, and discusses the implications for the dollar and global markets.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free “demystifying ai” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the escalating feud between former President Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, examining the implications for gold and silver markets. Peter highlights the recent surge in precious metals, driven by Powell's legal troubles and Trump’s controversial proposals, including a proposed cap on credit card interest rates. As Schiff critiques the mainstream media's dismissal of these significant market movements, he emphasizes the necessity for investors to reassess their positions amid a potential dollar crisis. With insights into the realities of monetary policy and the threats to financial stability, Peter Schiff offers a compelling analysis of the current economic landscape.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Market Overview01:04 Precious Metals Surge04:19 Gold and Silver Mining Stocks06:08 Mainstream Media's Take on Gold11:05 Jerome Powell's Legal Troubles18:50 Trump vs. Powell: The Fed Feud24:06 Implications for the Dollar and Gold31:15 Bitcoin and Other Markets32:28 Trump's Proposed Credit Card Interest Cap32:55 Credit Card Interest Rates and Government Intervention33:58 Comparing Trump and Kamala Harris on Price Controls35:23 The Reality of Credit Card Market Competition39:58 Consequences of Capping Credit Card Interest Rates43:38 Trump's Views on Presidential Power and Foreign Policy49:25 Economic Implications and Investment Advice01:00:01 Final Thoughts and Call to ActionFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#TrumpFedFeud #GoldAndSilver #EconomicImplicationsOur Sponsors:* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

13 Jan 59min

Precious Metals Start 2026 With Strong Gains

Precious Metals Start 2026 With Strong Gains

In this Schiff Gold Friday Market Wrap, Peter Schiff breaks down the explosive start to 2026 for precious metals after a historic 2025: gold surged, silver and platinum ripped higher, and mining stocks finally confirmed the bull market by outperforming the metals. Peter explains why this is no longer “just a gold story,” why silver’s breakout likely reset support far above the old $50 ceiling, and why miners still look cheap despite massive gains.He also warns that 2026 could bring a physical silver squeeze—rising demand, tightening supply, and potential premium spikes that may make getting silver harder than simply watching the spot price. Peter connects the metals move to the bigger macro backdrop: de-dollarization, ballooning U.S. deficits and debt, weakening labor data, rising global yields (including Japan), and policy-driven inflation pressures.Finally, he revisits the fading “Bitcoin as digital gold” narrative—why Bitcoin lagged while real money led, and why that shift could accelerate capital flows toward gold, silver, and mining stocks in 2026.⭐️ Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟨 Gold News: http://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

10 Jan 58min

Year-End Special: My 2026 Economic and Market Forecasts

Year-End Special: My 2026 Economic and Market Forecasts

Silver didn’t just rally in 2025 — it broke out. After blasting through the multi-decade $50 ceiling and printing a violent spike into the $80s, silver finished the year still above $70, up roughly 140% while gold surged 64%. Meanwhile, the asset CNBC swore would win the year — Bitcoin — finished down, and Michael Saylor’s Strategy (MicroStrategy) collapsed to a fresh 52-week low.In this episode, Peter Schiff explains why the “blow-off top” narrative is wrong, why silver’s skepticism is actually bullish, and why this breakout is the start of a new leg higher — not the end. He also lays out why 2026 is shaping up as stagflation (weaker growth + stronger inflation), why tariffs will filter into consumer prices, why the Fed will face massive political pressure to cut and monetize, and why capital is rotating out of U.S. assets and into precious metals, commodities, foreign stocks, and emerging markets.If you’re still treating Bitcoin as “digital gold,” this is your warning shot: silver is signaling something big — and crypto may be next to unwind.👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

1 Jan 48min

Silver Rocket, Bitcoin Breakdown: Why Metals Are Crushing Crypto (2025 Recap)

Silver Rocket, Bitcoin Breakdown: Why Metals Are Crushing Crypto (2025 Recap)

Silver just ripped to roughly $77 in a historic breakout, platinum hit an all-time high, and gold is pushing $4,500+—while Bitcoin and crypto-related trades show growing cracks. In this X Spaces recording (day after Christmas / Boxing Day), Peter Schiff explains why the metals move is not a “bubble,” why Wall Street missed it, and why gold/silver mining stocks may still be mispriced even after the rally.Topics covered:Why big rallies keep starting in Asia’s openingSilver’s breakout logic (and why it was “ridiculously cheap” earlier)Platinum’s record move and what it signalsWhy Schiff thinks Bitcoin/crypto is vulnerable (including MicroStrategy risk)Why mining stocks may still be a Q1 setupDollar confidence, inflation dynamics, and the macro backdropNot financial advice. Do your own research.Follow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#BitcoinCrash #SilverInvestment #EconomicPoliciesOur Sponsors:* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

27 Dec 202530min

Silver's Epic Rally Signals Bitcoin's Imminent Collapse

Silver's Epic Rally Signals Bitcoin's Imminent Collapse

Peter Schiff forecasts an imminent Bitcoin crash, critiques Trump's economic policies, and highlights the surging silver market in this episode of The Peter Schiff Show.The Peter Schiff Show Podcast - Ep 1054In this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter Schiff dives deep into the implications of Silver's recent surge and the ominous signs of an impending Bitcoin collapse. With keen insights, he critiques the current economic landscape shaped by Trump's policies and discusses the ramifications of AI and automation on the job market. Schiff questions the reliability of government statistics, emphasizing the looming risks of inflation and the realities of the labor market. He also warns listeners about the dangers of understanding the cryptocurrency market, urging them to reconsider their investments in light of potential economic turmoil. This episode embodies Schiff's unwavering commitment to revealing the truth behind financial markets and advocating for sound investment strategies.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:54 Holiday Plans and Podcast Schedule03:24 Silver Market Analysis07:49 Gold and Silver Investment Advice11:09 Jobs Report and Inflation Data22:18 Trump's Economic Policies and Critique33:41 AI and Automation Discussion34:59 The Flawed Logic of Anti-AI Sentiment35:50 Bernie Sanders and the AI Debate37:25 Trump's Media Ventures and Financial Maneuvers44:39 The Looming Bitcoin Crash50:38 Investment Strategies and Market Predictions59:31 Supporting Independent Music01:03:24 Final Thoughts and Holiday WishesFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#BitcoinCrash #SilverInvestment #EconomicPoliciesOur Sponsors:* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code GOLD20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

19 Dec 20251h 4min

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