Mal Anders Richtig Wetten #6 - Vibrierende Analkugeln, Harakiriwetten, Sport, der keiner ist & Nate Silvers Politastrologie

Andreas, Joachim & Sebastian sprechen über vibrierende Analkugeln. Unter anderem. Wie das wohl mit dem Wetten zusammenhängt?

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Links & Wetten

Alle Wetten in der Übersicht als Spreadsheet

Stand nach Folge #5 (realisierte Gewinne & Verluste):

1. Andreas +$50.32
2. Joachim +$28.65
3. Sebastian +$4.80

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Neue Wetten aus Folge #6

Schema: Markt | Auswahl @Dezimalquote ($Polymarketquote) | Einsatz in USD

Joachim:

• (26:57) 2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Arizona? | Republican @ 2.895 ($0.3455) | 34 USD
• (24:43) Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? | Republican @2.258 ($0.4429) | 66 USD

Sebastian:

• (20:02) Will Charles Leclerc finish 2nd in the 2022 F1 driver standings? | No @2.833 ($0.3530) | 20 USD
• (21:57) Will $ETH dip below $1000 by Nov 1? | No @1.552 ($0.6444) | 70 USD

Andreas:

• (14:12) Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? | No @3.089 ($0.3238) | 100 USD
• (15:08) Will the price of Polygon ($MATIC) be above $0.825 on October 14? | No @1.187 ($0.8423) | 219.32 USD

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Noch aktive Wetten aus vorangegangenen Folgen

Sebastian:

• Will Jalen Brunson join the Knicks for the 2022-23 NBA season? | No @18.416 ($0.0543) | 3 USD
• Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? | No @1.109 ($0,9014) | 65 USD
• Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes @1.118 ($0,8946) | 60 USD
• Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? | Yes @1.149 ($0.8705) | 100 USD
• Will $ETH dip below $1000 by Nov 1? | No @1.900 ($0.5628) | 100 USD

Andreas:

• Will NATO expand in 2022? | No @1.75 ($0,5714) | 100 USD
• Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? | No @2.604 ($0,3840) | 100 USD
• (Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? | Republican @1.326 ($0.7541) | 32 USD
• 2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Ohio? | Republican @ 1.308 ($0.7648) | 99 USD

Joachim

• 2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Ohio?| Republican @1.308 ($0.7644) | 100 USD
• Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? | No @2.65 ($0.3774) | 70 USD
• Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? | Yes @1.922 (0.5202) | 50 USD
• Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? | Republican @1.257 ($0,7956) | 33 USD
• 2022 U.S. Senate elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Arizona? | Republican @2.704 ($0,3698) | 33 USD
• Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? | Republican @2.957 ($0.3382) | 100 USD
• 2022 U.S. Gubernatorial elections: Will a Democrat or Republican win in Nevada? | Republican @2.128 ($0.4714) | 100 USD

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Alle abgerechnete Wetten

Joachim:

• Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 8, 2022? | No @1.287 ($0.7773) | 100 USD | Profit: +$28.65

Sebastian:

• Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 US Open? | No @1.305 ($0.7664) | 50 USD | Profit: +$15,24
• Will Rafael Nadal win the 2022 US Open? | Yes @5.435 ($0,1840) | 35 USD | Verlust: -$35
• Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first? | $2,000 @1.573 ($0.6357) | 47 USD | Profit: +$26.94
• Who will win Anthony Joshua vs. Oleksandr Usyk 2? | Anthony Joshua @2.771 ($0.3608) | 15 USD | Verlust: -$15.00
• Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2022 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz? | No @1.504 ($0,6647) | 25 USD | Profit +$12,62

Andreas:

• Will Yuh-Line Niou win the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election? | No @1.352 ($0.7396) | 100 USD | Profit: +$35.22
• Will the floor price of Bored Apes be 70 ETH or above on Aug 31? | Yes @1.020 ($0,9800) | 135,22 USD | Profit: +$2.76
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? | No @1.012 ($0.9881) | 106.98 USD | Profit: +$1.29
• Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43% or higher on September 29? | No @1.053 ($0.9460) | 219.31 USD | Profit: +$11.05

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Regelwerk

1. Am Ende des Jahres wird abgerechnet. Wer am meisten Profit gemacht hat, ist der Sieger.
2. Alle Teilnehmer bekommen ein Budget von 100 Dollar pro Episode, davon dürfen wir so viel wir wollen fürs Wetten verwenden. Wir dürfen auch "sparen".
3. Alle Wetten müssen auf Polymarket abgeschlossen werden, jeder Markt steht uns zur Verfügung.
4. Wir dürfen auf beliebig viele Märkte wetten, so lange wir unser Budget einhalten.
5. Wir...