Nobody Knows (Yet Again)

Nobody Knows (Yet Again)

In his latest memo, Howard discusses how the recent events surrounding tariffs can have a seismic but unpredictable impact on the global economy. Seismic in that they reflect a fundamental undoing of longstanding norms, and unpredictable in that tariffs would bring untold second- and third-order consequences. He emphasizes that there is no foreknowledge here, with forecasts even less likely to be accurate than usual. Howard considers the response of the financial markets, highlighting the key question regards the appropriateness of the market reaction thus far: has it been just right, excessive, or inadequate?

You can read the memo here (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/nobody-knows-yet-again).

Avsnitt(74)

Is It a Bubble?

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35 Years of Memos

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The Calculus of Value

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More on Repealing the Laws of Economics

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In his latest memo, Howard Marks discusses the implications of governmental intervention in economies. Considering examples such as rent control, fire insurance, and tariffs, he emphasizes that while ...

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30 Years of Oaktree

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In celebration of Oaktree’s 30th anniversary on April 10, 2025, cofounders Howard Marks (Co-Chairman), Bruce Karsh (Co-Chairman and Chief Investment Officer), and Sheldon Stone (Principal and Co-Portf...

6 Maj 202522min

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