BITCOIN SEASON 2: All Your Bitcoin Models Are Broken (But Really)

BITCOIN SEASON 2: All Your Bitcoin Models Are Broken (But Really)

Charlie and Colin demolish every popular Bitcoin price model - stock-to-flow, rainbow charts, power law, and Metcalfe's law. Why they're all wrong and what might actually work this cycle. You're listening to Bitcoin Season 2. Subscribe to the newsletter, trusted by over 12,000 Bitcoiners: https://newsletter.blockspacemedia.com Charlie and Colin break down every major Bitcoin price prediction model and explain why they're all fundamentally flawed. From Plan B's broken stock-to-flow to Giovanni's power law obsession, rainbow charts, and Metcalfe's law - we expose the problems with each approach and introduce Charlie's new "institutional structured bid corridor" theory for this cycle. Subscribe to the newsletter! https://newsletter.blockspacemedia.com NOTES: • Stock-to-flow predicted $1M by 2025 - failed • Rainbow chart undefeated since 2013 • Power law predicts $100K by 2028 latest • Metcalfe's law broken by ETF adoption • Hyper-bitcoinization chart shows $100B BTC • Institutional money creating price channels Timestamps: 00:00 Start 00:34 Price Models 02:09 Stock to Flow 10:48 Rainbow Chart 14:59 Arch Network 15:31 Power Law 21:40 Metcalfe's Law 28:03 Hyperbitcoinization Model 30:47 Institutional Structure Bid Corridor Model - 👉 Brought to you by Arch Network! Arch brings the speed of Solana & the best of crypto UX to Bitcoin. Tap into the rich app ecosystem on Arch & try out the testnet while you’re still early! Visit arch.network to learn more. - 👋Bitcoin Season 2 is produced Blockspace Media, Bitcoin’s first B2B publication in Bitcoin. Follow us on Twitter and check out our newsletter for the best information in Bitcoin mining, Ordinals and tech! Enjoy the show? Check out our website and newsletter by clicking here. Questions or want to sponsor? hello@blockspace.media See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

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U.S. Military Confirms It's Running a Live Bitcoin Node | CoinDesk Daily

U.S. Military Confirms It's Running a Live Bitcoin Node | CoinDesk Daily

A four-star admiral says the U.S. military is running a live Bitcoin node. Admiral Samuel Paparo, commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, told Congress the military is running a live node on the Bitc...

23 Apr 1min

Blockspace: Finding Satoshi Documentary, Justin Sun Sues World Liberty Financial, CORZ Opens $3.3B Raise

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A new documentary claims to have solved the case of Satoshi’ identity, and Justin Sun is bringing World Liberty Financial to court. Welcome back to Block Space Live! Today, William Cohan and Tyler ...

23 Apr 56min

Trump's Iran Ceasefire Sends Bitcoin Past $78K | CoinDesk Daily

Trump's Iran Ceasefire Sends Bitcoin Past $78K | CoinDesk Daily

President Trump extends the Iran ceasefire. President Trump extended the Iran ceasefire indefinitely, triggering a bitcoin rally past $78,000 and short-squeeze conditions in crypto markets. CoinDesk'...

22 Apr 1min

Finding Satoshi: Did A New Documentary Finally Unmask Nakamoto?

Finding Satoshi: Did A New Documentary Finally Unmask Nakamoto?

Bitcoin's origin story is the greatest unsolved mystery in financial history and the team behind Finding Satoshi spent years doing what dozens of others couldn't: actually closing in on an answer. I...

21 Apr 28min

Strategy Surpasses BlackRock as World's Biggest Bitcoin Holder | CoinDesk Daily

Strategy Surpasses BlackRock as World's Biggest Bitcoin Holder | CoinDesk Daily

Strategy surpasses BlackRock's IBIT to become the biggest bitcoin holder. Strategy now holds 815,061 BTC, edging past BlackRock's IBIT for the first time since Q2 2024, after a $2.54 billion bitcoin ...

21 Apr 1min

Blockspace: DeFi’s $13B Exodus, OPNEXT 2026 Recap, NYDIG Eyes Alcoa Plant for BTC Mining

Blockspace: DeFi’s $13B Exodus, OPNEXT 2026 Recap, NYDIG Eyes Alcoa Plant for BTC Mining

The latest Lazarus Group-led DeFi exploit set off a $13 billion exodus from DeFi platforms, and we cover the spiciest talk on Bitcoin and quantum computing at OPNEXT. Get your tickets to OPNEXT 202...

21 Apr 1h 16min

Strategy’s STRC Dividend Move and Tokenizing the $70T U.S. Equity Market

Strategy’s STRC Dividend Move and Tokenizing the $70T U.S. Equity Market

Tokenizing the $70T U.S. equity market. On this episode of CoinDesk's Public Keys from the New York Stock Exchange, host Jennifer Sanasie breaks down Strategy's proposal to shift STRC preferred stock...

20 Apr 31min

$13B Exits DeFi in 48 Hours After Kelp DAO's Exploit | CoinDesk Daily

$13B Exits DeFi in 48 Hours After Kelp DAO's Exploit | CoinDesk Daily

Kelp DAO's $292 million exploit wipes $13 billion from DeFi. A $292 million exploit of Kelp DAO's cross-chain bridge has wiped $13 billion from DeFi in two days, with Aave alone losing $8.45 billion ...

20 Apr 1min

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