SI377: What's New in SG Indices in 2026? + The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio ft. Alan Dunne

SI377: What's New in SG Indices in 2026? + The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio ft. Alan Dunne

Niels and Alan explore how a fragile macro regime reshapes systematic investing, from a politicised Fed succession to widening cracks in a debt-laden, equity-dependent economy. A shifting bond landscape, rising capital demands from AI and renewed tariff risks challenge the old 60/40 orthodoxy. Listener questions on US policy shocks and the Yen carry trade open a deeper look at when trend helps and when it hurts. The episode culminates in a world exclusive of SocGen's 2026 index changes and the first public reveal of Alan’s new paper: The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio, for genuinely resilient, opportunity-aware global wealth compounding intelligently, prudently over the decade ahead.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Voiceover and introduction to the Systematic Investor Series

00:23 - Niels and Alan open, what is on their radar this week

01:27 - Fed succession as a political risk factor and betting markets

03:33 - Crypto moves, Vanguard’s platform shift and MicroStrategy index pressure

05:53 - Listener questions: can constant US policy shocks break trend?

06:33 - Trouble for trend or just another regime to endure and adapt to

08:55 - Short-term CTAs, Liberation Day and when speed becomes a handicap

11:11 - How CTAs are positioned for a yen carry unwind and JGB nuances

12:16 - November trend update, five straight positive months and short-term pain

13:35 - World exclusive: new SocGen CTA and...

Jaksot(900)

GM60: Preparing Your Portfolio for the Second Half of 2024 ft. Christian Mueller-Glissmann

GM60: Preparing Your Portfolio for the Second Half of 2024 ft. Christian Mueller-Glissmann

In this episode, Cem and I welcome Christian Mueller Glissman back on the show, and together, we tackle the intricacies of capital allocation in 2024, particularly amid the pivotal elections we expect...

1 Touko 20241h 5min

SI293: Market Outlook for the Rest of 2024 & EOY S&P500 level ft. Cem Karsan

SI293: Market Outlook for the Rest of 2024 & EOY S&P500 level ft. Cem Karsan

Today, I'm joined by Cem Karsan to discuss how speculations in markets affect the economy and Cem presents his view on the current state of global macro as well as a forecast for the rest of the year....

27 Huhti 202458min

GM59: The Geopolitical Tug-of-War: Russia, China & the West ft. Marko Papic

GM59: The Geopolitical Tug-of-War: Russia, China & the West ft. Marko Papic

Join us for an eye-opening discussion on global power dynamics with geopolitics expert Marko Papic, alongside Cem Karsan and myself, where we dive deep into the ongoing tug-of-war between the West, ...

24 Huhti 20241h 6min

SI292: Is Cocoa becoming Too Hot for Trend Followers? ft. Rob Carver

SI292: Is Cocoa becoming Too Hot for Trend Followers? ft. Rob Carver

Today, Rob Carver joins me to answer questions about MatLab as a backtesting tool, why you should be careful to apply trend following in crypto and what Rob think about seasonality and relative value ...

20 Huhti 20241h 1min

IL25: Any Happy Returns... the Next Super Cycle? ft. Peter Oppenheimer

IL25: Any Happy Returns... the Next Super Cycle? ft. Peter Oppenheimer

In this episode Peter Oppenheimer, Chief Global Strategist and Head of Macro Research in Europe for Goldman Sachs joins us to discuss his new book Any Happy Returns: Structural Changes and Super Cycle...

17 Huhti 202457min

SI291: Trend Following...What should it mean to Investors? ft. Richard Brennan

SI291: Trend Following...What should it mean to Investors? ft. Richard Brennan

In this episode, we are joined by Richard Brennan to discuss why now is the time to step up your trend following allocation. Rich challenges Andrew Beer’s conclusion that a 3% allocation to trend foll...

13 Huhti 20241h 9min

TTU146: The value of Unpredictable Alpha ft. Anthony Todd

TTU146: The value of Unpredictable Alpha ft. Anthony Todd

Today, we are delighted to be joined by Anthony Todd, Co-Founder & CEO of Aspect Capital, for an insightful discussion on the role of systematic trading and trend following in today’s economy. We also...

10 Huhti 20241h 11min

SI290: Honey, I Shrunk the Trend Following ft. Andrew Beer

SI290: Honey, I Shrunk the Trend Following ft. Andrew Beer

Today, we are joined by Andrew Beer to discuss why the current surge in Cocoa prices really is a big deal for our industry, but how CTAs have been selling it this year, against many main stream media ...

6 Huhti 20241h 15min

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