SI378: When Prices Stop Making Sense ft. Mark Rzepczynski

SI378: When Prices Stop Making Sense ft. Mark Rzepczynski

This episode examines markets through the lens of uncertainty rather than prediction. As the Federal Reserve delivers a rate cut amid dissent and conflicting signals, Alan and Mark explore what it means for systematic investors navigating noisy data, fragile liquidity and shifting regimes. The conversation moves from Fed credibility and term premia to bubbles, leverage and the limits of valuation in an environment shaped by narratives as much as fundamentals. Along the way, they return to a core question at the heart of systematic investing: when uncertainty rises and explanations multiply, should prices remain the final arbiter of risk, signal and portfolio design?

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Introduction to the Systematic Investor series

00:23 - Market context and recent CTA performance

02:41 - Initial reactions to the Fed decision and rate cut

03:12 - A messy Fed and the problem of dissenting signals

06:48 - Inflation, growth projections and policy uncertainty

08:31 - Signal versus noise in systematic trading models

11:22 - Employment data revisions and confidence in fundamentals

13:10 - Bond valuation, term premia and the question of safe assets

16:30 - Fiscal dominance, inflation risk and portfolio fragility

19:29 - Prices versus value and the limits of interpretation

22:47 - Narratives, reflexivity and momentum in markets

28:07...

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SI377: What's New in SG Indices in 2026? + The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio ft. Alan Dunne

SI377: What's New in SG Indices in 2026? + The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio ft. Alan Dunne

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ALO32: AI Booms, Fiscal Strains and the New Macro Regime ft. Joe Little

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Alan Dunne speaks with HSBC Asset Management’s Global Chief Strategist, Joe Little, about what happens when the old macro rules stop working. Joe traces the shift from a demand led, low inflation worl...

3 Joulu 20251h 5min

SI376: What They’re Only Now Starting to See ft. Andrew Beer

SI376: What They’re Only Now Starting to See ft. Andrew Beer

In this week’s Systematic Investor episode, Niels and Andrew Beer explore how a broken 60/40 paradigm is forcing wealth managers into a new world of “other” diversifiers. Andrew reflects on the Goldma...

29 Marras 20251h 6min

IL43: The Land Trap: How Property Shapes Power ft. Mike Bird

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In today’s episode we talk about the world’s oldest, and still most important asset: land. Our guest is the Economist’s Wall Street Editor Mike Bird. Mike is the author of a newly released book The La...

26 Marras 20251h

SI375: CTAs After the Walls Come Down ft. Rob Carver

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22 Marras 20251h 17min

UGO08: The Coming Hunger Games for Global Savings ft. David Dredge

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Recorded live from the Cboe RMC floor in Munich, Cem Karsan sits down with volatility veteran David Dredge for a deep exploration of what truly drives risk. From the crash of 1987 to today’s era of co...

19 Marras 20251h 4min

SI374: When the Data Goes Dark: Trend Following, Turbulence & Total Portfolios ft. Katy Kaminski

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What happens when the data goes dark, yet markets barely flinch? In this episode, Niels and Katy unpack the month of October defined by missing economic releases, relentless equity strength and three ...

15 Marras 202559min

GM91: Inside China’s Growth Dilemma ft. George Magnus

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China’s ascent tells two stories. One of power, precision, and industrial brilliance - the other of imbalance, aging, and constraint. In this episode, Alan Dunne and George Magnus trace the hidden geo...

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