GM93: The Calm Before a Systemic Reckoning ft. William White

GM93: The Calm Before a Systemic Reckoning ft. William White

William White returns to assess a world edging closer to systemic stress. Drawing on decades advising central banks, he describes a macro regime defined not by temporary shocks, but by a deep reversal of the forces that once kept inflation low and debt manageable. From de-globalization and demographic decline to energy constraints and fragile supply chains, the conversation traces how rising costs collide with record public and private leverage. White warns that policy makers are trapped between inflationary pressures and debt sustainability, with no clean exit in sight. The discussion closes on AI, currency fragmentation, and the uncomfortable possibility that today’s stability masks a far more dangerous future.

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

-----


Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Alan on Twitter.

Follow William on LinkedIn.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Why unchecked booms become more dangerous over time

01:37 - Setting the stage for a new global macro regime

03:53 - From disinflation to persistent inflation pressure

07:10 - Supply side forces reversing after decades of support

12:07 - Debt accumulation and unintended policy consequences

13:03 - Why higher rates did not trigger an immediate crisis

18:53 - Debt dynamics and the problem of sustainability

19:57 - Tipping points and the psychology of market breaks

26:40 - What happens when trust in central banks erodes

35:51 - AI optimism and the risk of large scale malinvestment

39:44 - Lessons from financial history and false starts

41:08 - Why economic models failed to see this coming

48:32 - The dollar, fragmentation, and global currency shifts

57:56 - Europe’s opportunity and its unresolved risks

01:03:24 - Complexity, politics, and why forecasting breaks down

Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

----

PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Privacy Policy

Disclaimer

Jaksot(925)

TTU37: How to Build a Multi-Billion$ Trend-Following Firm ft. Martin Lueck of Aspect Capital – 1of2

TTU37: How to Build a Multi-Billion$ Trend-Following Firm ft. Martin Lueck of Aspect Capital – 1of2

In this episode, we get an exciting behind-the-scenes story of one of the most famous systematic trading firms of its time, AHL. Our guest is one of the firms founders and takes us from the company’s ...

6 Loka 20141h 9min

TTU36: A Look inside a Currency Trading Firm ft. Chris Cruden of Insch Capital Management – 2of2

TTU36: A Look inside a Currency Trading Firm ft. Chris Cruden of Insch Capital Management – 2of2

In Part 2 of our conversation with the CEO of Insch Capital Management, we talk about how the firm’s trading models work and how they were built. We discuss how Insch deals with drawdowns, increased r...

2 Loka 20141h 5min

TTU35: The Advantages of Being a Systematic Trader ft. Chris Cruden of Insch Capital Management – 1of2

TTU35: The Advantages of Being a Systematic Trader ft. Chris Cruden of Insch Capital Management – 1of2

Our next guest was a British Army Officer and moved to South Africa before finding a career in the financial markets. He is now the CEO of his Managed Futures firm and has worked with some of the indu...

29 Syys 20141h 10min

TTU34: The Art of Risk Management ft. Luc Van Hof of Capital Hedge – 2of2

TTU34: The Art of Risk Management ft. Luc Van Hof of Capital Hedge – 2of2

In the second part of our interview with hedge fund founder Luc Van Hof, we dive into the philosophy and creation behind his trading models. We also discuss why he is a risk averse person, what hobbie...

25 Syys 20141h 22min

TTU33: Options Trading: A Dangerous Animal? ft. Luc Van Hof of Capital Hedge – 1of2

TTU33: Options Trading: A Dangerous Animal? ft. Luc Van Hof of Capital Hedge – 1of2

Our next guest worked for the European Commission before starting his own firm. In an unusual career twist, he sold his company to a larger firm only to buy it back from them a few years later and had...

22 Syys 20141h 19min

TTU32: The Most Misunderstood Stats That You Can Use ft. Marc Malek of Conquest Capital Group – 2of2

TTU32: The Most Misunderstood Stats That You Can Use ft. Marc Malek of Conquest Capital Group – 2of2

In the second part of our conversation with Marc Malek, we explore the strategies that he uses to build his models and how he explains them in simple terms. We go in depth about drawdowns and what inv...

18 Syys 20141h 5min

TTU31: Why Investors Should Not be Worried ft. Marc Malek of Conquest Capital Group – 1of2

TTU31: Why Investors Should Not be Worried ft. Marc Malek of Conquest Capital Group – 1of2

This guest had a different path that eventually led to owning a hedgefund in New York. Marc Malek got a grant from NASA to study how different armored tank positions would lead to winning results on t...

15 Syys 20141h 13min

TTU30: Don’t Tweak Your Models! ft. Aref Karim of Quality Capital Management – 2of2

TTU30: Don’t Tweak Your Models! ft. Aref Karim of Quality Capital Management – 2of2

Welcome back to the second part of our discussion with Aref Karim. In this episode, Aref discusses his firm’s strategies and the broader philosophies that drives what he does. He also talks about mark...

11 Syys 20141h 8min

Suosittua kategoriassa Liike-elämä ja talous

sijotuskasti
mimmit-sijoittaa
rss-rahapodi
psykopodiaa-podcast
hyva-paha-johtaminen
rss-rahamania
inderespodi
rss-lahtijat
rss-oivalluksia-rahasta-elamasta
ostan-asuntoja-podcast
rahapuhetta
oppimisen-psykologia
rss-bisnesta-bebeja
rss-sisalto-kuntoon
herrasmieshakkerit
leadcast
lakicast
rss-startup-ministerio
rss-rikasta-elamaa
rss-inderes