SH198: Were you lucky or were you good?

SH198: Were you lucky or were you good?

What can WWII bombers teach us about diving? The story of Abraham Wald’s counterintuitive armor placement on planes highlights the importance of analyzing what’s not immediately visible—a lesson diving can embrace. Success in diving isn’t just about avoiding accidents but understanding why things go well and whether it’s skill or luck. Reflecting on successes and failures through effective debriefs can enhance learning. Additionally, survivorship bias can skew our perception, as we often focus on thriving divers and ignore those who leave the sport. Incorporating human factors and non-technical skills, like communication and psychological safety, is crucial for safer, more enjoyable diving. Change starts with action—let’s bring these lessons to the forefront of the diving industry.

Original blog: https://www.thehumandiver.com/blog/were-you-lucky-or-were-you-good

Links: Abraham Wald: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abraham_Wald

Operations Research and Management Science Applied to Marketing: https://www.decisionanalyst.com/whitepapers/bulletholesinbombers/

DeBRIEF model: https://www.thehumandiver.com/debrief

Close Calls: https://stratiskas.com/closecalls/

Under Pressure: https://www.thehumandiver.com/underpressure

Tags: English, Decision-Making, Gareth Lock, Incident Analysis, Incident Investigation

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Jaksot(313)

SH313: 4. Am I Enough?

SH313: 4. Am I Enough?

In this episode, Connor Tate shares her experience of attending the Human Factors in Diving Conference while struggling with imposter syndrome as a researcher with limited diving experience. Despite u...

10 Loka 9min

SH312: Your Body Can't Cash the Cheque Your Ego Is Writing

SH312: Your Body Can't Cash the Cheque Your Ego Is Writing

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7 Loka 16min

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3 Loka 6min

SH310: 2. More Than a Deep Dive: What a WWII Bomber Recovery Can Teach Us About Human Factors

SH310: 2. More Than a Deep Dive: What a WWII Bomber Recovery Can Teach Us About Human Factors

This episode explores what really makes complex technical diving successful: not just helium, decompression and equipment, but the people using them. Using the recovery of the WWII B-24 Liberator Tuls...

30 Syys 8min

SH309: Change around Safety Culture is Really Hard

SH309: Change around Safety Culture is Really Hard

In this episode, Gareth Lock reflects on why improving diving safety requires more than telling people to follow the rules. Drawing on his experience in aviation, diving, and safety science, he explai...

23 Syys 14min

SH308: We Know, and We Say Nothing

SH308: We Know, and We Say Nothing

This episode explores why experienced divers still die in situations that seem predictable, using the tragic 2026 Maldives cave accident as a starting point. It looks at how outcome bias, the normalis...

16 Syys 17min

SH307: 1. The 2026 HF in Diving Conference - What Did You Miss?

SH307: 1. The 2026 HF in Diving Conference - What Did You Miss?

This episode explores how a restorative just culture can help the diving community respond to incidents in a way that promotes learning rather than blame. Instead of focusing only on who broke the rul...

9 Syys 15min

SH306: Restorative Just Culture: Repairing Trust After an Event

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This episode explores the difference between a retributive approach to diving incidents, which focuses on blame and punishment, and a restorative just culture, which focuses on learning, repair, and p...

2 Syys 4min

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