Market Update: Gasoline Glut Building

Market Update: Gasoline Glut Building

Welcome to Energy Markets Daily. Thursday, February 5, 2026 — Market Update. CRUDE OIL UPDATE: WTI pulled back to $63.20, consolidating after Monday's 5% crash. The bounce stalled exactly where we said it would. $63-64 resistance holding. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report dropped. Crude inventories down 3.5 million barrels to 420.3 million. 4% below the 5-year average. Sounds bullish? Wrong. Here's what matters: Gasoline inventories jumped 700,000 barrels to 257.9 million. Highest level since June 2020. Demand destruction. Distillates down 5.5 million barrels to 127.4 million. Refinery utilization dropped to 90.5%. OPEC+ holding the line through March. They're trapped. EIA projects WTI averaging $52 for 2026. We're at $63. That's a 17% premium to fair value. Sell the rips. NATURAL GAS UPDATE: Henry Hub at $3.46, down slightly. Storage draw for week ending Jan 30 expected around 379 Bcf. Massive. LNG flows to major terminals averaging 18.3 bcfd in February, approaching December's record 18.5 bcfd. Golden Pass LNG expected online mid-2026. EIA holds $3.50 avg for 2026, $4.60 for 2027. THE SETUP: Crude inventories falling but gasoline glut building. Demand weak. Gas supported by LNG ramp and storage draws. The decoupling continues. Trade the data. Not the headlines. For energy opportunities: energymarkets@protonmail.com

Jaksot(176)

 Project Freedom Live, Clashes Reported, Crude at Inflection Point

Project Freedom Live, Clashes Reported, Crude at Inflection Point

Tuesday, May 5, 2026. WTI June futures $101.94, intraday $102.17 (+0.23%), continuous contract $104.34. Prediction markets: 61¢ for $102+. Resistance $102-103, support $100/$98/$95. Project Freedom la...

5 Touko 2min

Week 19 Opens: Trump's Project Freedom and the Strait Gambit

Week 19 Opens: Trump's Project Freedom and the Strait Gambit

Monday, May 4, 2026. BREAKING: Trump announces "Project Freedom" — US begins escorting neutral ships from Strait of Hormuz starting Monday. Iran protests, calls it ceasefire violation. Trump signals "...

4 Touko 2min

Geographic Spotlight: China — The World's Largest Energy Consumer and Geopolitical Wildcard

Geographic Spotlight: China — The World's Largest Energy Consumer and Geopolitical Wildcard

Friday, April 30, 2026. Geographic Spotlight: China. World's largest energy consumer: 14M bpd oil, 600 Bcm/yr gas. Imports 10M bpd, 45% from Middle East including Iran. Hormuz blockade threatens energ...

1 Touko 2min

Geographic Spotlight: Norway — Europe's Energy Lifeline in a Blockaded World

Geographic Spotlight: Norway — Europe's Energy Lifeline in a Blockaded World

Thursday, April 30, 2026. Geographic Spotlight: Norway. World's 2nd-largest crude exporter (1.7M bpd), 3rd-largest gas exporter (120 Bcm/yr). Supplies 25% of Europe's natural gas. NATO ally, EEA membe...

30 Huhti 2min

Crude Oil Explosion: WTI Spikes to $107.11 on Extended Blockade Commitment

Crude Oil Explosion: WTI Spikes to $107.11 on Extended Blockade Commitment

Wednesday, April 29, 2026. WTI closes $107.11 (+7.19% or +$7.18), open $99.41, high $107.65. Trump rejects Iran deal, prepares extended blockade. Henry Hub $2.64 (-1.92%), down 8.58% monthly. EIA: com...

29 Huhti 3min

Trump Rejects Iran Deal, Crude Holds $97

Trump Rejects Iran Deal, Crude Holds $97

Tuesday, April 28, 2026. WTI $97.38 (+1.05%), range $96.26-$97.55. Inverted head and shoulders intact, buyers control. Trump rejects Iran proposal, maintains blockade. Downside risk $70-75 if deal acc...

28 Huhti 3min

Iran Offers Strait Reopening for Blockade Lift

Iran Offers Strait Reopening for Blockade Lift

Monday, April 27, 2026. BREAKING: Iran offers to reopen Strait of Hormuz + extend ceasefire indefinitely if US lifts blockade. Trump convening Situation Room. WTI $95-$96, Brent $105+. Henry Hub $2.57...

27 Huhti 2min

Crude Surges to $97 on Strait Closure, Gas Capitulates on Shoulder Season

Crude Surges to $97 on Strait Closure, Gas Capitulates on Shoulder Season

Friday, April 24, 2026. WTI opens $92, surges to $97 (+$7.74 week). Inverted head and shoulders bullish setup. Strait of Hormuz near-zero traffic. Iran's "Tehran Tollbooth" demands $2M per vessel. Hen...

24 Huhti 3min

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