Market Update: Reality Check

Market Update: Reality Check

Welcome to Energy Markets Daily. Thursday, February 12, 2026 — Market Update. CRUDE OIL UPDATE: WTI surged to $65.13, up 1.8%. Iran tensions still in the driver's seat. BUT HERE'S THE REALITY CHECK: EIA weekly data dropped yesterday. Crude inventories BUILT 8.53 million barrels. Market expected a 200K draw. Massive miss. This is the oversupply thesis in action. Demand destruction. Builds stacking up. Yet price rallied on geopolitical noise. OPEC+ holding output through March. They're trapped. Can't increase without crushing prices. OUR READ: $65 is the ceiling we've called for weeks. This rally is borrowed time. Iran premium will fade like it did in Week 3. EIA $52 average forecast. We're 25% above that. Mean reversion coming. OUR POSITION: $65 is the exit. Short here. Target $52. NATURAL GAS UPDATE: EIA storage report drops today at 10:30am. Market expecting another significant draw. Context: Last week's 360 Bcf withdrawal was the largest ever recorded. Storage now 27 Bcf below 5-year average at 2.46 Tcf. EIA projects inventory ending March below 1.9 Tcf — 8% below forecasts. Henry Hub holding above $3.00 support. The bounce from oversold continues. OUR POSITION: Any pullback to $3.00-$3.25 is accumulation. EIA sees $4.30 avg. We see $4.50+. Trade the data. Not the headlines. For energy opportunities: energymarkets@protonmail.com

Jaksot(176)

 Project Freedom Live, Clashes Reported, Crude at Inflection Point

Project Freedom Live, Clashes Reported, Crude at Inflection Point

Tuesday, May 5, 2026. WTI June futures $101.94, intraday $102.17 (+0.23%), continuous contract $104.34. Prediction markets: 61¢ for $102+. Resistance $102-103, support $100/$98/$95. Project Freedom la...

5 Touko 2min

Week 19 Opens: Trump's Project Freedom and the Strait Gambit

Week 19 Opens: Trump's Project Freedom and the Strait Gambit

Monday, May 4, 2026. BREAKING: Trump announces "Project Freedom" — US begins escorting neutral ships from Strait of Hormuz starting Monday. Iran protests, calls it ceasefire violation. Trump signals "...

4 Touko 2min

Geographic Spotlight: China — The World's Largest Energy Consumer and Geopolitical Wildcard

Geographic Spotlight: China — The World's Largest Energy Consumer and Geopolitical Wildcard

Friday, April 30, 2026. Geographic Spotlight: China. World's largest energy consumer: 14M bpd oil, 600 Bcm/yr gas. Imports 10M bpd, 45% from Middle East including Iran. Hormuz blockade threatens energ...

1 Touko 2min

Geographic Spotlight: Norway — Europe's Energy Lifeline in a Blockaded World

Geographic Spotlight: Norway — Europe's Energy Lifeline in a Blockaded World

Thursday, April 30, 2026. Geographic Spotlight: Norway. World's 2nd-largest crude exporter (1.7M bpd), 3rd-largest gas exporter (120 Bcm/yr). Supplies 25% of Europe's natural gas. NATO ally, EEA membe...

30 Huhti 2min

Crude Oil Explosion: WTI Spikes to $107.11 on Extended Blockade Commitment

Crude Oil Explosion: WTI Spikes to $107.11 on Extended Blockade Commitment

Wednesday, April 29, 2026. WTI closes $107.11 (+7.19% or +$7.18), open $99.41, high $107.65. Trump rejects Iran deal, prepares extended blockade. Henry Hub $2.64 (-1.92%), down 8.58% monthly. EIA: com...

29 Huhti 3min

Trump Rejects Iran Deal, Crude Holds $97

Trump Rejects Iran Deal, Crude Holds $97

Tuesday, April 28, 2026. WTI $97.38 (+1.05%), range $96.26-$97.55. Inverted head and shoulders intact, buyers control. Trump rejects Iran proposal, maintains blockade. Downside risk $70-75 if deal acc...

28 Huhti 3min

Iran Offers Strait Reopening for Blockade Lift

Iran Offers Strait Reopening for Blockade Lift

Monday, April 27, 2026. BREAKING: Iran offers to reopen Strait of Hormuz + extend ceasefire indefinitely if US lifts blockade. Trump convening Situation Room. WTI $95-$96, Brent $105+. Henry Hub $2.57...

27 Huhti 2min

Crude Surges to $97 on Strait Closure, Gas Capitulates on Shoulder Season

Crude Surges to $97 on Strait Closure, Gas Capitulates on Shoulder Season

Friday, April 24, 2026. WTI opens $92, surges to $97 (+$7.74 week). Inverted head and shoulders bullish setup. Strait of Hormuz near-zero traffic. Iran's "Tehran Tollbooth" demands $2M per vessel. Hen...

24 Huhti 3min

Suosittua kategoriassa Liike-elämä ja talous

sijotuskasti
psykopodiaa-podcast
rss-rahapodi
mimmit-sijoittaa
rss-oivalluksia-rahasta-elamasta
hyva-paha-johtaminen
ostan-asuntoja-podcast
rss-rahamania
rahapuhetta
rss-sisalto-kuntoon
rss-paasipodi
rss-yritys-ja-erehdys
inderespodi
rss-sami-miettinen-neuvottelija
lakicast
rss-lahtijat
rss-startup-ministerio
rss-kaikki-somesta
rss-karon-grilli
rss-lentopaivakirjat