Nancy Guthrie: The Most Important Person in This Case Isn't on That Porch

The man on the porch followed a forensic checklist. He covered his face, his hands, his body. Someone made sure he did. But nobody told him about the camera six inches from the front door. We asked Robin Dreeke what that tells us about whoever did the planning.

Dreeke spent 21 years as an FBI counterintelligence specialist. His career was understanding the relationship between the person who directs an operation and the person who carries it out. We asked him to look at the Nancy Guthrie footage and tell us not about the man at the door — but about whoever put him there.

We asked what the gap between what this man was told and what he clearly wasn't reveals about whoever was directing him. We asked what the operation itself — selecting a specific 84-year-old target in a remote dark-sky community, disabling cameras, physically removing hardware, executing a silent extraction without a single witness — tells us about the planning profile behind it. We asked whether that planning profile matches the person grabbing prairie brush from the yard. We asked about the 41-minute timeline gap and what it means for coordination.

And we asked the question at the center of everything: when they identify the man on the porch, what tells you whether the investigation is ending — or just beginning? Dreeke's answer matters.

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This publication contains commentary and opinion based on publicly available information. All individuals are presumed innocent until proven guilty in a court of law. Nothing published here should be taken as a statement of fact, health or legal advice.