Weekly Recap: Week 7 Complete

Welcome to Energy Markets Daily. Friday, February 13, 2026 — Weekly Recap: Week 7. WEEK 7 COMPLETE. Seven weeks. Every call confirmed. The decoupling thesis holds. CRUDE OIL RECAP: Monday opened with WTI pulling back from $65. We called $63-64 resistance. It held. Tuesday technicals showed range-bound trading in a symmetrical triangle. $61-$65 range locked. Wednesday WTI rallied to $64.36 on Iran tensions. We said short the rally. Geopolitical premiums fade. Thursday the reality check. WTI hit $65.13 but EIA dropped a bomb: 8.53 million barrel BUILD. Market expected a 200K draw. Massive miss. Oversupply confirmed. THE THESIS: $65 is the ceiling. EIA forecasts $52 average. Current price 25% premium. Mean reversion coming. Short rallies. Target $52. NATURAL GAS RECAP: Monday gas crashed to $3.21. We called it accumulation territory. Tuesday showed extreme oversold. RSI 29. Stochastic 21. Williams %R at -94. Wednesday bounced to $3.13 off oversold. EIA raised 2026 forecast to $4.30. Thursday storage report confirmed: 360 Bcf withdrawal last week was largest ever. Storage 27 Bcf below 5-year average. Ending March below 1.9 Tcf. THE THESIS: Accumulate $3.00-$3.25. Target $4.50+. WEEK 8 PREVIEW: Watch EIA weekly data. Iran developments. OPEC+ compliance. Weather models for late February. Trade the data. Not the headlines. For energy opportunities: energymarkets@protonmail.com

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Geopolitical Tensions Rising

Wednesday, January 8, 2026. WEEK 2 MIDWEEK UPDATE. WTI crude oil settled at $57.76, up $1.77 or 3.2%. Sharp rebound after two consecutive days of declines. Two-week high. Brent up 3.4% to $61.99. KEY ...

8 Heinä 2min

Geographic Spotlight: Ecuador

Friday, July 3, 2026. GEOGRAPHIC SPOTLIGHT: ECUADOR. CURRENT PRODUCTION LEVELS: Ecuador's crude oil production averaged ~461,000-466,000 bbl/d Jan-Feb 2026. Daily lifts reported ~452,817-458,207 bbl/d...

3 Heinä 2min

Geographic Spotlight: Belarus

Thursday, July 2, 2026. GEOGRAPHIC SPOTLIGHT: BELARUS. PRODUCTION OVERVIEW: Belarus produced ~25,000 bbl/d early 2026 (well below historical avg 33,650 bbl/d since 1993). Production reached 30-year hi...

2 Heinä 2min

Strategic Positioning: Week 27 Midweek Update

Wednesday, July 1, 2026. WEEK 27 MIDWEEK UPDATE. WTI crude oil trading ~$69.98-$70.42. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report released today (covering week ending Jun 26, 2026). CRUDE OIL INVENTORY UPDATE...

1 Heinä 3min

Technicals: Week 27

Tuesday, June 30, 2026. CRUDE OIL TECHNICALS: WTI trading near $70. Recent closes ~$70.04-$70.42. Intraday range $69-$71 area. KEY LEVELS: Psychological support zone $70 (key round-number level). Imme...

30 Kesä 2min

Doha Talks Resume

Monday, June 29, 2026. WEEK 27 OPENS. WTI crude oil opened at $70.50. Recent session range high $70.97, low $69.32. Prior close Jun 26 $69.23. Latest quotes ~$69.95-$70.21 (up slightly from Friday clo...

29 Kesä 2min

Weekly Recap: Week 26 Complete

Friday, June 26, 2026. WEEK 26 COMPLETE. Twenty-six weeks running. The thesis delivers again. CRUDE OIL RECAP: Monday opened $74.82 (deal live, Hormuz open, geopolitical premium intact). Tuesday techn...

26 Kesä 2min

Crude Breaks $70

Thursday, June 25, 2026. CRUDE OIL UPDATE: WTI trading $69.20-$69.36 (down 1.4-1.7% from prior close ~$70.34). Daily range ~$69.01-$70.23. August 2026 contract ~$69.66. Recent performance down ~26% pa...

25 Kesä 2min