SI387: The Cost-Benefit of Being Trendy ft. Andrew Beer & Tom Wrobel

SI387: The Cost-Benefit of Being Trendy ft. Andrew Beer & Tom Wrobel

Today, we examine a year that looked chaotic but felt familiar to trend followers. Gold surged, equities rotated globally, and non-US markets quietly gained momentum. Yet beneath strong returns lies a deeper debate about model design, short versus long horizon signals, and whether innovation in liquid alternatives serves investors or sales desks. From AI disruption to product engineering and allocator behavior, this episode explores where systematic strategies truly create value and where structural incentives distort outcomes. In a changing macro regime, clarity of purpose may matter more than ever.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Introducing the Systematic Investor series

01:17 - AI disruption and systematic investing

06:52 - The shifting perception of US risk

09:21 - Winter Olympics and market metaphors

12:59 - Hedge funds versus private equity

19:23 - 2025 review and the importance of risk allocation

22:17 - Why CTAs did not fully capture gold

29:48 - Short term versus long term trend models

35:27 - Letting risk run versus investor palatability

44:43 - The problem with liquid alternatives

51:21 - Product design versus fiduciary duty

59:06 - QIS, innovation and investor sophistication

01:04:41 - Model risk and the myth of risk premia

01:10:51 - Hopes for a trending year ahead

Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

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SI400: When Crisis Alpha Hides in Plain Sight ft. Yoav Git & Rob Croce

SI400: When Crisis Alpha Hides in Plain Sight ft. Yoav Git & Rob Croce

This week, we are joined by Yoav Git and Rob Croce from Fidelity Investments for a deep dive into trend following, portfolio construction and execution in modern markets. The conversation explores why...

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GM100: Central Banks in the Dark: Inflation, AI, and the Limits of Control ft. David Beckworth

GM100: Central Banks in the Dark: Inflation, AI, and the Limits of Control ft. David Beckworth

Today, we are joined by David Beckworth, Senior Research Fellow at the Mercatus Center and host of Macro Musings, for a deep dive into the biggest macro questions shaping markets right now. David expl...

13 Touko 1h 4min

SI399: AI, Inflation and the Portfolio That Refuses to Sit Still ft. Alan Dunne

SI399: AI, Inflation and the Portfolio That Refuses to Sit Still ft. Alan Dunne

Today, Niels and Alan examine a market shaped by two forces pulling in opposite directions: AI’s promise of higher productivity and the inflationary pressure of geopolitical stress. From distorted eco...

9 Touko 1h 11min

OI22: Inside the Next Generation Market Wizards ft. Jack Schwager & George Coyle

OI22: Inside the Next Generation Market Wizards ft. Jack Schwager & George Coyle

What does it take to become a true Market Wizard, and why do so many of them fail before they find their edge? In this special episode, Moritz Seibert sits down with Jack Schwager and George Coyle to ...

7 Touko 45min

GM99: Gold, Trust, and the Return of Real Assets ft. Philip Diehl

GM99: Gold, Trust, and the Return of Real Assets ft. Philip Diehl

Today, we are joined by Philip Diehl, former Director of the United States Mint and President of U.S. Money Reserve, for a timely conversation about gold’s renewed role in a world shaped by inflation,...

6 Touko 1h 5min

SI398: Navigating a VUCA World ft. Mark Rzepczynski

SI398: Navigating a VUCA World ft. Mark Rzepczynski

Today, we explore what it means to invest in a world defined by volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity (VUCA). We discuss why geopolitical shocks... especially supply-driven ones... are cr...

2 Touko 1h 7min

IL48: The Misunderstood Economics of Africa ft. Joe Studwell

IL48: The Misunderstood Economics of Africa ft. Joe Studwell

In this episode Kevin Coldiron is joined by bestselling author Joe Studwell who speaks about his new book How Africa Works: Success and Failure on the World’s Last Development Frontier. We discuss why...

29 Huhti 1h

SI397: The Market Isn’t Free Anymore, It’s Being Managed ft. Cem Karsan

SI397: The Market Isn’t Free Anymore, It’s Being Managed ft. Cem Karsan

Today Cem Karsan and Niels Kaastrup-Larsen examine a market environment where politics, geopolitics and liquidity are becoming harder to separate. Cem argues that recent market strength is not just a ...

25 Huhti 1h 11min

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