Strategic Positioning: Week 8

Strategic Positioning: Week 8

Welcome to Energy Markets Daily. Monday, February 16, 2026 — Strategic Positioning: Week 8. WEEK 8 OPENS. Eight weeks running. The decoupling thesis continues to deliver. CRUDE OIL UPDATE: WTI dropped to $62.86 on Friday. Down from the $65.13 Iran spike we called to short on Thursday. That's a $2.27 drop in one session. Geopolitical premium fading exactly as predicted. EIA forecasts WTI to average $59 in February, falling to $57 in March, $55 in April, $53.50 in May. Then $50 for remainder of 2026. IEA sees 3.7 million bpd surplus. OPEC+ may resume supply hikes in April. OUR READ: The $65 ceiling held. Rally rejected. Mean reversion to $52 in progress. Stay short. OUR POSITION: Short any bounces toward $65. Target $52. NATURAL GAS UPDATE: Henry Hub fell to $3.04 on Friday. Down 6.3% in one day. BUT HERE'S THE SETUP: Storage at 2,214 Bcf as of Feb 6. That's 130 Bcf BELOW five-year average. 97 Bcf below last year. EIA projects end of March below 1.9 Tcf. Structural deficit. Weather models showing colder late February. Heating demand coming back. EIA 2026 forecast: $4.30 average. That's 40% above current levels. OUR POSITION: $3.00-$3.05 is prime accumulation. Target $4.50+. Trade the data. Not the headlines. For energy opportunities: energymarkets@protonmail.com

Jaksot(176)

 Project Freedom Live, Clashes Reported, Crude at Inflection Point

Project Freedom Live, Clashes Reported, Crude at Inflection Point

Tuesday, May 5, 2026. WTI June futures $101.94, intraday $102.17 (+0.23%), continuous contract $104.34. Prediction markets: 61¢ for $102+. Resistance $102-103, support $100/$98/$95. Project Freedom la...

5 Touko 2min

Week 19 Opens: Trump's Project Freedom and the Strait Gambit

Week 19 Opens: Trump's Project Freedom and the Strait Gambit

Monday, May 4, 2026. BREAKING: Trump announces "Project Freedom" — US begins escorting neutral ships from Strait of Hormuz starting Monday. Iran protests, calls it ceasefire violation. Trump signals "...

4 Touko 2min

Geographic Spotlight: China — The World's Largest Energy Consumer and Geopolitical Wildcard

Geographic Spotlight: China — The World's Largest Energy Consumer and Geopolitical Wildcard

Friday, April 30, 2026. Geographic Spotlight: China. World's largest energy consumer: 14M bpd oil, 600 Bcm/yr gas. Imports 10M bpd, 45% from Middle East including Iran. Hormuz blockade threatens energ...

1 Touko 2min

Geographic Spotlight: Norway — Europe's Energy Lifeline in a Blockaded World

Geographic Spotlight: Norway — Europe's Energy Lifeline in a Blockaded World

Thursday, April 30, 2026. Geographic Spotlight: Norway. World's 2nd-largest crude exporter (1.7M bpd), 3rd-largest gas exporter (120 Bcm/yr). Supplies 25% of Europe's natural gas. NATO ally, EEA membe...

30 Huhti 2min

Crude Oil Explosion: WTI Spikes to $107.11 on Extended Blockade Commitment

Crude Oil Explosion: WTI Spikes to $107.11 on Extended Blockade Commitment

Wednesday, April 29, 2026. WTI closes $107.11 (+7.19% or +$7.18), open $99.41, high $107.65. Trump rejects Iran deal, prepares extended blockade. Henry Hub $2.64 (-1.92%), down 8.58% monthly. EIA: com...

29 Huhti 3min

Trump Rejects Iran Deal, Crude Holds $97

Trump Rejects Iran Deal, Crude Holds $97

Tuesday, April 28, 2026. WTI $97.38 (+1.05%), range $96.26-$97.55. Inverted head and shoulders intact, buyers control. Trump rejects Iran proposal, maintains blockade. Downside risk $70-75 if deal acc...

28 Huhti 3min

Iran Offers Strait Reopening for Blockade Lift

Iran Offers Strait Reopening for Blockade Lift

Monday, April 27, 2026. BREAKING: Iran offers to reopen Strait of Hormuz + extend ceasefire indefinitely if US lifts blockade. Trump convening Situation Room. WTI $95-$96, Brent $105+. Henry Hub $2.57...

27 Huhti 2min

Crude Surges to $97 on Strait Closure, Gas Capitulates on Shoulder Season

Crude Surges to $97 on Strait Closure, Gas Capitulates on Shoulder Season

Friday, April 24, 2026. WTI opens $92, surges to $97 (+$7.74 week). Inverted head and shoulders bullish setup. Strait of Hormuz near-zero traffic. Iran's "Tehran Tollbooth" demands $2M per vessel. Hen...

24 Huhti 3min

Suosittua kategoriassa Liike-elämä ja talous

sijotuskasti
psykopodiaa-podcast
rss-rahapodi
mimmit-sijoittaa
rss-oivalluksia-rahasta-elamasta
hyva-paha-johtaminen
ostan-asuntoja-podcast
rss-rahamania
rahapuhetta
rss-sisalto-kuntoon
rss-paasipodi
rss-yritys-ja-erehdys
inderespodi
rss-sami-miettinen-neuvottelija
lakicast
rss-lahtijat
rss-startup-ministerio
rss-kaikki-somesta
rss-karon-grilli
rss-lentopaivakirjat