GM97: Why Isn’t Anything Breaking? ft. Steen Jakobsen

GM97: Why Isn’t Anything Breaking? ft. Steen Jakobsen

The global order is shifting in plain sight. In this Global Macro conversation, Steen Jakobsen, inventor of the Outrages Predictions, joins Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and Alan Dunne to examine the slow grind reshaping productivity, debt, currencies, and political stability. From dollar regime risk to state capitalism, from market concentration to commodity repricing, the discussion moves beyond headlines to structural fault lines. Is gold signaling debasement? Can the U.S. sustain its debt path? Does AI lift productivity or hollow it out? Rather than predict collapse, Jakobsen outlines a drawn-out transition where capital reallocates, volatility hides beneath the surface, and political systems are tested long before markets finally react.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Episode TimeStamps:

01:38 - Introducing Steen Jakobsen

03:45 - From trading floors to outrageous predictions

06:32 - Dollar hedging and regime shift signals

08:06 - Davos as a macro...

Jaksot(905)

OI20: Why Commodities Refuse to Trend Forever ft. Doug King

OI20: Why Commodities Refuse to Trend Forever ft. Doug King

Moritz Siebert speaks with Doug King about what it really means to trade commodities through cycles, distortions, and stress. Drawing on decades at Cargill and more than twenty years running a commodi...

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SI379: The Illusion of Safety in a Fully Invested Market ft. Cem Karsan

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Niels and Cem reflect on a year marked by concentration, confidence, and growing structural fragility beneath calm markets. They examine extreme positioning, record low cash levels, and the quiet domi...

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GM92: Politics in an Age of Hard Borders and Rising Hegemons ft. Gary Gerstle

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In this conversation, the veneer of political continuity is stripped back to reveal a world drifting toward harder borders, sharper identities and a reshaping of power once thought unthinkable. Gary G...

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SI378: When Prices Stop Making Sense ft. Mark Rzepczynski

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This episode examines markets through the lens of uncertainty rather than prediction. As the Federal Reserve delivers a rate cut amid dissent and conflicting signals, Alan and Mark explore what it mea...

13 Joulu 20251h 2min

TTU151: What Comes After 60/40? Systematic Thinking, BlackRock Style ft. Jeff Rosenberg

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Niels and Alan sit down with BlackRock’s Jeff Rosenberg to examine how the post Covid shift from too little to too much inflation is reshaping portfolios. Jeff explains why bond and equity correlation...

10 Joulu 20251h 13min

SI377: What's New in SG Indices in 2026? + The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio ft. Alan Dunne

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6 Joulu 20251h 8min

ALO32: AI Booms, Fiscal Strains and the New Macro Regime ft. Joe Little

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Alan Dunne speaks with HSBC Asset Management’s Global Chief Strategist, Joe Little, about what happens when the old macro rules stop working. Joe traces the shift from a demand led, low inflation worl...

3 Joulu 20251h 5min

SI376: What They’re Only Now Starting to See ft. Andrew Beer

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In this week’s Systematic Investor episode, Niels and Andrew Beer explore how a broken 60/40 paradigm is forcing wealth managers into a new world of “other” diversifiers. Andrew reflects on the Goldma...

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