Whit Ayres on 2024: How Weak is Trump? What about Biden?

Whit Ayres on 2024: How Weak is Trump? What about Biden?

Summing up the state of the 2024 race as we head toward the South Carolina primaries, veteran Republican pollster Whit Ayres says if the election were held today “Trump would win … in the Electoral College.”

Yet despite Trump’s quasi-incumbency, 40-45% of the Republican primary electorate have voted for other candidates to date. According to Ayres, Trump suffers from some major weaknesses as a candidate, which leave an opening for Nikki Haley—and portend problems for Trump in a general election. But Biden may be even weaker. As Ayres puts it, “the vast majority of Americans, including a vast majority of Democrats, think Biden is just too old to serve effectively…and virtually no one in either party thinks Kamala Harris is ready for prime time.” Despite the appearance of stability in the race—the increasing likelihood of a 2020 rematch—Ayres notes that a full 2/3 of Americans are unhappy with the choice between Biden and Trump. Kristol and Ayres consider how, beneath the surface, the 2024 contest may be unstable—with the potential for domestic and geopolitical events to intervene, and third-party challenges that could upend the race.

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Harvey Mansfield on Rational Control and Liberalism

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26 Kesä 55min

Ron Brownstein: What’s Going To Happen in 2026?

Ron Brownstein: What’s Going To Happen in 2026?

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11 Kesä 1h 5min

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20 Touko 48min

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“The Ukrainians believe Putin’s now being faced with more dilemmas than they are.” So argues the distinguished historian and a leading analyst of the Ukraine War, Phillips O’Brien. Author of the indis...

8 Touko 1h 6min

A.B. Stoddard on Trump’s Psyche—and The Implications for 2028

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23 Huhti 1h 4min

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9 Huhti 56min

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19 Maalis 1h 20min

Doug Sosnik on What to Expect in 2026—and Why 2028 Will Be Different

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27 Helmi 1h 12min

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