Nancy Guthrie: What the Suspect Is Thinking Right Now

The footage is everywhere. Twenty-two days of national coverage. The FBI showing photos to gun shops. Walmart handing over backpack records. Genetic genealogy processing DNA. CeCe Moore telling national television that if she were the kidnapper, she'd be "extremely concerned."

If this person is local — and the January 11th and January 31st reconnaissance windows suggest they are — they've spent three weeks watching themselves become the most wanted person in America.

Robin Dreeke ran the FBI's Counterintelligence Behavioral Analysis Program. He spent his career studying how people behave under pressure, how stress reveals itself, and what happens psychologically when someone knows they're being hunted. In this interview, he breaks down what's happening inside the head of whoever did this.

What does sustained pressure do to someone trying to act normal? What mistakes do people make when they can't stop checking coverage? What behavioral tells might they be showing to people around them — a spouse, a roommate, a coworker who's noticed something is off?

The forensic awareness at the door suggests planning. The dropped glove suggests panic. Robin reads the behavioral signature of someone who may be in over their head.

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This publication contains commentary and opinion based on publicly available information. All individuals are presumed innocent until proven guilty in a court of law. Nothing published here should be taken as a statement of fact, health or legal advice.

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