Jobless Growth, Euphoria, and a Manufacturing Recovery: How Iran Could Force a Macro Regime Change | Tian Yang

Jobless Growth, Euphoria, and a Manufacturing Recovery: How Iran Could Force a Macro Regime Change | Tian Yang

This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners Tian Yang, CEO of quant research platform Variant Perception, joins Monetary Matters to discuss how the benign macro regime might shift in the back half of 2026 should the Iran conflict not produce a prolonged shock. Yang also touches on how that roadmap would likely be altered by a prolonged conflict, the case for a manufacturing recovery, jobless growth, and peak market euphoria in the summer that could ultimately be marked by the generational IPO of SpaceX. Variant Perception: https://www.variantperception.com/ Follow Variant Perception on Twitter: https://x.com/VrntPerception Follow Jack Farley on Twitter: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Summer Peak Setup 00:54 Benign Macro Regime 02:54 Iran Energy Shock Risks 04:19 US Versus Rest World 06:41 War Duration Scenarios 10:08 Energy Rotation Signals 10:55 Allocation Engine Explained 13:04 CAIA.nxt 14:00 Fast Calls Repriced 18:44 Historical Cycle Analogies 24:08 Jobless Growth Framework 27:42 Shifting Investment Drivers 29:48 Fed Credibility Tightrope 34:35 Housing Disinflation Drivers 38:58 AI Jobs Debate 39:10 Valuation And Terminal Value 42:28 Capital Cycle Framework 46:31 Semis Versus Software 47:22 Regional Banks Inflection 50:06 Sovereignty Investing Thesis 56:20 Energy and Reindustrialization 59:26 Gold as Risk Off 01:01:20 Conclusion

Tämä jakso on lisätty Podme-palveluun avoimen RSS-syötteen kautta eikä se ole Podmen omaa tuotantoa. Siksi jakso saattaa sisältää mainontaa.

Jaksot(297)

The Certainty Premium: What’s Driving the Tech Sector Divergence? | Jeff Keller

The Certainty Premium: What’s Driving the Tech Sector Divergence? | Jeff Keller

Max Wiethe sits down with Capelight Partners founder Jeff Keller to dissect the massive Q3 technology sector divergence and the rapidly shifting landscape of AI investments. Keller breaks down why the...

31 Elo 1h 1min

The Commodity Bull Market Is Broadening | Jim Wiederhold on Copper, Grains, and Bloomberg Commodity Index

The Commodity Bull Market Is Broadening | Jim Wiederhold on Copper, Grains, and Bloomberg Commodity Index

Sponsor: Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSE Arca: CORN): https://teucrium.com/corn Jim Wiederhold, Commodity Indices Product Manager at Bloomberg, joins Monetary Matters for a deep dive into what's really d...

26 Elo 56min

Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren Pies

Time to Reduce Equity Risk: Why Underappreciated Macro Risks Could Derail the Bull Market | Warren Pies

Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/globalmacro In this episode of "Other People's Money," host Max Wiethe welcomes back Warren Pies, co-founder of 3Fo...

26 Elo 1h 3min

Is Private Equity Broken? Why the Buyside’s Problems Are Making 2026 “The Year of the Banker” | High Yield Harry

Is Private Equity Broken? Why the Buyside’s Problems Are Making 2026 “The Year of the Banker” | High Yield Harry

In this episode of Other People's Money, host Max Wiethe sits down with High Yield Harry to examine the major trends in Wall Street compensation and careers, and why 2026 may be the year of the invest...

24 Elo 57min

Why Bessent Blinked | Luke Gromen on Doubling of Treasury Buyback Plan to Tame Long-End Yields

Why Bessent Blinked | Luke Gromen on Doubling of Treasury Buyback Plan to Tame Long-End Yields

Sponsor: Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSE Arca: CORN): https://teucrium.com/corn Luke Gromen — founder of Forest for the Trees (FFTT) Research — returns to Monetary Matters the same week Treasury Secretar...

20 Elo 1h 28min

Ex-Goya COO on the $1.4 Trillion Family Business Opportunity in Three Consumer Sectors | Andy Unanue

Ex-Goya COO on the $1.4 Trillion Family Business Opportunity in Three Consumer Sectors | Andy Unanue

Andy Unanue, Founder and Managing Partner of AUA Private Equity Partners and former COO of Goya Foods breaks down the trillion-dollar opportunity in US food, beverage, and pet wellness family business...

18 Elo 1h 1min

Robin Wigglesworth on Hyperscalers' 1.5 Trillion of Off-Balance Sheet Liabilities, Private Credit, and His Book "A Fabulous Debt"

Robin Wigglesworth on Hyperscalers' 1.5 Trillion of Off-Balance Sheet Liabilities, Private Credit, and His Book "A Fabulous Debt"

Robin Wigglesworth — editor of FT Alphaville and author of A Fabulous Debt: The Epic Story of How Bonds Built the Modern World — joins Jack Farley to unpack the hidden debt fueling the AI buildout. Wi...

16 Elo 1h 5min

Milton Berg: I Have Evidence Market Has Likely Bottomed | Why Milton’s Long Semis, Korea, Nasdaq, and More (With Caveats), and Why He Thinks Gold has made a Multi-year Top

Milton Berg: I Have Evidence Market Has Likely Bottomed | Why Milton’s Long Semis, Korea, Nasdaq, and More (With Caveats), and Why He Thinks Gold has made a Multi-year Top

Milton Berg, one of Wall Street's legendary market technicians, returns to Monetary Matters to explain why he believes the recent crash across the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, KOSPI, and semiconductor stocks ...

12 Elo 1h 23min

Suosittua kategoriassa Liike-elämä ja talous

sijotuskasti
rss-rahapodi
mimmit-sijoittaa
psykopodiaa-podcast
ostan-asuntoja-podcast
oppimisen-psykologia
rahapuhetta
hyva-paha-johtaminen
pomojen-suusta
rss-inderes
rss-karon-grilli
rss-rahamania
rss-pinnan-alle
sijoituskaverit
lakicast
rss-porssipodi
inderespodi
rss-doulapodi
rss-oivalluksia-rahasta-elamasta
rss-porssipuhetta