Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart20 Maalis

SPECIAL REPORT: Is The US Winning Or Losing The War In Iran? | Ryan Bohl, RANE

The Trump Administration reports it is decimating Iran's ruling regime and military capacity, claiming the war is all but won and should end soon.Others see Iran's continued strikes on key infrastructure, ships & civilians across it Gulf neighbors and worry the US is becoming stuck in another long-term Mideast quagmire.Which version is closer to reality?To address, RANE's Mideast analyst Ryan Bohl joins us for this livestream where he'll provide his latest assessment of the situation and take live audience Q&AFollow Ryan on X at @Ryan_BohlOr on LinkedIn at https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryanbohl#iranwar #geopolitics #oilprice 00:00 - Ryan's high-level geopolitical framing: Power rankings02:20 - Why Iran qualifies as a middle power 03:30 - U.S. historical experience04:30 - Trump's strategy misapplied to Iran05:40 - Was this a miscalculation or a planned high-risk scenario?07:10 - Realistic "declare victory & leave" outcome?08:50 - Iran's incentive to prolong economic pain10:55 - If U.S. pulls out soon, will Iran keep disrupting the Strait of Hormuz / energy flows?14:45 - Escalation to destroying Iran's own energy infrastructure16:50 - Supply disruption vs. supply destruction18:30 - Risk of tit-for-tat energy war spiraling across the Gulf19:50 - Could this war accelerate global shift away from Gulf oil?21:40 - Gulf states' adaptation23:20 - Iran's "hostage strategy"24:55 - Probability GCC states join the war26:50 - UAE's potential interest in retaking Abu Musa / Tunb islands28:40 - Limited allied involvement32:15 - If U.S. declares victory & withdraws34:50 - Requirements for truly ending the Iranian threat36:20 - Iran's post-war alignment choices 38:55 - Low probability of near-term internal uprising / regime change from within40:50 - U.S. political will remains the fragile variable43:00 - Current status of Iran's ballistic / drone capabilities45:50 - Limits of air power alone47:40 - Nuclear program assessment50:55 - Most probable next chapter55:20 - Broader economic tailwinds_____________________________________________Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

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Next Big Downdraft For Housing Market To Start Soon | Melody Wright

Housing analyst Melody Wright expects home prices to start notably softening later this year.Why?Because a wave of distressed sellers looks very likely to hit the housing market by then.So far, seller...

19 Heinä 1h 14min

Market Correction Risk Rising As Midterm Madness Approaches | Lance Roberts

While there a no immediate signs of danger, portfolio manager Lance Roberts warns that if the softening semiconductor sector keeps falling from here, trouble will likely start.He thinks it more likely...

18 Heinä 1h 34min

A Market Reversal Is Inevitable | Chance Finucane, Oxbow Advisors

A market reversal is inevitable at this point.So cautions high net worth money manager Chance Finucane of Oxbow Advisors.He explains why in today's video, as well as how he and the team at Oxbow are p...

16 Heinä 1h 10min

What's More Likely: A Rally Or Rout From Here? | New Harbor Financial

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comThe team at New Harbor Financial returns for their m...

16 Heinä 1h 13min

Get Ready For A.I.-Mageddon | Fred Hickey

AI-linked stocks account for a record 45% of the S&P 500's total market capitalization and drive nearly all of the gains it's had for the year so far.Note that's the S&P, the general market.These comp...

14 Heinä 1h 16min

The Equity Markets Are Insane Right Now | Jan van Eck

When market uncertainty is as high as it is now, I often emphasize that the most useful people to interview are asset managers.Because they don't have the luxury of merely having an opinion on the roa...

12 Heinä 1h 6min

Growing Risk Of Semiconductors Rolling Over & Dragging The Market Down With Them | Lance Roberts

The white-hot semiconductor sector has rocketed to 18% of the market capitalization of the S&P 500 index.And while this trade has propelled the S&P higher, it's starting to show signs that it may be s...

11 Heinä 1h 52min

"Crash Pricing" Setting In As Distressed Home Sellers Capitulate | Nick Gerli, Reventure

After years of refusing to lower prices, more and more home sellers are starting to throw in the towel, says housing analyst Nick Gerli of Reventure Consulting.And as more distressed inventory hits th...

8 Heinä 57min