Why $200 Oil Won’t Spike Inflation to 9% | Anna Wong on Recession Probability, PCE vs CPI, and Fed Reaction Function In A Scenario of Soaring Energy Prices

Why $200 Oil Won’t Spike Inflation to 9% | Anna Wong on Recession Probability, PCE vs CPI, and Fed Reaction Function In A Scenario of Soaring Energy Prices

This episode is brought to you by the Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF ($PQNT): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2715538577&utm_source=jfmv&utm_content=pqnt&utm_medium=podcast_02&utm_term=noterm Learn More about Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF: https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/ In this episode of Monetary Matters, Bloomberg Chief US Economist Anna Wong explains why surging oil prices are unlikely to trigger a repeat of the 9% inflation seen in 2022. Wong argues that even if oil reaches $200 per barrel, headline CPI would likely peak near 6% before declining due to "base effects" and a lack of the excess consumer savings that fueled previous price spikes. She highlights the reality of "demand destruction," noting that sustained $100 oil would sap nearly $2,000 in spending power from the average American household. Despite these pressures, Wong does not view a recession as her base case, citing the offsetting support of expansionary fiscal policy and increased domestic production in the energy and defense sectors. The discussion also explores why the Federal Reserve should "look through" these commodity shocks, particularly as core PCE remains influenced by more persistent issues like the AI-driven memory chip shortage. Finally, Wong compares our current macro landscape to the 1970s, suggesting that while the situations "rhyme," a full repeat would require a much larger surge in government-driven demand. Recorded March 31, 2026 Follow Anna Wong on X https://x.com/AnnaEconomist Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Jaksot(241)

Banks Under Fire From Executive Action | Jack & Max on Trump's Threatened 10% Credit Card Cap and How Executive Action Is Shaping Markets in Defense, Housing, Payments, Central Banking, and More

Banks Under Fire From Executive Action | Jack & Max on Trump's Threatened 10% Credit Card Cap and How Executive Action Is Shaping Markets in Defense, Housing, Payments, Central Banking, and More

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: ⁠https://fiscal.ai/mm/?via=monetarymatters President Trump has shaken...

14 Tammi 1h 12min

The Market’s Biggest Whales are Making Huge Changes: Total Portfolio Revolution | Steve Novakovic of CAIA

The Market’s Biggest Whales are Making Huge Changes: Total Portfolio Revolution | Steve Novakovic of CAIA

This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-mat...

13 Tammi 1h 7min

How China Could Dominate U.S. AI | Dr. Michael Power on Open Source and "The Three Assassins" of Moore's Law

How China Could Dominate U.S. AI | Dr. Michael Power on Open Source and "The Three Assassins" of Moore's Law

Dr. Michael Power, a seasoned financial analyst, consultant, and strategist, joins Jack to discuss his recent work that predicts the Chinese A.I. industry may soon beat the U.S. at its own game. Dr. P...

12 Tammi 1h 54min

Why Venezuela Won’t Solve America’s Real Energy Crisis | Michael Kao on AI, Electrification, and the Natural Gas Bottleneck

Why Venezuela Won’t Solve America’s Real Energy Crisis | Michael Kao on AI, Electrification, and the Natural Gas Bottleneck

In this episode of Monetary Matters, Max Wiethe sits down with Michael Kao, CIO of Akanthos Capital Management and the Kao Family Office, to unpack the real energy risks facing the U.S. economy. The c...

11 Tammi 1h 3min

The Global Bull Market: Examining the Dramatic Outperformance of Global Stocks vs. the US | Jack & Max

The Global Bull Market: Examining the Dramatic Outperformance of Global Stocks vs. the US | Jack & Max

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by Fiscal.ai. Sign up for a 2-week free trial and get 15% off any paid tier at: ⁠https://fiscal.ai/mm In this episode, Jack Farley and Max Wiethe bre...

7 Tammi 45min

The Convexity Maven’s Biggest Macro Trades of 2026: Why Bonds, Gold, and Debasement Matter Again in 2026 | Harley Bassman

The Convexity Maven’s Biggest Macro Trades of 2026: Why Bonds, Gold, and Debasement Matter Again in 2026 | Harley Bassman

Harley Bassman, managing partner at Simplify Asset Management and widely known as the “Convexity Maven,” joins Monetary Matters to break down the hidden risks shaping today’s markets. He explains why ...

4 Tammi 1h 2min

Citrini’s 26 Trades for 2026 | Citrini on BS Jobs, AI Materials, Advanced Packaging, World Cup, & More

Citrini’s 26 Trades for 2026 | Citrini on BS Jobs, AI Materials, Advanced Packaging, World Cup, & More

Monetary Matters can get 25% off Citrini Bundle (Citrindex AND Citrini Research) here through January 14: https://www.citriniresearch.com/subscribe?coupon=398e4269 The investor known only as Citrin...

31 Joulu 20251h 52min

Investing Data is Evolving: AI, The Degenerate Economy & More | Matt Ober | Social Leverage

Investing Data is Evolving: AI, The Degenerate Economy & More | Matt Ober | Social Leverage

In this episode of Other People’s Money, Matt Ober, General Partner at Social Leverage, discusses how the data economy is evolving for providers, vendors, and investors. He explains how AI is reshapin...

30 Joulu 202559min

Suosittua kategoriassa Liike-elämä ja talous

sijotuskasti
mimmit-sijoittaa
psykopodiaa-podcast
rss-rahapodi
rss-rahamania
ostan-asuntoja-podcast
rahapuhetta
rss-laakispodi
rss-sisalto-kuntoon
herrasmieshakkerit
sijoituspodi
rss-draivi
inderespodi
rss-sami-miettinen-neuvottelija
rss-lahtijat
rss-bisnesta-bebeja
rss-karon-grilli
rss-seuraava-potilas
rss-paasipodi
vapauta-supervoimasi-podcast