Bitcoin's Green Candle Is A Lie.

Bitcoin just closed its first green monthly candle in six months — the longest losing streak since the 2018 bear market. But is this the bottom, or the setup?

In this episode, James and Andrew break down the data: what the 2018 chart comparison actually shows, what long-term holder behavior is signaling on-chain, and why the macro environment makes this recovery far from guaranteed. Plus — Moody's just rated the first-ever Bitcoin-backed bond. What that actually means for Bitcoin's place in traditional finance, and why the rating being "junk" might be missing the point entirely.

⏱ CHAPTERS

00:00 Bitcoin's Recent Movements and Market Sentiment

01:38 Historical Context: 2018 vs. 2026

03:57 Macro Environment and Its Impact on Bitcoin

06:07 Moody's Rating: A Turning Point for Bitcoin

09:06 The Structural Significance of Bitcoin in Finance

10:27 Conclusion: Signals and Predictions for Bitcoin's Future

🔗 RESOURCES

Coins of Wall Street Podcast — https://www.youtube.com/@CoinsofWallstreet

Moody's Investor Service — https://moodys.com

Bitcoin Historical Price Data — https://coinmarketcap.com

New Hampshire Bitcoin-Backed Bond — https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/hampshire-plans-100m-bitcoin-backed-083438443.html

Moody's Market Value CLO Framework — https://moodys.com/framework

📌 KEY TOPICS

— Bitcoin's first green monthly close after 5 consecutive red months

— 2018 bear market comparison: same pattern, different fundamentals

— Long-term holder capitulation signal and what it has meant historically

— Moody's Ba2 rating on a $100M Bitcoin-backed municipal bond

— Macro headwinds: Fed calendar, oil prices, Q1 2026 performance

— What institutional infrastructure means for Bitcoin's next cycle

🔑 KEYWORDS

Bitcoin, crypto, Moody's bond rating, macroeconomics, crypto investment, Bitcoin history, financial markets, institutional adoption, crypto analysis, Bitcoin 2026, bear market, suckers rally, Bitcoin bottom

⚠️ DISCLAIMER

Nothing in this episode constitutes financial advice. All content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Do your own research before making any investment decisions.

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Coins of Wallstreet is a finance and crypto podcast hosted by James and Andrew. New episodes every week.

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