Knowing When To Stop: Avoiding the Escalation Trap
Send us Fan Mail The fastest way to wreck a hard-won calm is to say one more thing. In this episode, dig into the escalation trap that shows up in boardrooms, squad cars, kitchens, and group texts: th...
27 Heinä 1h 11min
Probability & Language; The Cost of Being Certain
Send us Fan Mail In this episode, we’re talking about probabilistic thinking and why language matters more than most people realize. The central idea is simple: most bad decisions don’t come from a la...
4 Maalis 1h 3min
Detecting A Cunning Opponent
Send us Fan Mail Your gut has tried to warn you before. That flicker when someone lingers by a bathroom door, shadows you to the elevator, or blocks your path with a smile and a prop—it’s not paranoia...
4 Tammi 1h 7min
"Darwin's People" by Brian Moon
Send us Fan Mail When decisions can’t wait for perfect data, you need methods that actually work in the real world. We sit down with Brian Moon to pull naturalistic decision making out of journals and...
18 Marras 20251h 12min
Your Internal Baseline
Send us Fan Mail In today’s episode, we’re flipping the lens inward. You’ve heard us talk about reading the world around you — the external baseline — but what about reading yourself? What It Is (Str...
10 Marras 20251h 9min
Baseline + Anomaly = Decision
Send us Fan Mail In this powerful and highly practical episode, we unpack one of the most important (and misunderstood) aspects of human behavior analysis: the concept of baseline plus anomaly equal...
22 Loka 20251h 3min
How Practice Saved My Life: Applying HBPR&A Under Fire
Send us Fan Mail What happens when theory meets reality in a life-or-death situation? Dan Chavez found out firsthand when he and his wife suddenly found themselves in the middle of an active shooter i...
15 Syys 20251h 18min
