Don’t Expect a Normal Reaction to an Abnormal Situation – Video Blog

Don’t Expect a Normal Reaction to an Abnormal Situation – Video Blog


* On Friday we finally got the Non-Farm Payroll numbers for July
* The consensus is that this reports indicates that an interest rate hike is inevitable
* This is the rate hike that everybody has been expecting and this report see
* The report is weak, relative to previous months, but slightly ahead of the consensus
* It seems like we are going in the wrong direction
* Labor Force Participation Rate is stagnant at the lowest in decades
* Q2 GDP was much lower than expected
* the Atlanta GDP Now Forecast for Q3 at 1% - a third of the official forecast
* If the Fed was not willing to raise rates last year, when the economy grew at 5%, why would they raise rates now?
* The Fed may have backed themselves into a corner where they have to raise rates
* If so, Yellen has already prepared the market for a tiny raise
* They recognize that the market is fragile
* It would be a more credible move for the Fed to not raise rates at all
* The market's reaction to the jobs data and the "certainty" that rates are going up
* The dollar sold off somewhat
* Gold rose slightly
* Higher interest rages are expected to be bullish for the dollar - Why didn't the dollar rise?
* The old adage, "Buy on the rumor, sell on the fact"
* If the Fed raises rates in September, it will be the most highly anticipated rate hike ever
* If the market buys on the anticipation of a rate hike, the actual rate hike will be the sell signal
* The market is telling us it has gained all that it is going to gain from any future rate hike
* The Fed will deliver much less in the way of rate hike than the market expects
* The reaction in the stock market was more interesting - The market was down again
* The longest losing streak in the Dow in about 4 years
* The fact that the U.S stock market is still falling indicates whereas the currency markets may have factored in a rate hike, the equity markets have not
* I have been hearing the refrain,"There is no reason to fear a rate hike!"
* This is a very naive to look at the market because there is no historical precedent for interest rates to stay low for so long
* These are not "normal" times
* More importantly, the market only expects a rate hike if the economy get better
* But now the data shows that the economy is continuing to slow down
* The crowd that believes a rate hike will not harm the economy should reassess their thinking
* Corporate earnings, already under pressure will be further weakened by an interest rate hike
* The consumer is barely surviving with rates at zero
* 2015 is probably going to be the weakest year of the entire so-called recovery
* If the Fed really begins to raise interest rates, what is going to happen in 2016?
* We will be in a bear market, the real estate market will drop and a recession will follow
* The Fed's only medicine at that point will be QE
* The truth is, the economy did not need the first round of QE and it nees QE4 even less
* This is going to be the mother of all money drops and all the people who have been saying,"The Fed was right!" are taking a premature victory lap
* Hopefully it will shock the Keynesians into abandoning central banking and central planning
* And finally embracing a real market recovery based on free market principles
* Those of us who have seen the writing on the wall will be rewarded in the investment front
* For having the fortitude to maintain our positions and not throw in a winning hand
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Jaksot(1082)

Markets Push Back the Powell Pivot – Ep 835

Markets Push Back the Powell Pivot – Ep 835

· 4-week winning streak for S&P comes to an end. · Investors chasing momentum. · Not-as-weak is the new strong. · Mortgage applications at their lowest since aftermath of dot com bubble. Thanks Raycon! For a limited time, go to https://buyraycon.com/gold for up to 15% off your entire Raycon order. Go to https://shopify.com/gold for a FREE fourteen-day trial and get full access to Shopify’s entire suite of features. Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Elo 202257min

Government Can’t Do Anything Right – Ep 834

Government Can’t Do Anything Right – Ep 834

· NASDAQ loses steam. · Rising gold and silver propels mining stocks. · Food prices increased faster than any month since 1979. · Consumer sentiment among Democrats tumbled to a two-year low. · The Jones Act hurts everyone except the owners of certain ships. Businesses only pay for quality applications matching the sponsored job description. Visit https://indeed.com/peter to start hiring now. Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

14 Elo 202252min

Biden Taunts Public With Inflation Victory Dance – Ep 833

Biden Taunts Public With Inflation Victory Dance – Ep 833

· Wall Street parties on CPI data release. · Minimum wage is bad economics. · Democrats prepare to shakedown the middle class while protecting the billionaires and millionaires. Get an extra 3 months. https://expressvpn.com/gold Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

11 Elo 202244min

The Truth Behind the Strong Job Market Hype – Ep 832

The Truth Behind the Strong Job Market Hype – Ep 832

· Jobs report evidences a weak, not strong, economy. · Putin delivered price cuts, not price hikes. · Going into debt is not a sign of prosperity. · More people jobless than ever before. · Gold market shows strength. Businesses only pay for quality applications matching the sponsored job description. Visit https://indeed.com/peter to start hiring now. Thanks Ladder. Go to https://ladderlife.com/gold today to see if you’re instantly approved. Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

7 Elo 20221h

Damn the Recession, Rate Hikes Ahead – Ep 831

Damn the Recession, Rate Hikes Ahead – Ep 831

· Treasury yields surge. · Fed forgets about inflation averaging. · Households take on all time record debt. · Nominal wages are going up, but real wages are collapsing. · China can do more damage to our economy without harming Nancy Pelosi. · Buy gold before the Chinese beat you to it. Go to https://bambee.com/gold to schedule your FREE HR audit. Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

3 Elo 202240min

U.S. in Recession Amid Weak Labor Market – Ep 830

U.S. in Recession Amid Weak Labor Market – Ep 830

· U.S. goes into recession; Biden and Fed deny it. · Media goes along with redefining recession. · The Inflation Reduction Act will increase inflation. · Forex and gold investors finally figuring things out. · Bond investors still clueless. Thanks Ladder. Go to https://ladderlife.com/gold today to see if you’re instantly approved. Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

31 Heinä 202249min

Powell Gets Democrats’ Memo to Redefine Recession – Ep 829

Powell Gets Democrats’ Memo to Redefine Recession – Ep 829

· Fed meets market expectations with 75 basis point rate hike. · Jerome Powell sidesteps recession questions. · Walmart confirms consumer weakness. · Gold may have found a bottom. · Gold miners rally. · Any rally in Bitcoin is a selling opportunity. Businesses only pay for quality applications matching the sponsored job description. Visit https://indeed.com/peter to start hiring now. Terms and conditions apply. Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://peterschiff.locals.com/ to become a member. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

28 Heinä 202250min

Recession Deniers Waking up to Reality – Ep 828

Recession Deniers Waking up to Reality – Ep 828

· More data pointing to a worsening economy. · ECB hikes rates for first time in 11 years. · Dollar looks to have topped out. · Gold looks to have bottomed. · Tech companies hurting as advertisers flee. Get an extra 3 months. https://expressvpn.com/gold Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://peterschiff.locals.com/ to become a member. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

24 Heinä 202247min

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