Did August Jobs Ready Fed for Sept. Rate Hike?

Did August Jobs Ready Fed for Sept. Rate Hike?


* Earlier today we released the most important Non-Farm Payroll report ever, at least according to the media
* A WSJ article stated that this report could "seal the deal" on rate hikes
* Interest rates have been at zero for 7 years as the Fed contemplated lift-off
* It all boiled down to one jobs report?
* If the Fed were going to raise interest rates in 2 weeks, how can it count on its accuracy or the fact that numbers will change next month?
* Let's get into the numbers:
* The number we got was 173,000 - well below the consensus forecast
* One of the weaker components was private payrolls, which only grew by 140,000 vs and expected 211,000
* The headline number is the unemployment drop to 5.1% - the lowest in the Obama presidency
* Once again, the devil is in the details
* The unemployment rate is falling because of the mass exodus from the labor force
* Another 261,000 Americans left the labor force this month
* The participation rate held steady at 62.6%
* The lowest rate since 1977
* I think it's heading lower
* The total number of persons not in the labor force rose to a new record: 94,031,000
* Also this month another 158,000 Americans find themselves involuntarily employed part-time
* That's what's responsible for the "improvement" in the labor numbers
* Janet Yellen specifically wanted to an increase in labor force participation and more full-time jobs before contemplating raising rates
* Those numbers have gone in the wrong direction
* Why is nobody pointing this out?
* This is the 9th month in a row that year-over-year factory orders have declined
* The only other time that has happened is during recession
* Every time we've seen a sharp decline in the market accompanied by an increase in the volatility index, the Fed has responded with Quantitative Easing
* More and more people now do not believe the Fed will raise rates in September
* If the Fed raises interest rates and the market keeps falling and the economy rolls over, the Fed loses a lot of credibility
* This is affecting global markets
* The Dow is now in correction
* I pointed out in my last video blog that: a) the Fed has never raised interest rates from zero and b)normally the Fed raises interest rates into an accelerating economy
* This time the Fed is raising interest rates when the economy is weakening
* This time a rate hike will prick a much larger bubble
* Even if the Fed raised rates to a quarter of a percent, that is still cheap money
* The markets are forward-looking and they are not going to like what they see
* The dollar strengthened on anticipation that the Fed will raise rates
* America cannot afford higher interest rates on the debt we have now
* One of the things most people overlook is the huge stockpile of U.Ss treasuries that are held abroad
* Why do the emerging markets have so may dollars?
* In the aftermath of the 1997 Asian economic crisis, they bought dollars as a reserve to defend their currency if it started to fall
* That is happening
* So now, foreign governments are going to start drawing on their reserves, selling treasuries to shore up their currencies
* The vast majority of the accumulation happened after QE1, when we had a currency war
* The media has labeled this sell-off "Quantitative Tightening"
* China has already started to gradually sell treasuries
* The Fed has promised not to roll over maturing treasuries and to shrink the $4.5 trillion balance sheet to about a trillion
* That's $3.5 trillion of Quantitative Tightening
* Interest rates would have to rise dramatically to attract real buyers to U.S. treasuries
* No one can afford higher rates, Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Jaksot(1081)

Trump Dodged a Bullet, but Economy Won’t Be So Lucky - Ep 969

Trump Dodged a Bullet, but Economy Won’t Be So Lucky - Ep 969

Visit https:/indeed.com/peter to start hiring now.Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comInvest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/investBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

15 Heinä 20241h 7min

Bad News for Biden and the Economy - Ep 968

Bad News for Biden and the Economy - Ep 968

NetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. https://netsuite.com/goldSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comInvest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/investBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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Biden Bombs Bigly - Ep 967

Biden Bombs Bigly - Ep 967

Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required.For new customers on the first 3 month plan only. Thanks Constant Contact. Start GROWING your business today with a free trial at https://constantcontact.comSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comInvest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/investBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

29 Kesä 202456min

New Inflationary Government Program Subverts Fed - Ep 966

New Inflationary Government Program Subverts Fed - Ep 966

NetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. https://netsuite.com/gold🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com📈 Invest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/invest📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

24 Kesä 202455min

Fed Fakes Inflation Fight as Pretext for Future Cuts - Ep 965

Fed Fakes Inflation Fight as Pretext for Future Cuts - Ep 965

Get an additional 15% off an annual membership at https://masterclass.com/goldVisit https:/indeed.com/peter to start hiring now.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com📈 Invest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/invest📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

15 Kesä 202452min

Did China Just Sucker Investors Out of Their Gold? - Ep 964

Did China Just Sucker Investors Out of Their Gold? - Ep 964

NetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. https://netsuite.com/gold🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com📈 Invest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/invest📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

10 Kesä 202456min

Biden Is the Real Felon, Not Trump - Ep 963

Biden Is the Real Felon, Not Trump - Ep 963

Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required. For new customers on the first 3 month plan only.Thanks Constant Contact. Start GROWING your business today with a free trial at https://constantcontact.com🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com📈 Invest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/invest🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

3 Kesä 20241h

Is the Money in Your Pocket Counterfeit? - Ep 962

Is the Money in Your Pocket Counterfeit? - Ep 962

During an unexpected podcast episode from The Bahamas, Peter Schiff discusses the significant breakout in silver prices, reaching the highest since 2013, and the new record highs in gold. He elaborates on central banks' preference for gold over silver and the retail selling trend, emphasizing an opportunity to buy both metals after a correction. Schiff points out the ineffectiveness of the Fed's statements and actions on the true value of gold and silver, suggesting that prices will rise regardless of rate cuts. He uses historical experiences and the transition from real silver coins to nickel-clad copper as an example of government devaluation of currency. Schiff highlights the potential in buying physical silver, especially 'junk silver', for its barter value and the current low premiums as an investment opportunity. He also touches on the importance of investing in gold and silver mining stocks, recommending professional guidance for navigating the sector.NetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. https://netsuite.com/goldGet an additional 15% off an annual membership at https://masterclass.com/gold🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com📈 Invest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/invest🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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